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Everything posted by notin
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BTV accepts a 1 for 1 deal for Duran. Not sure the Twins would, but I suspect Duran headlines any deal for him…
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It depends why he was moved off there in the first place…
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Everyone is not pitching. It’s a combined non-effort!! (Enough yet, Bellhorn?) -
So you’d think about Duran for Means but you’re out on Duran for the younger and better Jose Berrios? I get the years of control, but 1.3 years of a top 15 pitcher in MLB (which, since 2019, Berrios is) has to have significant value, too…
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They’d turn the gun on you…
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That Henry Davis was chosen number one in the draft does make me think the pitch clock is gaining traction…
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Baltimore wouldn’t do D at gunpoint. And even C is a stretch…
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But I think their pitching will equal that…
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I don’t think the Sox spin doctors possess the influence to cause Duran’s meteoric rise in the prospect rankings. Duran himself is doing something that impresses people…
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The WAPM operated on this exact principle!!!!
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As mentioned last night, a big part of the Dodger model seems to involve taking unwanted utility infielders and turning them into All Stars (Turner, Taylor, Muncy). Can Bloom pull this off? Christian Arroyo certainly hopes so…
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So far, the buzz is Berrios will be very costly. If he is, then it’s very likely going to require a package many are uncomfortable surrendering. Given Bloom is working on a build from within strategy (my best guess), it seems unlikely he would empty the farm for a chance at a title potentially followed by mediocrity. And if Henry wanted that model, he would have kept Dombrowski. I think Berrios/Duran is unlikely. I wouldn’t be surprised if that was the price tag, but I would be if Bloom pulled the trigger. Unless he has as many questions about Duran as I have…
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Of course, when DiMaggio and Berra played, it helped that free agency didn’t exist. So if you had a good team in, say, 1948, chances were you would also be good in 1949. And DiMaggio and Berra absolutely did play on some stacked teams that kept bringing everybody back…
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Sure. Would the Twins deal Berrios for a package that doesn’t include Jarren Duran?
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One reason it might be easier is pitchers have just gone through a full season. For years, David Price was held up as an example of a post season choker based solely on cursory glances at his post season stats. And for all of those years, I tried pointing out that as he routinely pitches well over 200 IP per season, maybe it was fatigue or soreness. Nope. Choke. Had to be. Then 2018 happened. Price pitched about 40 fewer innings during the regular season. And was good in the postseason. A lot of people thought he overcame his yips, but I had been saying for years that the innings matter…
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That's a big part of the problem is th sample sizes. Mookie has 181 post-season plate appearances, but they're spread out over 5 years. You can't weigh 23yo Mookie Betts in 2016 the same as you do 2020 Mookie Betts at age 27. But when you look at post-season stats asa whole, that's what you do. And if you simply count every post-season plate appearance as equally clutch because you over-romanticize October baseball, you cheapen the whole idea of clutch. Also, you ignore other factors...
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Last year, the Dodgers put 11 runs on the Braves in the first inning of a postseason game. Are you telling me that - to use your words - "most of" the last 8 innings of that game had clutch moments?
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I was one blogger’s take that the Sox needed a leadoff hitter and should be in and Adam Frazier. While I agree he could upgrade that role, where would he play defensively?
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His point is that if hitters can be clutch or choke, can’t pitchers, too? If you argue postseason is clutch because of the magnified pressure, aren’t pitchers also under the same pressure?
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I’m on board with high leverage, but really clutch isn’t so simple to define. For example, people are citing postseason stats. Are all postseason stats really clutch? We all saw the Sox beat Cleveland in back to back games by scores of 11-2 and 12-2. Were the hits that drove in runs 11 and 12 really all that clutch? I can agree that late and close numbers and high leverage numbers are good, but they can’t be all there is. JD Drew hit a pretty clutch grand slam in the 2007 ALDS, but it was in the first inning. So clearly, not late. The only truly clutch hitter I can think of as the one guy with situational super powers was Pat Tabler. Career OPS - .724. Career OPS with the bases loaded - 1.198. Considering he wasn’t really even a starter for most of his career and was used as a pinch hitter - often because of his track record with the bases loaded - he’s the only truly clutch player I can think of…
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7 inning double headers need to go…
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I was mixing up Hernandez and Gonzalez. My bad. But then Gonzalez is a bench player so my point still stands that these are not the guys holding the team back
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I take it you mean in his career and not just Boston..
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Gonzalez is the best CF on the team. Santana is a bench player. Chavis is on the Worcester-Boston shuttle. Not sure these are the guys holding the team back…
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Then all we would need is some lions!!!
