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Everything posted by notin
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Texas is also in the market for a 3B, and reportedly is eyeing former Rice Owl Anthony Rendon. But then, so will a lot of teams. Could the Sox entice a trade of Odor and Choo for Price and Dalbec (or Chavis)? The Sox don't have such an abundance of MLB-ready prospects that they should be dumping them to get out of money deals. This is one of those deals that I wonder of the Sox could do it, and also if the Sox should do it...
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Price has $96mill left on his deal. Choo and Odor have about $55mill left between them. Per baseballtradevalues.com, this trade wouldn't be accepted by Texas unless Boston included at least $22mill, which would make a considerable dent in their $5mill AAV savings. Actually it would wipe it out and add another $2.3mill in AAV if it was spread out over 3 years. Now it is possible that Texas thinks Price could be next in their line of Mike Minor/Lance Lynn Successful Reclamation projects, or someone in their organization just really likes Price. Or just really hates Odor. These trades do happen...
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Wins Above Felipe Lopez was the pinnacle of total contribution stats...
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Dodgers and Braves leap to mind. Also, the Reds have some good prospects and are already all in for 2020 with their acquisition of Trevor Bauer. And their outfield is a definite weakness...
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Win Shares goes back before WAR, although there were some earlier total contribution stats like VORP and WARP...
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Like that horrific episode in April where he and Bradley both just stopped and let Steve Piscotty's routine flyball land for a double. My only argument with this assessment is that the Sox were never really "in it" this year. They started out horribly, and peaked on May 12 when they were only 3 games out. One could argue that Devers' defense was even more horrible prior to that date, as he started the season as an error machine...
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If the Nats win tonight, after getting into the NLDS with the one game Wild Card, it does lend some credence to the "crapshoot" theory. Although they really were the best team in the NL after a horrific start...
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According to Matt Cerrone, the Sox asking price for Betts was 1 mid-rotation starter, 1 outfielder, and 2 top 100 prospects. That's a pretty steep asking price. Even if the Sox waiver a bit on the whole "top 100" thing, there is no way to get anything close to that and include Price in the deal without paying so much money that it defeats the purpose of including Price. If the Sox deal Mookie, it's best to do so in a package that nets them the best prospects, and if those prospects are MLB-ready, their minimum wage salary helps offset the cost of Price...
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But as this is game 7, with the very likely exception of Strasburg, it will be all hands on deck for the Nats. And that right there is the biggest benefit of Strasburg going 8.1 IP last night...
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Absolutely it will be easier. But will it be easier to field a good team and cut money if JD opts out?
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Why? They measure different contributions. That's like saying batting average is flawed because it's not the same as slugging percentage...
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I'm not so sure even moving Price or Sale gets back much, even if the Sox eat prospects, unless either pitcher really shows something. While I've thrown out a Wil Myers-Price trade as making sense for both teams (and working out without cash on baseballtradevalues.com), I don't actually expect it to happen. I think we already know who 4 of the starters will be. And the catcher and infield are likely already on the team as well. The only question marks are the outfield and bullpen and the last starter (plus some depth)...
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The Sox are only gaining it if they chose to actually spend it. But if he does opt out, and they do try to acquire a replacement, what other bats will the Sox get to replace him? Edwin Encarnacion? Todd Frazier? Corey Dickerson? Jose Abreu is unlikely, as there is mutual interest in a return to Chicago. They're better off with Martinez. Keeping Mookie would be nice. But that's is the only scenario where I would want JD to opt out...
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Why? I fully expect him to not opt out, and then opt out after 2020 when his salary drops by $4mill and he will find it easier to get a contract in excess of his remaining money, which is only 2 years $39.5 mill....
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Does the posting cost count towards the luxury tax? If it doesn't, Tsutsugo is more likely to be on Boston's radar than the Yankees, who already have a glut of outfielders and have more pressing needs in the rotation. Whoever does sign this guy needs to have it in his contract that the walk up song for Tsutsugo (pronounced "Sue-sue-go") is Phil Collins' "Sussudio"....
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He did throw 223 IP in the regular season. There's a good chance he gets simply worn down after all that pitching, which does take a toll. Price was finally great in the post-season last year, and maybe it was because he finally got there is a season where he only threw 107 IP as opposed to pitching at least 176 IP in all his other seasons (except his rookie year of 2008, but he also pitched well in that post-season). Some of these teams with legitimate post-season aspirations might be better off dialing back the workloads of their ace pitchers a little and investing in Porcello type to eat more regular season innings before going to the bullpen in the post-season...
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Keon Broxton, a very good defensive/no hit CF, has elected free agency after being DFA'd, despite harmony's insistence he was a necessary bridge during the rebuild for Seattle and Boston would have to acquire him via trade...
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Yes, by a slim margin of 0.2 fWAR. But then bWAR gives Betts a very significant advantage of 6.8 to 5.2. (Devers had 5.3 bWAR.) I give the overall nod to Betts...
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It certainly did not look like it was going to be his night during that first inning. The Astros hit 4 balls off him. One home run, one screaming line drive off the wall for a double, and the other two on to the warning track. And the flyout by Gurriel had the distance to be a home run, but he happened to hit it just to the right of where the stands jut out a little. Had that ball been pulled maybe 10 more feet to the left, it was a home run...
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While Trout is the undisputed best player in MLB and Mookie is a very common choice for second best, one thing we are seeing is that Bregman and Rendon are very likely 3rd and 4th on that list, in whatever order you like...
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I would disagree that Betts was not the MVP of the Red Sox this past year. But what gets held against him is how he did vs expectations. Bogaerts and Devers greatly exceeded theirs at the plate. Mookie did not, in fact he took a step back. But even wth that regression, his OPS was still only .001 below Devers and .024 less than Bogaerts. Those differences, especially the one with Devers, are largely insignificant. Couple those negligible differences with the defense he brought, and he was easily their most valuable player. (Although, like with hitting, Devers exceeded his expected defensive play while Betts was held to a loftier standard)...
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Or my personal favorite - Guitar Boy
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Just no robot Lance Barksdale’s...
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If the Nats can go 2/3 of an inning without giving up 5 runs, the road team takes the first 6 games. It was a first in any sport at 5 games...
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The one big plus to JD opting out is it lessens the likelihood of a Mookie trade
