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Everything posted by notin
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Another factor is if he opts out, he definitely gets a qualifying offer. If he is rejecting a one year $19.4 mill option, why not make him another one year $19 mill offer to also reject? In fact, it might make sense for him to decline the option and accept the QO. That way he enters the market for 2023 as ineligible to receive one…
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Last night’s game was a prime example of why save percentage isn’t very good. Colome got a blown save, but his three-pitch strikeout of Verdugo was absolutely key in giving his team a chance to win, which they did. Robles was horrible, but it was a tie game, so, hey, no blown save and therefore it doesn’t count for save percentage…
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Not uncommon for guys who aren’t closers. They can only get a save on the 9th inning but can get blown saves in the 6th, 7th and 8th innings as well…
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No. The Sox traded for him. With MN this year, Robles was had but 2 blown saves in 26 opportunities…
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Sounding ominous, like a fictional villain. Maybe Skeletor or Darth Vader, but with just a hint of the Ice King from “Adventure Time”…
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If he accepts the option and the NL does adopt the DH for 2022, he will have missed his best chance. He won’t be struggling to put food on the table if he misses out, but there will be less interested teams and he will be a year older. Now if he accepts the option and the NL adopts the DH in 2023, he should be fine. But I can’t compare the hypothetical contracts…
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I’ll take it. I don’t even get that much like from my family…
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For all of this closer talk about last night’s loss, the game was neither a save situation nor did the Twins rally in the ninth…
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It seems as though that pressure would also fall on the hitter, equalizing the whole confrontation to an extent…
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No, and if convicted, Colome can be either sentenced to 5 years in prison or forced two watch two full episodes of “90 Day Fiancé”. But not both…
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Almost as if they had a strategy for him…
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I disagree. I have to imagine a pitcher is far more amped up facing Bo Bichette and Vlad Jr. in the 8th than facing Brayvic Valera and Sergio Espinal in the 9th. After all, baseball is competition. And better opponents make for more intense moments…
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The new CBA is a factor for JD, I suspect. If his agent thinks the new CBA will include a DH in the NL, he’d be stupid not to opt out, as 15 more teams suddenly need his services. But that’s unlikely to be resolved by the time he has to make a decision. So if he has to guess, the safer choice is to just exercise his option for 2022. Especially given his recent slump. Now if he goes on a tear the way of the way, obviously things can change…
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It will catch up. Teams will still have the best relievers in some sort of high leverage role. So maybe instead of shelling out millions for the overblown save stat, owners will have to pay heavily for the underrated Hold stat. And some sabermetrician somewhere will create an even newer, better way to evaluate relievers. Maybe Nate Silver’s Goose Egg stat will finally catch on…
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While most teams use their best reliever as their closer, that’s also not always the case. Cleveland used to deploy Andrew Miller in the high leverage innings against the other teams best hitters. And unless the heart of the order wa due up in a one run game, they let Cody Allen get the easier saves. TB has been using Andrew Kittredge similarly this year…
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Even before deploying the “opener” strategy, Tampa Bay was one of two teams (KC being the other) where the whole strategy was to get to the bullpen ASAP. Starters rarely went more than 5, and very often went less even when cruising…
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However they deploy them, they use multiple people in the role. They have 5 pitchers with multiple saves this year. Really it’s been “closer by hot streak”. They give a guy a few save opportunities for a while, then someone else gets a chance. Then it goes back to Diego Castillo. It would probably have been a true committee if they ever had the departed Castillo along with Pete Fairbanks and Nick Anderson all healthy at once at any point this season…
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Closer By Short Straw?
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He’s in New York City. When the Yankees are bad, folks there get more violent…
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Task Force Closers! Sounds like the title of an action moving. Starring John Cena…
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As long as you have actual good pitchers, there’s no real issue with the whole “committee” approach to closing. Tampa has been using one all season…
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Over the long haul, as indicated in the premise, a closer will have enough one run save chances to add some validity to the stat. The biggest problems I have with save percentage is that it ignores tie games completely…
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The definition of that says it’s not repeatable and holds no predictive value. So anyone who believes in “clutch” should probably ignore that stat. Also it’s calculated using the Leverage Index, which does increase as innings go on, depending on score. Basically a 1 run lead in the 7th inning is higher leverage than a 1 run lead in the 2nd. Now with Richards as a starting pitcher, he has to pitch deeper into games t get to some of those truly high leverage situations. And when he does get there, he has a full workload already behind him. If he closed, this wouldn’t be the case. So this stat is not really applicable here IMO…
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Can you tell me where you got this stat?
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His career splits on B-R tell a different story, especially when one considers he achieved them as a starter…
