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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Closer to 12th best in the AL than a WC or top 6 slot. Closer to the 7th worst record in MLB than than 14th best.
  2. moonslav59
    His 2.3 fWAR is not great, this year, and if they believe he is in decline, they might be open to trading him, but not for a DH. The only reason he is "middle of the rotation" is because Kirby and Gilbert are 1-2 on SEA. 2023-2024: Castillo's 5.6 fWAR places him 26th in MLB. That is a #1 not a #3. He's tied with Gilbert & Kirby at 88 on ERA-.
  3. moonslav59
    They also have Penrod with an up arrow, so I'm not sure how up to date they are on that. Do they do an early Sept re-ranking?
  4. moonslav59
    Agreed. I'd add that ATL could also afford to part with Grissom, because they have better options at 2B. We did not think we did, although DHam and Romy did okay, after 2 months of scrambling and failing, there.
  5. moonslav59
    I'm not sure about the lying or deceiving part, but I'm not sure they did not lie, either. We do know he spent the Gio money on the wrong guy. That was a big chunk of his budget. The only other tangible salary addition was O'Neill, which was 2/3 of what Dugo got for his final arb. We lost the money on Turner, Dugo, Kike, Urias, Sale, Kluber, Paxton, Schreiber and added 2 guys plus the inexpensive Grissom, Slaten, Weissert, Campbell and prospects. The slash to the budget was obvious.
  6. moonslav59
    Exactly, and within this context, blaming Brez for trying to improve on SP'er IP by signing Gio and trading Sale, it makes more sense, at the time. Of course, keeping Sale and not signing Gio would work for the budget and our success, but at the time, Brez was looking for an innings eater (Gio) and a RHB OF'er (O'Neill), plus pen help (Slaten, Weissert, I Campbell) with a tighter budget than the year before. Remember, many felt we needed to replace Turner, too, and we never really replaced Bogey & others from 2022.
  7. moonslav59
    There are over 200 players with 350+ PAs. Abreu was not playing all that much in April and has been mostly a platoon player the rest of the way. Still, he ranks 18th in total PAs in MLB at 377. He ranks 54th in fWAR. That is very nice. The average team has 2 players in the top 60. He's #31 in OPS (almost top 1/9 tier.) 44th in wRC+ This would likely go down, some, if he bats FT and starts vs LHPs, but this guy can hit. He is also pre-prime years and pre Arb!
  8. moonslav59
    Nice article. I am extremely optimistic about our farm, and am happy so many are now ML ready or close to it. We also seem to have several players 1-2 years away and several more 3-4 years away. It would be nice to see more pitchers ranked higher, but we have a ton ranked from about 8th to 40th, and we can hope a few take big steps forward, next year. We may see Priester or Fitts help, next year, but neither rate to be more than a 4/5 SP'er, and more likely a 6/7 or mid-relief pitcher.
  9. moonslav59
    We could possibly end up with the 4th worst record in the AL and 8th worst in MLB- 7th worst is not impossible, as PIT is 65-74.
  10. moonslav59
    93-69 BAL 92-70 NYY 80-82 TBR 78-84 BOS 77-85 TOR HEY! NO LAST PLACE!!!
  11. moonslav59
    They aren't looking to cut costs, and they view the castillo signing as a team-friendly deal, because it is. If he was more of a "dump" type guy, then this makes sense.
  12. moonslav59
    Where are the results?
  13. moonslav59
    Agreed, but as of now, they must think not spending on winning makes them more money.
  14. moonslav59
    Exactly. They could have gotten something for all these guys AND gotten a better comp pick for Bogey by getting under the tax line. (We did get K Campbell, so maybe that argument rings hollow.)
  15. moonslav59
    Yes, I even said we should be loud about it. My point was that most business leaders do the same thing: it's all about money and not the customer. Usually, making the customer happy is a big way to increase profits, but not always as the only way to do it.
  16. moonslav59
    He and Lugo, as well as my late enthusiasm for Monty (after Gio's injury) were my fave choices, last winter. It was a pretty good year for signings between $15-18M AAV.... just not Gio.
  17. moonslav59
    Story is the BIG IF, but him staying healthy for a full season greatly improves the SS defense AND... CF: as not Rafaela plays FT CF. LF: as now Duran plays FT LF, with no more Ref misjudging flyballs, there. 2B: might be improved as DHam and Romy no longer need to play SS, and are better at 2B than EValdez and Grissom were in 2024. I hope we can improve Catcher D, but that depends on Wong improving as he turns 29 and or Teel or whoever the back-up catcher is does better than McGuire/Jansen. Corner IF looks to be the same, although Devers and Casas are wildly inconsistent, so it could go either way. Abreu in RF looks to stay the same... kinda meh, IMO. If Anthony plays RF, instead of Ref, we might gain some there. C: bottom 5-10 1B: bottom 20-25 2B: average SS top 5-10 3B: bottom 20-30 LF: top 5 CF: top 5 RF: top 10-20 Overall: maybe neat average.
  18. moonslav59
    I'm surprised BTV accepted it. I don't think a DH only guy at $18M has any plus value, even if he hits .820.
  19. moonslav59
    I know Bleis was slowed by the missed season due to injury, and he starting to hit, now, but his numbers are just not impressive, to me. I still think he has the "tools," like you do. Part of the reason I have him 10th is that I'm super high on Jh Garcia and Cespedes. I wanted to put him above Perales, but Perales is a top 100 prospect, when healthy.
  20. moonslav59
    That might have been his peak value point. It's hard to know how each GM looks at injuries and injury prone players/prospects. My guess is a few GMs still would really like him, but I do think his value has dipped, despite doing well in higher levels, this season.
  21. moonslav59
    78 wins is likely the correct over-under, at this point.
  22. moonslav59
    Agree 100%, especially once Gio went down. I do think the budget trumps it all, and that is why we signed nobody else but Gio. If notin's point about us being able to trade Sale and his full contract and not get Grissom back, then maybe we spend that "extra $17M" on Lugo or Imanaga. Despite the Gio injury, one of them might have been enough. As it turned out the DHam-Romy platoon at 2B became pretty good by the start of summer. Had we just spent the same as last year, we could have signed a $10M pitcher or got by without O'Neill and got one of those same pitchers. If, if, if...
  23. moonslav59
    Lower end, if not below 80 is looking likely, now. Man, that sure happened, quickly. Release the hounds!
  24. moonslav59
    My Early SEP Prospect Rankings (not predicting soxprospects.com's rankings:) 1. Anthony 2. Campbell 3. Mayer 4. Teel 5. Montgomery 6. Arias 7. Cespedes 8. Jh Garcia 9. Perales 10. Bleis 11. Meidroth 12. Romero 13. Priester 14. Sandlin 15. Fitts 16. Tolle 17. Jo. Garcia 18. E R-C 19. Valera 20. Monegro Dobbins, Castro, Cason, Paez, Neely
  25. moonslav59
    It happened quicker than I thought it could/would.
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