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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I agree, nobody thought he was a $3-4M player, when we signed him, That wasn't the point I was making. My point is, what 3 year offer would he get, if he was a FA this winter. I think we can assume that is probably his "real value" and we'd have to pay off the difference to trade him to that GM- just to get nothing in return. What do you think he'd be signed for on a 3 year deal? $9M/3? $12M/4? $15M/3? $18M/3? More? I'm not sure anyone would pay him $20M/3. If he comes back and looks healthy in April, maybe close to that, but I can't see more than that. I'd say $15M/3 is likely the limit. Just my opinion. He's not worthless, but his contract is under water.
  2. moonslav59
    I'll knock him every year. He sucks. Even Jacko knows it. (Yes, big boo-boo on thinking the series was still 3-1.)
  3. moonslav59
    I was thinking it was 3-1. LOL. Yes, getting Soto made a big difference, but adding one more big bat would have gave them a much better shot. Counting on Stanton is a risky thing to do.
  4. moonslav59
    The Yanks have done so poorly in the playoffs, since 2009, that I almost, yes ALMOST, forgot how much I hate seeing them win. GO GUARDIANS! Stanton has woke up the echoes, for sure, and it just goes to show you how Cashman is such an idiot to not provide a couple more real good bats to t his line-up, day one. I've said it before, but here it is again, "Cashman is the best GM the Sox have ever had."
  5. moonslav59
    Dipoto will listen to any trade offer. I admit my list is rather arbitrary. I chose teams that might have a surplus of pitchers or are rebuilding, plus free agents to be.
  6. moonslav59
    Yes, I meant to write 2023-2024.
  7. moonslav59
    IA St almost lost to UCF. GA beat #1 Texas at Austin. My top 20: 1. Oregon vs #22 Illinois 2. Penn St at Wisconsin 3. Georgia (1 loss) 4. Miami vs FLA St 5. Ohia St (1 loss) vs Nebraska 6. Texas (1 loss) at Vandy 7. LSU (1 loss) at Texas A & M 8. IA St OFF week 9. Tenn (1 loss) OFF week 10. Clemson (1 loss) 11. Notre Dame (1 loss) at #25 Navy 12. BYU at UCF 13. Indiana vs Wash 14. Alabama (2 losses) vs #19 MO 15. Texas A & M (1 loss) v LSU 16, Pittsburgh (no losses) vs Syracuse 17. Kansas St (1 loss) v Kansas 18, Navy (no losses) vs ND 19. Illinois (1 loss) at #2 Oregon 20. Army (no losses)
  8. moonslav59
    Here is a list of the top fWAR SP'ers I think might be available by trade or FA signing: 3. Sonny Gray 9.2 STL 6. George Kirby 8.5 SEA 9. Kevin Gausman 8.0 TOR 11. Pablo Lopez 7.8 MIN T16. Corbin Burnes, Blake Snell 7.2 FAs 19. Logan Gilbert 7.1 SEA 23. Tanner Bibee 6.3 CLE 25. Yusei Kikuchi 6.0 FA 28. Luis Castillo 5.7 SEA 30. Mitch Keller 5.5 PIT T31: Joe RYan and Bailey Ober 5.4 MIN 35. Max Fried 5.2 FA 38. Nate 5.1 FA 39. Mikolas 5.0 STL 40. Flaherty 4.9 FA & Monty 4.9 AZ 43. Bryce Miller 4.7 SEA 44. Garrett Crochet 4.6 CWS 45. Chris Bassitt 4.5 TOR
  9. moonslav59
    PIT may be looking to retool, but I'm not sure they want to trade another high upside, young SP'er. If they deal anyone, if might be Mitch Keller, and he might be a nice fit for the Sox. He's only 28 and is signed for 4 more years. His Lux Tax hit is only $15.4M, but PIT might look to trade him before his costs go up: $15.4>$16.9>$18.4>$20.4 by 2028.) That is cheaper than the Sox would have to pay for a top 30 or 40 pitcher. Here are some of his numbers, since 2022 (3 seasons) 225 pitchers with 180+ IP 14th in GS (92) and IP (531) T33 in fWAR (7.5) w Joe Ryan & Shane Bieber and within 0.1 of Monty, Darvish, Wacha & Bassitt 140 Pitchers with 250+ IP, he places... 70th in ERA- (96) 58th in xFIP at 3.92 (just above Bello, Stroman, Monty, Bibee and Manaea) 69th K-BB% at 15.2 83rd in ERA at 4.13. I'm not sure what it would take to get him, but maybe Casas for Keller and the slumping Bednar, who has one arb left. Maybe Abreu, DHam and Dobbins for Keller.
  10. moonslav59
    Gotta love seeing ALA lose to Tenn and Texas about to go down to GA. With 2 losses, I think ALA drops from the top 12, but they could get back in by running the table. The undefeated teams outside the top 12, right now, have to think they have a shot, if they win out. Some have rather easy schedules left to go. ND got a nice win. They play a ranked Navy team, next week.
  11. moonslav59
    Depth is very important, and our 2024 depth almost got us to the dance. (Houck, Craiswell & Fitts did a great job replacing Gio and Whitlock.) IMO, if we add 1 top SP'er and 3 solid RP'er, our depth will become a strength. We already have 16-17 everyday players for 13 slots, on that side of the game.
  12. moonslav59
    Not sure about that. He played much of his career in pitcher's parks.
  13. moonslav59
    No, the shoulder issue won't help, and waiting until he shows he's healthy might be the choice, but he'll take up a roster slot until then.
  14. moonslav59
    So, we both value him about the same. We both want him gone. I'm just looking for another way to do it. I'd even include a blocked prospect or two to get a return that might help.
  15. moonslav59
    I never understand why this happens, so often. The waiting.
  16. moonslav59
    fWAR +0.6 Dugo +0.5 Fitts, +0.5 Weissert Opening made for more playing time for +3.1 Abreu, +2.5 O'Neill and +1.2 Ref
  17. moonslav59
    I'm glad we traded Dugo, and the deal allowed Abreu and O'Neill to play. WIN (no Dugo), WIN (more Abreu), WIN (more O'Neill), WIN (Weissert) and maybe win (Fitts & Judice)
  18. moonslav59
    ND better not take Georgia Tech for granted, especially at their home field. Other big games, today: #2 Oregon already won big over Purdue #6 MIA is about to win vs Louisville #10 Clemson took care of VA 48-31. #13 BYU beat OKL St 38-35, yesterday. They may challenge for a top 12 playoff slot. #5 GA at #1TX #7 AL at #11 TN #14 TX A&M at MS #24 MI at #22 IL UCF at #9 IA St My upset prediction: #LSU loses at Arkansas
  19. moonslav59
    I don't think I am. I've often said we'd have to pay almost all his salary for nothing in return- not even a "low level prospect" you mention. Maybe, just maybe, we'd save $3-6M/yr, if some team thinks they'd pay that to a FA Yoshida. My idea of taking another team's salary dump as part of the return is assuming the other team does not want the pitcher about as much as how little we want Yoshida. The net money exchange would still mean we pay more than they do, so they achieve their goal of cutting salary and dumping a guy they don't want, while filling a possible need at DH or with a LHB. I've mentioned several times, that team and pitcher may not exist. How much do you value Yoshida? Do you think he'd get a $9M/3 offer, if he was a FA? How about $12M/3 or $15M/3? That's about my range, with a tops of $18M/3. Are you much lower than that?
  20. moonslav59
    I think a lot of teams keep their better pitchers as SP'ers for as long as it seems like they have a shot to be a good one.
  21. moonslav59
    You guys are killing it, today.
  22. moonslav59
    I've said it might be impossible to find someone to do a deal like that, because they'd probably just prefer to save as much money as possible and not take on another big contract: Pay enough of Yoshida's contract to make AZ still save money over paying Monty, instead. They save money and get a batter. We pay a little more money than we pay Yoshida, not, but we get a pitcher. like Monty, who could turn tings around in '25. Maybe we pay $4M more than we do with Yoshida and get a pitcher. In theory, we then replace Yoshida at DH with better batters: Ref v LHPs and ___ vs RHPs (Abreu? the possible GG winner, if Anthony plays RF?) Like I said, why wouldn't AZ just get someone to take Monty and almost all his contract? Even if they like Yoshida, they can probably do better. I have yet to come up with this theoretical type trade that I think both sides might say yes.
  23. moonslav59
    The best part is that Dugo's end of the trade is over after 2024. Fitts, Weissert and Judice have years to go. Other deals have a ways to go on 1 or both sides: +0.2 Priester for -0.2 Yorke -1.2 I Campbell for +0.4 Urias (end of control) Note: ICampbell was +0.5 in '23. +2.7 O'Neill (end of control) for 0.0 Nick Robertson & n/a Santos I won't bring up the ATL trade players.
  24. moonslav59
    I doubt anyone takes a call on Yoshida, until he's back and showing he can hit. Even then, the amount we pay will always be the key. It seems almost a sure thing, he'll be on the 40 on opening day- maybe the IL on day 2, but still on his team. The most likely trade gus might be LHB Abreu, LHP DHam and RHP Wink. Not sure what we get for any of them, or some combination of them. A lot might depend on just how much faith we have in Anthony, Campbell and Mayer, and if the service time issue will be a factor, or not. If we assume all are ML ready, right now, and service time is not an issue, a list of players fighting for a slot on the 26 could reasonably include... (assuming health) Wong & ____ (Teel not ready for opening day and does not need to be added to the 40.) Casas Campbell, Grissom, DHam Story, Mayer, Romy Devers (Meidroth likely stays in AAA and not on the 40 to start 2025.) Duran Rafaela Abreu & Anthony Yoshiuda, Ref-EValdez This is 16-17 players fighting for 13 slot, and there is no Gasper, Sogard, Teel &Meidroth.)
  25. moonslav59
    This is the type of deal I think the other team might do- not Yoshi for Monty, even if we add cash. It would improve the defense, and swap a LHB for a RHB, but that's about all the good I see. Worse offense. Worse budget hit, especially AAV. Close call to me. I'm not sure JH would even consider this.
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