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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. It will catch up. Teams will still have the best relievers in some sort of high leverage role. So maybe instead of shelling out millions for the overblown save stat, owners will have to pay heavily for the underrated Hold stat. And some sabermetrician somewhere will create an even newer, better way to evaluate relievers. Maybe Nate Silver’s Goose Egg stat will finally catch on…
  2. While most teams use their best reliever as their closer, that’s also not always the case. Cleveland used to deploy Andrew Miller in the high leverage innings against the other teams best hitters. And unless the heart of the order wa due up in a one run game, they let Cody Allen get the easier saves. TB has been using Andrew Kittredge similarly this year…
  3. Even before deploying the “opener” strategy, Tampa Bay was one of two teams (KC being the other) where the whole strategy was to get to the bullpen ASAP. Starters rarely went more than 5, and very often went less even when cruising…
  4. However they deploy them, they use multiple people in the role. They have 5 pitchers with multiple saves this year. Really it’s been “closer by hot streak”. They give a guy a few save opportunities for a while, then someone else gets a chance. Then it goes back to Diego Castillo. It would probably have been a true committee if they ever had the departed Castillo along with Pete Fairbanks and Nick Anderson all healthy at once at any point this season…
  5. Closer By Short Straw?
  6. He’s in New York City. When the Yankees are bad, folks there get more violent…
  7. Task Force Closers! Sounds like the title of an action moving. Starring John Cena…
  8. As long as you have actual good pitchers, there’s no real issue with the whole “committee” approach to closing. Tampa has been using one all season…
  9. Over the long haul, as indicated in the premise, a closer will have enough one run save chances to add some validity to the stat. The biggest problems I have with save percentage is that it ignores tie games completely…
  10. The definition of that says it’s not repeatable and holds no predictive value. So anyone who believes in “clutch” should probably ignore that stat. Also it’s calculated using the Leverage Index, which does increase as innings go on, depending on score. Basically a 1 run lead in the 7th inning is higher leverage than a 1 run lead in the 2nd. Now with Richards as a starting pitcher, he has to pitch deeper into games t get to some of those truly high leverage situations. And when he does get there, he has a full workload already behind him. If he closed, this wouldn’t be the case. So this stat is not really applicable here IMO…
  11. Can you tell me where you got this stat?
  12. His career splits on B-R tell a different story, especially when one considers he achieved them as a starter…
  13. Based on what?
  14. Austin Davis is quietly been effective recently. Last 4 games: 3.1 IP 0.00 ERA, 4:1 K:BB .397 OPSA, 2 of 2 runners stranded…
  15. So is 4.1IP from Barnes, but here we are…
  16. What’s the profile?
  17. Still on board…
  18. But the year he was a closer for the Angels, his ERA was 2.48. So if you really believe closing is a special skill set that requires a different mentality, he has done well in that role…
  19. Exactly. But it’s a huge factor now
  20. That would have been better. He was the #12 overall pick who fell 11 slots due to dug ability questions. And while still in A ball, numerous players drafted before and after him are already in MLB, including other pitchers taken from high school that year…
  21. But then not all of his struggles have been in save situations. This really has nothing to do with the role of closer…
  22. Soreness isn’t an injury? Forearm soreness on a pitcher?
  23. Unless he gets injured again..
  24. So Barnes’ contract is sunk cost based on 4 bad innings?
  25. JBJ was like that, too. But we didn’t see it so much because he did not excel at getting on base…
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