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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Good one. I think he was 26 1/2 and had a .900 OPS w WSH in 927 games and almost 4000 PAs. 7 seasons and 184 HRs. Per 650 PAs: .279 30 86 Soto: 7 years. 936 games and just over 4,000 PAs. (201 HRs) Per 650: .285 33 94
  2. moonslav59
    It's kinda weird how we have done much better with lower comp picks than our top picks. 2023: Campbell picked after Duffy, Anderson, Zanetello & Teel. 2022: Anthony after Coffey & Romero 2014: Kopech (Ellsbury) after Chavis (later part of Sale trade) 2012: B Johnson & P light (both for Papelbon) after Marrero 2011: Owens (VMart) after Swihart (Beltre) and Barnes (VMart) -both also comp picks. 2011: JBJ (Beltre) after Owens, Swihart & Barnes 2010: Vitek & Ranaudo (Wagner) were our first & third picks. Brentz & Workman (Jason Bay) were our 2nd and 4th picks. 2008: Stephen Fife (Hunter Morris) after Gibson, B Price (Gagne) and Casey Kelly We've had some good luck with comp picks. Let's hope the streak continues with the one for Pivetta. 2006: Daniel Bard and K Johnson (Damon) after Jason Place. 2005 wins the award: 1. Ellsbury (Cabrera) 2. Hansen (D Lowe) 3. Buccholz (pedro) 4. Lowrie (Cabrera) 5. Bowden (D Lowe) 6. Egan (Pedro) Followw this trail: We traded Nomar for Cabrera and a ring, then got Jacoby and Lowrie for Cabrera. Later we got Kopech for Ellsbury and Sale for Kopech (and others.) Now, we have Grissom for Sale. The gift keeps giving, even if the last one was a boobie prize.
  3. moonslav59
    Yes. I have never called the Sox "Tampa Bay North." I just said that the Bloom hiring and quick trade of Mookie was likely a big factor in the term being used by others.
  4. moonslav59
    I agree. I challenge everyone to name another past 26 year old FA as good as Soto. In this sense, he is "generational."
  5. moonslav59
    A guy named Hugh said it.
  6. moonslav59
    A player might have a higher potential of sticking in the bigs but a low ceiling than someone with less of a potential to stick.
  7. moonslav59
    Where is it listed?
  8. moonslav59
    DD was reportedly about to trade Mookie in 2019, but the team started playing better, and they decided not to be sellers.
  9. moonslav59
    But they did show a willingness to pay a lot for someone. The other thing the Rays often do, is back-load a deal, so they trade the guy, when the contract goes up.
  10. moonslav59
    I understand how Priester appears to have better swing and miss stuff. I think they are pretty close in potential. I was responding to the point made about the so-so Fitts numbers for 2024, and I felt it is only fair to point out Priester's equally so-so numbers at the same levels.
  11. moonslav59
    Both reeked of "Tampa Bay North." Not replacing Kimbrel, Kelly, Porcello, ERod, JD and others. Trading away Beni to save $3M to afford Renfroe. All seemed like the Rays, although there were deals like Ottavino and eventually Story, Yoshida and the bomb Devers extension.
  12. moonslav59
    Forget Fitts in MLB in 2024. Did Priester show anything better in MLB or AAA, this year? 5.44 in 50 IP MLB 1.17 WHIP (2.4 K:BB) 4.38 in 72 IP in AAA 1.41 WHIP (4.1 K:BB) (2023: 7.74 in 50 IP in MLB and 4.00 at AAA in 108 IP) Fitts was 4.17 in AAA '24 with a 1.28 WHIP and 3.0:1 K:BB (Better ERA and WHIP/worse K:BB) Fitts in AA in '23: 3.48 ERA in 153 IP (lots of innings) 1.14 WHIP and 3.8 K:BB. soxprospects.com: Fastball: 93-96 mph. Tops out at 98 mph. Velocity has steadily increased through 2023 and into 2024.
  13. moonslav59
    Going forward, I think I Campbell sticks in the bigs, and he has cost-controlled years remaining. Urias may get another chance, and at less than $5M, IMO.
  14. moonslav59
    Making Bloom the GM had a lot to do with it, too. He was literally the author of the book on the Rays strategies.
  15. moonslav59
    Well, we traded Dugo for Fitts (and others.)
  16. moonslav59
    I forgot about Shugart. I think Gaspar gets traded or DFA'd, when we add a ML catcher, and that will happen.
  17. moonslav59
    I was thinking the same thing, but I'm just not sure what they see in Horn, Penrod or Gasper. I don't see Campbell pitch, so my opinion is based on what I read about him. I liked him better than Wikelman, Murphy, Booser, Sogard and even Justin Wilson. It just goes to show how little I and maybe some others know. I did get the Jh Garcia call right.
  18. moonslav59
    There are usually 3-5 Frieds, every winter. There may be guys like Ohtani (P & hitter) and Judge, but usually there is just one per winter, and they are never 26. I seriously doubt we get Soto, but if it's a choice, I go with Soto and trade for arms. And, I'm the guy that always puts SP'er at the top of my winter wish list. Soto is a one-time opportunity. To me, the last thing that came close was the near-miss ARod trade and then Manny signing, before that.
  19. moonslav59
    I have to say I am very surprised we DFA'd Campbell over 5 or 6 others. Mata was out of options, so he makes sense. Protecting Dobbins and JH Garcia is what I expected.
  20. moonslav59
    I like Fitts more than Priester, but they are close.
  21. moonslav59
    Grissom would probably just squeak into my top 30 (or 25th.) Fitts above Romero.
  22. moonslav59
    It seems like the real "nutty," recent signings have been by the LAD, SDP and maybe the Rangers. I agree, the Mets signings don't jump out as being massive overpays. It was more about their total budget blasting by everyone else. I'm not sure the Dodgers are planning on going nutty every winter. The Rangers and Padres have already pulled back. The Yanks may step up to keep Soto, and the Mets will likely make a hefty final offer, but do not think it is a sure bet Soto ends up in NY. I'm not predicting the Sox. I wouldn't even say I'm hoping we sign him, if the price keeps us from spending in the future. (You know JH will pull back, at some point, if he spends big on Soto.) I'd rather go with pitching, but we could trade for that, especially by adding Soto. We have 4 top prospects and a solid 9, even before Soto & the kids. We would have enough trade capital to add a solid SP'er, perhaps at a low cost.
  23. moonslav59
    T, he official rankings are out and ND is 6th, with a real chance to move up, assuming we win out. (Certainly not a slam dunk with Army and USC remaining.) There will be conference playoff games not listed, here. 1. Oregon (v WSH) 2. Ohio St (v IN, v Mich) 3. Texas (v KY, at TX A&M) 4. Penn St (at MN, v MD) 5. Indiana (at Ohio St, v PUR) 6. Notre Dame (v Army, at USC) 7. Alabama (at OK, v AUB) 8. Miami (v WF, at SYR) 9. Ole Miss (at FL, v MS St) 10. Georgia (GA Tech) 11. Tennessee (v UTEP, at Vandy) 12. Boise St (at WY, v ORE St) 13. SMU and 14. BYU and undefeated Army might sneak in.
  24. moonslav59
    Yes, many times a not top 10 or 20 prospect ends up doing better or much better than many listed above him. We can also look at the highly rated farm DD inherited, and ended up trading many away. We saw how most came up short, while others like Devers ended up doing very well. Others did okay. Several of DD's prospects, picked lower on the board ended up surprising us. soxprospects.com Fall 2015 1. Moncada (Sale trade) 2. Devers (on roster) 3. Espinoza (PomPom trade) 4. Margot (Kimbrel trade) 5. Benintendi (traded by Bloom for Wink & others) 6. Guerra (kimbrel trade) 7. Kopech (Sale trade) 8. Johnson (DFA'd 2020) 9. Sam Travis (traded by Bloom for Jeffery Springs) 10. D Marrero (Josh Taylor trade) 11. Chavis (traded by Bloom for Austin Davis) 12. Luis Ax Basabe (Sale trade) 13. Logan Allen (Kimbrel trade) 14. Trey Ball (never got past AA) 15. Wendell Rijo (Aaron Wilkerson trade) 16. Nick Longhi (never got past AAA) 17. Marco Hernandez (271 career PAs in MLB) 18. Mauricio Dubon (Thornburg trade) 19. Pat Light (Abad trade) 20. Stankiewicz (AAA to Mexican League) Others not in top 20 in 2015: Beeks, Raudes, Chatham, W Jerez (not a complete list)
  25. moonslav59
    When you have a young catcher looking this promising, you hold on to him tightly and hope for the best. I'm looking mostly at how his defensie progresses in 2025. I think his bat will be good enough to stick in the bigs. The league average numbers for a team's catchers in 2024: .234 18 73 .300 OBP .378 SLG .678 OPS It's not a high bar to get to the league average.
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