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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. The other worry is that he has only pitched over 65 IP, once- counting college.
  2. According to cots, the Sox are still $67M under the line, after the Chapman signing. This includes the 3 first year arb estimates for Houck, Duran & Crawford. If we spend $50M a year on Soto, and try to stay under the second tax line, that would leave us $37M to spend on a SP'er, another RP'er and a catcher. (We could lower the cost by making a trade.) $27M per for Fried and $10M per for Holmes or Estevez? (Trade for a 1 year, defensive catcher?)
  3. At his age, it is a good thing to be just one year. I'm hoping we sign a top RP'er to 3-4 years. Chapman and hendriks would be okay as set-up me. Slaten & Whitlock as 7th inning guys, and Wink as the long man.
  4. I hope they don't think Chapman and hendriks are the 9th inning/8th inning guys. Slaten & Whitlock are the 8th inning/set-up me. Wilson or Bernardino the other lefty Guerrero/Penrod/Kelly/Weissert/Fulmer fillers Winckowski/Criswell/Fitts/ Priester/Dobbins the long men and spot starters. I'm not even sure adding Hoffman, Estevez or Holmes would be nough. Maybe a trade for Helsley would be the best idea.
  5. Sign or trade for one- maybe a one year gut.
  6. Makes me think Scott is not coming to BOS. Maybe, we can still add Hoffman, Estevez or Holmes (who may be signed to start.)
  7. Also, we could trade Wong, if Teel shows he's the real deal.
  8. I saw an article suggesting Casas for L Ortiz.
  9. MLBTR on catchers.... With teams like the Rays, Orioles, Cubs, Blue Jays, and Padres all potentially in the market to add behind the plate, Danny Jansen and Carson Kelly are the top names ahead of an assortment of mid-30s veterans such as Gary Sanchez, Elias Diaz, and James McCann. The lack of quality options behind the plate could create a seller-friendly trade market for catchers, but few obvious trade candidates at the position exist. Minnesota’s Christian Vazquez stands as the most logical name available, but the $10MM he’s owed in 2025 eclipses his market value by a few million. Could the upcoming Winter Meetings involve a mad dash to lock up the remaining catchers on the market?
  10. True, so it may not be such an "easy" choice for the Sox.
  11. I'd love to get Sasaki, but I am not convinced he can step right in and be a better SP'er than Bello.Gio/Craw. I also included Yoshida in with Mayer, which would bring Castillo's cost to about $3M a year.
  12. Bregman would certainly make us better, but at what cost and vs who else at a similar cost? I'm not a fan of Arenado, and I still want Casas in our line-up, maybe as a co-1B/DH w Devers, but a trade with STL might make sense. Somehow including Helsley and or Yoshida would clinch the deal, for me. It's just 1 year for Helsley, so the return package should not be too high. 1. Duran CF 2. Soto LF 3. Devers 1B/DH 4. Casas DH/1B 5. Campbell 2B 6. Anthony RF 7. Story SS 8. Arenado 3B 9. Wong & ____ C Bench: C, DHam or Grissom, Rafaela & Refsnyder (assuming we trade Abreu)
  13. Mayer and Castillo makes the Castillo contract chump change. We do not have an unlimited budget.
  14. STEAMER projects 4.9 fWAR (He was 4.7, last year.) Maybe, I'm too hung up on the risk of trading for a guy who has only pitched over 65 innings once, including college and the minors.
  15. Higgy signs for $13.5M/2 with the Rangers. (That includes the the $1M buyout for the year three $10M option.) I kinda liked him as an option to bridge to Teel, but I'm not sure how good he is on defense, and that is what we need.
  16. That's a pretty good team, and follow those signings with an Abreu trade and maybe a very good team. If do not get Soto, I'd like to see... Fried (or Burnes) Teoscar Trade Abreu and Arias for Crochet Scott Hoffman, Estevez or Holmes Higgy or D Jansen
  17. Soto was a 9 fWAR guy, this year. Burnes or Fried were at about 3.5. Scott, ____, Hendriks & Fulmer replacing Jansen & Martin might not add much. Get a defensive catcher and add Crochet or someone like him and why not think 15+ wins more is possible?
  18. This about where we might look, on paper. That usually assumes normal injuries to all teams, and I like our bench. The return of Story is a big need, unless Mayer/Campbell shine. Seeing what Gio and hendriks can do might make a difference. Fulls years from Casas, Slaten, Devers and others might be a big boost, but we know someone will get hurt. I'd still like to see someone else at 3B, with Devers and Casas sharing 1B-DH duty. Abreu or prospects + Yoshida + for Arenado is one solution, but maybe Campbell/Mayer/Grissom/Meidroth can cobble together to handle 3B in 2025. I do think this could be a top 4-6. COULD. Fried, Houck, Bello, Giolito, Crawford (Criswell/Priester/Fitts/Dobbins) Scott, Holmes, Whitlock, Slaten, Hendriks, Wink, Guerrero, Wilson/Bernardino 1. Duran CF 2. Soto LF 3. Casas Dh/1B 4. Devers 1B/DH (Refsnyder) 5. Story SS 6. Anthony RF 7. Campbell 2B (DHam/Grissom) 8. Arenado 3B 9. Wong- D Jansen You may say I'm a dreamer...
  19. I'm not a huge FIP fan, but it has some value. I agree, Pivetta has been about a #3 or #4 for us. At times, he pitched like a 2 and others like a 5. I will say, I'd rather have him starting than Bello or Crawford and probably even Giolito, but I do not like the idea of trying to improve the rotation by upgrading the #3, slightly. I'm not for signing Pivetta. We need and ace, because I'm not sure Houck can even be a #2, next year. I think we have to hope he can be, or someone else jumps up a slot or two. I'd prefer Fried. I'd like to get Fried and Crochet/Castillo/Lopez vis trade and then sign Scott and a catcher, but that's a dream. It is likely too much to ask for Soto, Fried, Holmes and D Jansen, with maybe an Abreu trade for another RP'er.
  20. Top 6 or 8, yes. Do more and maybe top 4-6. On adding a catcher, I'm looking for a defensive upgrade not offense.
  21. Say we sign Soto, and not Burnes or Fried, what would it take to make us top 4-6 contenders? Two SP'ers from Nate, Flaherty, Manaea (one along with Severino or Pivetta?) Two RP'ers from Scott, Hoffman, Esteves and Holmes. Is 3 from these lits enough, assuming we add a catcher, too? Which 3? I suppose we could trade for someone like Crochet and subtract a FA signing.
  22. We won't be trading any starters, except maybe Abreu. Let's say the trade is Mayer for Crochet. We also add Soto, Scott and Higgy. I'd say we'd be a top 6-8 team, on paper. - O'Neall + Gio & Hendriks and the 4 players listed above. I won't mention full seasons by Story, casas, Slaten and others, as there will be other injuries in 2025. I'm not a big Crochet fan. He's only gone over 65 IP, once in his whole baseball career, including college. If we also added Holmes, Hoffman or Estevez, I might say we are top 4-6 in MLB.
  23. You are Mr. xFIP man, right? 2023-2024 250+ IP 18. Pivetta 3.52 19. Nola 3.54 20. Gallen 3.54 & Ragans 22. Kirby 3.60 25. Flaherty 3.64 26. Burnes 3.67 28. Nate 3.70 30. Cole 3.72 Others below this: Cease, Houck, Castillo, Lugo... (I'm not saying I want to bring back the same rotation + Gio, but if we spend on Soto and the pen, I'm not sure how much JH will give to a SP'er. Nick has a 3.92 xFIP over the last 4 seasons, while ranking 23rd in IP.
  24. I'm not saying I'd be happy with that plan. I was just trying to see at what level you'd say no. You did not answer about Soto, Crochet, Scott & Higgy.
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