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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Cora and Bloom do not appear to share this plan. And I can see going with 14 pitchers in April. Starters will likely be on pitch counts and probably rarely go 6 IP in a start for a few weeks, leaving a lot of available innings. And the Sox will not want to burn out the bullpen by June, since no one really knows what the effects are of all of these players entering their first 162 game season since 2019...
  2. I think less. Largely because 1) there will need to be an AL team that thinks they have some post-season chances but lack a DH, which is the easiest position to fill, 2) even with some subsidization, JD's contract is still pretty expensive, especially since he is not going to opt out after this season, and 3) as he is not opting out, and the Sox get Sale back in 2022, if JD is hitting well enough to be considered actual valuable trade bait, then why wouldn't they keep him in the plans for 2022?
  3. While Kimbrel's numbers are definitely better in the 9th as opposed to the 8th inning, it's not fair to say he was better in the ninth. In that situation, you're drawing a conclusion from 486 innings in one situation versus 29 in the other. Same with Papelbon, who threw 51.2 IP in the 8th inning and 584 IP in the 9th. But the Save is so revered that many call Mariano Rivera the clear cut best relief pitcher ever. I would say there is a very solid argument that Rich Gossage actually was. And I would make an argument that Mariano Rivera is the most overrated player in MLB history (bearing in mind "overrated" just means he gets more credit than he deserves, not that he was never any good or wasn't great).
  4. Maybe Martinez is the guy at risk if Triston Casas posts a .950 OPS by July 1...
  5. Also worth pointing out, for a while there was a statistic called "Tough Saves" that was not an official stat, but was tabulated by Rolaids when they were doing to Relief Man Award. (Remember that?) A Tough Save occurred when the closer came in with the tying run on base. And every year the league leader in Tough Saves would have like maybe 4. So a closer would get 35-40 saves, but only maybe 4 Tough Saves. The Tough Save was only tracked from 2000 through 2012. The record in a season is 8, held by J.J. Putz in 2007. That record total is the only time a pitcher was credited with more than 5 Tough Saves in a season. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rolaids_Relief_Man_Award
  6. Holds really are saves. The definition of a hold is exactly the same as a save except for the whole "final" part. And if a pitcher fails to get a hold, the statistic he is credited with is a Blown Save. But closers get held in a whole different regard. Not just by fans, but also by GMs when it comes to determining paychecks...
  7. For 2021, I am ok with Devers at 3b and Dalbec at 1b. Again, without Sale, this is going to be a tough season anyway so if the Sox take some time to evaluate a few things, it makes a lot of sense. If the Sox miss the post-season this year, it will not be because of Devers play at 3B...
  8. Exactly. Like I said, if the closer is facing the 7-8-9 hitter, in many cases, that means someone else was facing the 4-5-6 hitters. Who really did the better job? But teams for years have geared the bullpen around the "save" stat when in many cases, the true hero was guy out there getting the largely unheralded hold....
  9. JD has re-invented himself before. This is a guy who was once released from a rebuilding team. Think about that. A team not even trying to win and with nothing to lose simply gave up on him. That's like getting released by the Orioles or Pirates today. And he turned that around and almost immediately became one of the most devastating hitters in the AL...
  10. I do like the idea of Dalbec in LF. If he has one defensive asset that scores highly, it is his throwing arm. And that is completely wasted at 1b...
  11. Yeah I guess I am not so impressed when a closer comes in to get the final 3 outs of a game with a 3 run lead and the 6-7-8 or 7-8-9 hitters coming up. Especially since this means the set up guy was facing the 3-4-5 or 4-5-6 hitters just one inning before...
  12. Possible, but if they keep 14 pitchers and no one is hurt (which might not be the case as we do have Franchy Cordero), who doesn't make the team? Plawecki (or equivalent) is a certainty. That leaves 2 roster spots for Gonzalez, Arroyo and Chavis. Maybe Chavis should take up catching?
  13. Bingo. I would rather see a team's best reliever used when the game is actually on the line as opposed to being reserved for the final 3 to 4 outs.
  14. Don't lose any sleep over it. It's not your job
  15. Well, they did try him as a starter first. Just because someone is the greatest ever at some task doesn't make the task more important. Somewhere out there, someone can lay claim to the title of World's Greatest Bag Boy...
  16. I’m ok with Houck as a closer, but I’m on record as saying that particular role is overrated...
  17. Even Pumpsie seems questionable. He did post here and at free forums after leaving BDC. The one guy talksox really missed out on was andrewmitch. He would just attack people relentlessly and then block them. Classic stuff...
  18. Unless there is an injury, how many at bats do you think Chavis will get in April in Boston? Yes, it will be more than 0. But it might be less than 15.
  19. Casas is listed as being slightly taller (6'5" as opposed to the diminutive 6'4" Dalbec), but who knows how much the height difference really is. If Casas threw left-handed, it would give him a bigger edge based on physical tools...
  20. Andriese is the guy for when someone misses a single start or if there is a double header. But if someone if gong on the Injured List, it might be Houck or Seabold instead...
  21. The difference is if Andriese is not in the rotation, he will be in the bullpen. Houck looks like Boston rotation or Worcester rotation right now...
  22. Baseball-Reference and sportrac both note he has an opt-out after 2021. Cots does not acknowledge it beyond it being a mutual option if he has a Lisfranc injury. So I guess it comes down to what source you like best. Doesn't matter. Since he is NOT opting out...
  23. Some are. But a greater amount of others are out of MLB by then. Sometimes due to ineffectiveness. Sometimes due to injury. And sometimes they just cannot get a deal. Look at 32yo Rick Porcello...
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