moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I’m typing from my phone.
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Garrit Cole to get MRI. We are not alone.
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I wasn’t implying you had Fitts at #7, but I do think he might get a look. My point about disaster means that if we do go 8-9-10 deep for a SPer to get more than just a fill in start, it would mean injuries or failures by our top 5-6-7 SPers. I do think we will limit GS and IP with a few of our top 5 SPers, so using our 6-7-8 SPers may not mean disaster, but I do think if we end up going beyond that, it will mean we are out of it by August anc are just throwing things against the wall
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This is already year 5, six if you count 2019.
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We still have Ref vs LHd pitchers, Rafaela in May and Anthony casting a big shadow over somebody’s job in ‘25. I’m not worried about our OF, except on D when Duran is in CF. It’s not great, but it has serious upside. I’m not sure any amount of time inAAA is going to get Rafaela to change his free swinging ways. They had all last year and before to do it, and it didn’t change a thing. Some free swingers succeed without much adjustment, but it’s a fine line to walk. I think he makes contact enough to not be a negative on O. It might take time to get to plus, but I like his chances. His D is off the charts in CF, so he may stick around, even if his O is slightly negative, every year.
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I’d say yes- in RF. O’Neill in LF and sadly Duran in CF.
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It looks like 2024 will be a grand experiment to find out which and how many SPers we can count on going forward. Some may end up bring TBD’d, but we should know a lot more about… Bello as a #2 or 3 or whatever. Crawford was for real in’23 or not. Pivetta extended or not. Whitlock’s question is more about duarabilty and eating innings. Houck could stick as a SPer, even if he does not improve his game after the first 18 batters, but he still has to pitch better than ‘23, IMO. I’m dead set against Wink as a SPer, but it looks like he will get a shot, st some point. He may surprise. Fitts could show he belongs, but he may not even be slotted #7, as of now. We may see Criswell or maybe even Murphy or Walter before him. Wikelman and Gambrel getting looks would mean the season is a disaster.
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I’m thinking Teel and Anthony might outshine Casas and Bello.
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Well said.
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I’m all for taking the best player on the board, regardless of position. If it’s a tie, lean to pitchers.
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Yes, and Wong, Whitlock and Houck not long ago.
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Id pass on that one
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We also graduated Bello and Casas, recently, although many other top ranked teams have graduated as much or more than us.
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Nope
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That’s the MLB success rate on FA’s. Giving the Sox a 50% ranking, which is normal, is out of character, for you.
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Watching the draft, the minors and the mid season trades we make may be the high points of this season, but I do think there are plenty of sub plots to generate enough interest in the big club games: Bello Casas Grissom Devers Story Yoshida Duran, Rafaela and Abreu Wong, McGuire and maybe Teel Crawford & Wink Houck & Whitlock Jansen & Martin Campbell, Slaten and other RPers We can still see some fun, this year, but the wins may be too few and far between for most fans to enjoy much of anything.
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I think Bleacher report had us average, too, but most had us way higher. I think fangraphs had us 2nd. I e never valued the MLB Pipeline all that much, but I’m no expert on which rankings are most accurate. I think like Bell on this. The average ranking seems to be the way to see it, and I believe that would be around 7-10.
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The average ranking seems to be top 10.
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Like I said, one ranking system has us14th, which I agree is “average.” Why do you cling to that one as being the only correct one? Most have us top 10. Do you agree top 10 is not average? Well, that’s why. I’d guess the average ranking is around7-9. Law had us 8th, and he is notorious for dinging the Sox. He even hinted that he thought we were better than 8th but he dropped us due to imbalance. I don’t think our farm is average, and I have more supporting evidence than any who say it is. Explain why you think this one ranking is king.
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We also added a couple RPers that look promising: Campbell and Slater, but Breslow’s first IFA round showed no increase in pitchers of bonuses for pitchers.
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Yes, it’s a great read and one of the most in-depth articles I’ve ever seen on do’s. The IFA route has not been much better. I will say, as bad as we have done with pitching since maybe Lester, we have had a few more decent pitchers come up in the last 2-4 years than we had in the previous 4-6 years. Bello Houck Crawford Rule 5 Whitlock Trade Winckowski We are missing an ace. I’m not trying to gloss over what has been going on. The current farm looks horrible on future SPers, but we did see a little window of near decency.
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E Valdez with a tater in the DR. Could this guy be a big surprise bat for the Sox in ‘24?
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From this one study, yes, but my hunch is this goes back much longer. Drafting pitchers highly just has not been our thing for at least a couple decades, IMO.
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It mentions pitchers from as far back as 2012, but the draft bonus study part was 2018-2023.
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Okay. Some do rank us that highly, but I’d say most of us think we are top 10 or 12.
