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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Maybe. Laureano has been hot recently, but this will be his 6th in less than 3 seasons, and he’s not bouncing around like that because he’s always awesome…
  2. notin
    You make it sound like a love triangle…
  3. notin
    That does make his acquisition less likely…
  4. notin
    Olney says they’re still having talks about Suarez and Cease…
  5. notin
    This all started with the unspent Devers savings. If it goes to (the right) extensions, I’m more than fine with that…
  6. notin
    I hope they make other plans. This guy keeps injuring himself with routine baseball activities. That’s ok for someone like me, whom did not make his living playing baseball. But for Casas, it’s a concern…
  7. notin
    Not all for $30mill, which was the subject at hand…
  8. notin
    That should plug the final leak in that Padres bullpen. Opposing teams now need to do all their scoring in the first 5 innings…
  9. notin
    True. The multi-position guys can see their UZR artificially inflated if they’re any good defensively. I call this Zobristing
  10. notin
    Bubic is done for the year…
  11. notin
    Some defensive metrics do trend towards being cumulative. You cannot save as many defensive runs if you’re not on the field. UZR also seems to favor players who play multiple positions…
  12. notin
    I would like to see the trades ranked by the combined weight of all the exchanged players from heaviest to lightest…
  13. notin
    He did extend Rafaela, sign a GG third baseman, and bring in a good defensive catcher. Sox defense is really only weak at 2b, at least until Mayer returns. 1b is arguable as part timers have a disadvantage on metrics…
  14. notin
    Marte has made one start in the OF. CES has played 65 games in the past two years. It’s hard to establish any WAR when you’re not playing. Don’t forget; WAR trends towards being cumulative. In this case, I know his 2024 was marred with injuries. I thought Hayes was an odd fit, especially for a team with fringey outfielders.
  15. notin
    Suarez and Schwarber will be free agents. Wheeler is talking about retiring. Nola is already falling apart. And they had no closer. Oh and the Mets are right there. Their urgency is not surprising…
  16. notin
    He also could return to 2b. Not like Hamilton is killing it…
  17. notin
    Most confusing leaguewide trade from day one. - Ke’Bryan Hayes to the Reds. With Noelvi Marte, Spencer Steer, Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Santiago Espinal and whoever is in their minors, not sure about the logic here. “We have a lot of corner infielders, but what we’re missing is one with an OPS+ of 60 and is still owed over $36million.”
  18. notin
    SP and a 1b. Although the 1b market looks weak…
  19. notin
    I do think Password is a prime trade candidate, as he is pretty blocked from the Sox OF. But I think if he is dealt in the next 24 hours, it might make more sense to deal him for Carter Jensen in KC. Given the depth of each team at OF and catcher, some stars do align. Tibbs ($9.1mill ) alone is a perfect BTV matchup for Cease (also $9.1mill), but I think they might prefer a corner OF who is a bit more MLB-ready…
  20. notin
    Apparently not as obvious as you think. Before trading Devers, the Sox averaged 4.84 runs per game. Since the trade, they are averaging 3.83 runs per game. It’s not hitters picking up the slack. The improvement has been the pitching…
  21. notin
    Most likely they add a good arm to the pen not expected to close. Someone like Louis Varland, Kevin Ginkel, Calvin Faucher. Maybe the return of John Schreiber. I think someone to take some workload away from Whitlock, Weissert and Bernardino is the goal…
  22. notin
    What about that trade? Trading good relievers for bad position players doesn’t mean WAR undervalues relievers. Simple question - why was trading Devers not a white flag but trading Chapman is? Let’s not lose sight of where this started…
  23. notin
    That whole bullpen had plenty of issues. Before acquiring Kim (all but forgotten in the postseason) the Sox only blew 4 ninth inning leads, resulting in 3 losses. Through 54 games this year, Chapman had 2 losses (although both games were tied when he entered). 2003 was not so much a bad closer as a horrible bullpen that failed much more often in the 7th and 8th innings…
  24. notin
    Is this your version of the “WAR undervalued closers” argument? The counter argument is fans overvalue closers. That Chapman only pitches 60 innings is why he actually is less important than the best hitter in the lineup. The one charged with getting him leads to protect. And Chapman’s innings won’t be the”most important” either. Some sites used to track “tough saves”, saves where the closer comes in with the tying run on base. They almost never happen. The league leader usually had like 4. Trading Devers - who did have a bad attitude - was a bigger blow to this lineup than dealing Chapman would be. I don’t see how you can say otherwise…
  25. notin
    For his career, Hicks’ numbers are pretty much the same across all leverage situations defined by B-R. He is only slightly better as a reliever than a starter, but he does have more career IP as a reliever. And his second best ERA comes in the 9th inning, substantially better than in the 7th and 8th. His 2nd inning ERA is his best, which is actually kind of odd. He has 35 career saves and 13 career blown saves. Blown save numbers can be misleading, but the bulk of them came his rookie year (2018) when he was closing. I think he’s adequate, but it would be nice to have better arms behind him…
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