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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I agree, and this supports the view: Away numbers: ERA/ OPS Against/WHIP 4.07/.673/1.095 Miller (Career: 4.52/.714/1.146) 4.32/.727/1.092 Crawford (Career: 4.06/.701/1.104) Crawford has better 2023 and career road numbers, though.
  2. moonslav59
    More likely, Brez trades other players, so Yoshida becomes the best DH option, at least vs RHPs. I would guess Abreu and DHam will be traded, perhaps even if we don't promote Campbell or Mayer. C: Wong + _____ 1B: Casas (Romy) 2B: Grissom (Rafaela/Romy) SS: Story (Rafaela/Romy) 3B: Devers (Romy/Grissom) LF: Duran (Ref) CF: Rafaela (Duran) RF: Anthony (Ref/Raf) DH: Yoshida (Ref)
  3. moonslav59
    Agreed. My point has been, if he's healthy, he is ML ready.
  4. moonslav59
    I think our #9-18 pen depth may be better than most teams. If we add 2 solid pen arms, thereby pushing others down 2 slots, our 9-18 would look top 8-10, to me. Our issue is our top 2-3 pen arms.
  5. moonslav59
    Only the injuries have held him back.
  6. moonslav59
    Soto's numbers per 162: '23-'24: .281 39 111 (.415 OBP, .545 SLG, 166 OPS+) '20-'21: .322 34 108 (.471/.572/ 185 OPS+) Career: .285 35 102 (.421/.532/ 160 OPS+) 2018-2024 OPS (3500+ PAs) 1.014 Judge .953 Soto (.421 OBP is #1 and .014 ahead of Judge.) .945 Ohtani .931 Betts .925 Freeman .918 Harper 11. Devers .858 BB/K 1.10 Soto 1.02 Bregman 0.88 Jose Ramirez 0.87 Santana 0.83 Betts
  7. moonslav59
    I'd think if $600M/12 is that close to sealing the deal, we could go to $640M/14, if someone counters.
  8. moonslav59
    MLB OBP .312 in 2024 (and 2022) It was .320 in 2023. .312 is the lowest since 1972. It was over .330, every year, from 2004 to 2009. That's a 20 point drop from over a decade ago. It was above .340 3 times from 1996 to 2000. I think one could argue that .340 is the "new" .350 or even .360. Duran was at about .345 from '23 to '24, which is the 20 point from from your .365. Out of 115 batters with 1,000+ PAs since 2023, Duran places 38th at .343- just behind Jose Ramirez and Gunnar Henderson, but ahead of Bregman and Lindor. He's 49th out of 186 with 800+ PAs. 57th out of 271 with 600+ (top 21%)
  9. moonslav59
    Of course we'd all be concerned, same way were were with Pedey, JBJ, Beni and Betts. Many of the best prospects jump from AA to the bigs or have just a brief stay in AAA. Yes, it'a concern that he never got to play in AAA, due to the injury the day of his call-up. His injuries have slowed his ability to prove his readiness. I do think Anthony is "more ready," and Campbell was so great in 2024, that he seem "more ready," too. I do remember reading a few articles a year or two ago, that thought Mayer would be ML ready by 2024. The injuries got in the way. I do think if Story gets hurt, Mayer would take the job from Romy and DHam in a matter of days, or even hours. Bogey and Betts had less PAs at AA + AAA than Mayer, and Bogey only played 10 games at 3B before becoming our FT 3Bman in a playoff hunt season. We were concerned, of course, but he was "ready."
  10. moonslav59
    Yup. This could be a massive letdown, and when coupled with the loss of Betts, 5 years ago, could be the final nail in JH's coffin. He'd have been better off keeping any offers quiet.
  11. moonslav59
    He can also turn a BB into a 2B with a SB. His ability to score from 1B on a 2B cannot be forgotten, either. I'm not sure I have ever seen a baserunner take an extra base more than Duran did in 2024. Many times it looked easier than it was.
  12. moonslav59
    I like this train of thought. 2023-2024 GB% leaders (200+ IP) 60 Logan Webb 59 Fried 57 C Sanchez, F Valdez 55 Houck 54 Bello 53 Stroman 51 H Brown 50 Suarez, Bradish, Elder, Glasnow, Nate
  13. moonslav59
    While MIN is no big spender, they do seem to spend more than many teams. Would you do the same trade and add Story for Correa in the mix? MIN would save, a lot of $$$.
  14. moonslav59
    I've seen the data, which is based on league wide averages, and the differential is pretty significant. I do wonder, if the numbers change, if your leadoff guys has a .345 OBP and your #2 is at .420. MLB 2024 OBP 1. .327 2. .326
  15. moonslav59
    Let's see how quickly the posters who thought JH would never spend large and long, again change their views. I'm not trying to slight anyone. This trend has been long and steady, and it begs the question on why not just keep Betts at half the price? I think JH was hit by a 2 by 4, but it took him 3-4 years to feel the sting. Call him a thick skull or numbskull, but if he pulls this off, I think Sox nation will breathe a great big sigh. If we come up short... I can't even think about it, now. He'd have to sign Burnes, Fried, Scott and more....
  16. moonslav59
    15-20 more PAs than the 4 slot and maybe 35-40 more than the 5 slot might cancel that out.
  17. moonslav59
    With Duran and Soto 1-2, maybe not.
  18. moonslav59
    The 3 hole is no longer viewed as important as it once was. 2 and 4 are tops with 5 and 1 worth more than 3. Go figure.
  19. moonslav59
    Maybe some team looking to rebuild and not caring about their budget might take Yoshida with Mayer and Abreu for someone good, but who is that team? PITT is too cheap (Mayer, Rafaela, Abreu & Yoshida for Keller & Reynolds) MINN? (Mayer or Teel, Abreu, Yoshida for Pablo Lopez & Jeffers?)
  20. moonslav59
    Say we sign Soto, Higgy, Holmes and Scott, then trade Abreu and Fitts for Crochet. We'd be pretty close to the second tax line, but I'd like this roster: SP: Crochet, Houck, Bello, Crawford, Giolito/Crawford RP: Scott, Holmes, Slaten, Whitlock, Hendriks, Crawford, Criswell, Wink 1. Duran CF 2. Soto LF 3. Casas 1B 4. Devers 3B (Yes, 4 straight lefties) 5. Story SS 6. Anthony RF 7. Yoshida-Ref DH platoon 8. DHam-Grissom 2B platoon (Campbell looming) 9. Higgy-Wong C Rafaela Utility
  21. moonslav59
    A soto signing would likely be coupled with a trade for a SP'er involving Abreu. LF: Soto CF: Duran RF: Anthony 4th: Rafaela (pretty expensive) Do we also trade him?
  22. moonslav59
    ....still time for another team to jump their bid.
  23. moonslav59
    Not sure we can believe all these rumors. Who are these guys on X? Word is the deal is 12 years, so I doubt we get a better AAV. (Why not just add 2 years and a few million?) Could it be $700M/12? That's over $58M x 12! ($650/12 would be about $54M per.) I'm trying to not get my hopes up.
  24. moonslav59
    Monty ($22.5M/1) is owed less than Yoshida $55.5M/3.) AZ had 16 more wins than losses in 2024. I don't see a fit, even if we pay enough to make the money even. What would it look like? Yoshida + $8M a year x 3 and _______ for Monty? Would the player(s) be Crawford, Fitts, Priester, Abreu and or a good, but not top 4 prospect?
  25. moonslav59
    Who could be a third team involved in a trade that send Casas and/or Abreu to SEA, STL or HOU? Do those 4 teams have the prospects needed to help reach the value of a pitcher we could get, assuming we add to the pot for the 3rd team, too? Casas to SEA/HOU/STL ______ (SP) to BOS Abreu & _____ to _____?
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