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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Yes, Hamilton was injured. He had a chronic cases of BatsLefthandeditis, which gets particularly inflamed against lefty starters like Fried and Rodon. Abreu suffers from the same ailment, which is why Eaton got the starts. No one is saying Sogard is worthless. But even the Sox clearly think Hamilton is better. Both players had options, but Hamilton got much more PT. And even when Sogard saw action, they put him at 1b more than anywhere else, and when Cora needed an emergency shortstop, neither of these two were nigh on Cora’s radar. But Sogard was even further, playing the position for only 5 innings to Hamilton’s 70. I don’t think they go all Sox themselves are as on board with this evaluation as you are. But hopefully the goal is to push both of them out of the lineup…
  2. notin
    I doubt they go all in and spend the $350-400mill to get Alonso and Schwarber. Henry didn’t spend that much on contracts back when he could have gotten Manny and A-Rod for that money. Doubtful it happens now. The Sox most likely focus is one SP and two infielders. And it’s far more likely to be Alonso OR Bregman than Alonso AND Bregman…
  3. notin
    Based on what? Gausman/Bassett/Berrios/Lauer/Scherzer/Francis - 8.8 bWAR Crochet/Bello/Sandoval/Dobbins/Crawford - 9.2 bWAR. And that includes the 0 bWAR from Sandoval and Crawford’s, neither of whom even pitched…
  4. notin
    Fairly certain Detroit can’t envision the trade, period. It makes zero sense for them to trade for Duran to compete while trading away the pitcher that makes them competitive…
  5. notin
    I could see them revisiting Arenado at 3b if they can move Yoshida for him. Alec Bohm is another reportedly available candidate I could see happening. This does assume Alonso at 1b. I’ve been thinking Bregman is more likely than Alonso, but Alonso is probably the cheaper of the two, which does certainly work in his favor…
  6. notin
    Did you see the rotation that got to the World Series from the American League?
  7. notin
    I have my doubts about Henry committing over $500 to 3 infielders this off-season. And where does Mayer play? Worcester?
  8. notin
    If all 3 are on the 26, it only happens if there is a Hamilton/Gonzalez platoon at 2b. At least that Yos the best case scenario for all three being there, but it’s still not a desirable outcome…
  9. notin
    The Sox are not keeping all 3 on the 26 man roster, unless Hamilton is part of a platoon at 2b again. There are only going to be 3 non-catcher bench spots, and Romy owns one of them. Of course, Grissom was far and away the best MiLB hitter of this bunch. I’m sure Boston would like nothing more than to see him bounce back, even if it’s just a utility INF role. (And if that happens, cue the stupid commentary that the Sox only kept him to save face after the Sale trade.)
  10. notin
    Based on what? Other than a desire to promote Sogard baselessly? StatCast had Hamilton in the 73rd percentile for range. Sogard didn’t have enough data for a ranking, but reports on him indicate his arm and range are average and he is playable at SS short term. Now an average arm is better than Hamilton (37th percentile) has, but that might be Sogard’s only defensive advantage. I’m not quite ready to compare Sogard to Ripken after 56 innings at SS over a two year period, including all of 5 innings last year. Offensively, MLB playing time is heavily skewed towards Hamilton. But both players’ career minor league OPS’s were exactly .770, and nearly identical OPS and OPS+ in MLB. Switch hitter or not, offense is probably where these two are closer to equal…
  11. notin
    Spend? Yes. As much as fans want? Different story…
  12. notin
    Sign Polar Pete Alonso Trade LHP Brandon Clarke (BA #81) and INF Mikey Romero to St. Louis for 2b Brendan Donovan. (Fair trade on BTV) Trade Boston gets: RHSP Joe Ryan, C Ryan Jeffers Minn gets: RHP Andrew Painter, CF Justin Crawford Philly gets: CF Jarren Duran (BTV calls this Major Overpay by Boston) Thoughts?
  13. notin
    Reportedly Joe Ryan is still on the Real Life Radar. Whereas Hunter Greene exists only in clickbait articles…
  14. notin
    I’m assuming Duran nets a prospect (or two) in a trade, so that prospect (or two) is flipped far the “#2 starter” or replaces a prospect pitcher that dealt. My inner child is contemplating referring to #2 starting pitchers as Laxative Pitchers. Maybe I need to grow up a little…
  15. notin
    Bloom avoids that deal because of the attached QO. Think Breslow follows suit?
  16. notin
    The rotation has one hole in it. The Sox have 11 SPs on the 40 man roster already, and reportedly want to add one more. Assuming everyone is healthy, they would add one SP to Crochet, Bello, Sandoval, and Crawford. Meanwhile Early, Dobbins, Harrison, Tolle, Fitts, Perales, and Houck sit on the 40 man roster. (Houck cannot be moved to the 60 Day IL until March.) They might bump a couple (Fitts? Perales?) to the bullpen, and maybe make a trade involving one or more. But until that happens, 12 SPs on the 40 man is a lot…
  17. notin
    I like the idea of Bregman/Bichette because cheap 1b production is easier than other positions. But someone like Alonso will get a cheaper contract than Bregman/Bichette, so maybe he’s more likely? We shall see. I also figure 4-5 years from now, I will be happier with Alonso than with Bregman…
  18. notin
    But you seemingly focus primarily players who excelled in Arizona and nowhere else recently…
  19. notin
    Sogard vs Hamilton on defense are good players to put into the hypothetical example for defense. If you hit each 100 identical ground balls, Sogard would get to 80 but make every play. Hamilton would get to all 100 but make 10 errors…
  20. notin
    I didn’t even think that! “Pete, sign with Boston and we will name our AAA stadium after you!” If that doesn’t clinch the deal, nothing will…
  21. notin
    I’ve spent a fair amount of time making anti-Alonso arguments - none of which had anything to do with the Polar Bear himself (except for when I pick on how when he runs and looks like a mannequin in an earthquake). But the pro-Alonso arguments are easy. First of all, while expensive, he is still likely to command less money years and money than the standout 2b/3b free agents. Also - no QO. And let’s face it - whether you agree with me that he runs like a mannequin in an earthquake or that he runs like a penguin on cocaine, these are fun things to watch in both cases…
  22. notin
    Romy does lack Hamilton’s range, but probably has the best arm of the three…
  23. notin
    You’ve recommended launching so many players to the moon and sun over the years, those two celestial bodies should each be able to field competitive teams by now. I assume the team on the sun will only be available for day games?
  24. notin
    Well, the Sox are definitely moving a good and cheap outfielder for something. Pitching would be good…
  25. notin
    As much as Hamilton was a disappointment at SS, let’s not be rash and default promote Sogard ahead of him. Between Hamilton, Sogard and Romy Gonzalez, the Sox are stockpiling utility infielders with limited SS skills. Of the three, Romy, maybe, is the best SS?
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