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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Well said, again, and I'm with you all the way on needing to add to the top of the rotation. I'm also for adding two, not one and moving Crawford or someone else to the pen/long relief role, we need as well. I've been following the Sox for over 5 decades, and I don't think a single offseason went by without me hoping we added a top SP'er. I despise the idea of building a rotation by trying to slightly improve on your 3rd, 4th or 5th start. Add to the top and move everyone else down one notch by attrition. I've gotten the point of being disappointed every winter, that the line between hoping and banging my head on the wall, feels the same.
  2. moonslav59
    With all the injuries we keep having, it's nice to have five #3-4's, but I totally agree. We need a #1 or solid #2 to go along with Houck and the five 3-4 types.
  3. moonslav59
    Take out Arias and I'd do it. Take out only Cespedes, and It's a close call.
  4. moonslav59
    I think Crochet is too unproven to give up a top 4-5 prospect. For all we know, Crawford might be better, next year.
  5. moonslav59
    I'd do this... Trade Abreu, DHam, Wink and Dobbins for Pablo Lopez (Crochet second choice.) Sign Tanner Scott, Jeff Hoffman, Kyle Higashioka & Clay Holmes Rotation: Houck, Lopez, Pivetta, Bello, Giolito/Crawford Pen: Scott, Hoffman, Hendriks, Holmes, Whitlock, Slaten, Criswell, Fulmer/Crawford 1. Duran LF 2. Devers 3B 3. Story SS 4. Casas 1B 5. Yoshida-Refsnyder DH platoon 6. Anthony RF 7. Campbell/Grissom 2B 8. Higgy-Wong C platoon 9. Rafaela CF I guess I might add a big RH'd bat, but this would probably already put us over the tax line. If I were a GM with a big budget, sub out Fried for Holmes and add O'Neill or Teoscar.
  6. moonslav59
    Very well said, but I have to be honest: I'm extremely tired of wishing and hoping on once good to great pitchers regaining their glory years, and that included Sale for many years. I know Gio was not acquired, coming off an injury, but now it feels the same, plus, there was always an element of "can he regain his form" to the signing. To me, Price was the last signing where we signed someone with previous season success, career success and no hint of injury issues. Are we going to go a full decade betwen his signing and the next one like that? (2016 to 2025 is 10 seasons.) Sale and Nate came close, but both had injury issues. Richards, Kluber, Paxton and to a lesser extent Wacha and Hill were the same. Martin Perez was never great, and his best season came after he left Boston. Now, we are trying it with pen signings like Hendriks and Fulmer. I'm just tire of it.
  7. moonslav59
    Don't get me wrong, I like the moves suggested. I'm in "it's all a sham" mode, until otherwise notified.
  8. moonslav59
    I'm often wrong, but I don't see Teoscar in BOS. One big FA signing seems like a pipedream to me. Two is impossible.
  9. moonslav59
    I'm not sure we want Roberts, but he's a better hitter than Rafaela and bats RH'd. He'd have to hit better to make losing Rafaela's glove worth it. Keeping the trade simple, makes more sense. Mayb e we could pry a RP'er from the CWS with Crochet for Mayer, but do they have anyone? Maybe Soroka? (5 BB/9 but a 68 ERA-)
  10. moonslav59
    Close call, for me. Mayer stock has fallen, in my eyes, but I'm not sure by this much. If an extension was part of the deal, I'd be okay with it. I also like Arias, a lot. Would you and the CWS do Mayer and Rafaela for Crochet and Roberts?
  11. moonslav59
    To me, 1. Scott 2. Hoffman 3. Estevez 4. Holmes
  12. moonslav59
    It's all a sham, until they prove it is no longer one.
  13. moonslav59
    I totally agree, and it seems like all of their significant moves were reactionary and not proactive or part of any comprehensive plan to build an increasing competitive team. The Story and Yoshida signings were poor attempts to convince the fans they cared. Keeping Devers looks like it was done just to quell a full-fledged revolt by Sox fans. A big chunk of their mid level deals failed- some miserably, and that was before the Sale trade and Gio signing. It's one thing to make serious attempts at improving, and failing. it's another thing to feign attempts or take half-measures to try and fool your customers (the fans) into thinking you care.
  14. moonslav59
    They are founded. We can hope things change, but expecting it is another thing. It's all still a sham, until the actions show things have changed.
  15. moonslav59
    Hey, they had good luck with the last Abreu!
  16. moonslav59
    They probably get a better offer. Would you offer? Abreu, Arias and Dobbins or Abreu, DHam and Fitts
  17. moonslav59
    Assuming Pivetta takes the QO, here might be the start of our 2025 AAV budget: $150 on 13 players: 29.1 Devers, 23.3 Story, 21.0 Pivetta, 19.3 Giolito, 18.0 Yoshida, 9.2 Bello, 6.3 Rafaela, 5 Hendriks, ~4.7 Whitlock, 4.5 Houck (arb 1), ~4.3 Duran (arb 1), ~3.0 Crawford (arb 1), 2.1 Refsnyder +$20M Benefits and bonus pool, $11M Pre-arb majors and $3M minors on 40. $184M TOTAL The CBT line is $244M in 2025, leaving us about $60M "under." Did I miss anything? I doubt we do this: $21M x 2 Nate Eovaldi $15M x 4 Tanner Scott $11M x 3 Carlos Estevez
  18. moonslav59
    Per soxprospects.com... After posting an 8-for-20 week, Brooks Brannon is hitting .333 with a .875 OPS this fall. and Enmanuel Valdéz hit his first home run as part of a 2-for-10 week with the Estrellas. He drew two walks and struck out three times as his triple slash moved to .149/.216/.213.
  19. moonslav59
    Actively continuing the sham.
  20. moonslav59
    Too unproven to give a big package. Abreu, DHam and Dobbins?
  21. moonslav59
    "Active" making losing bids.
  22. moonslav59
    Agreed, and his value with a QO attached drops, a little on the open market, whereas, we have the inside edge on getting him to take a longer offer at lower AAV, if that's what we want (and him, too.)
  23. moonslav59
    It was going to be $21M or $0 for Pivetta, so the QO takes $21M from the winter budget. It's a one year deal, so it's not as simple as just comparing to FAs who sign for $19-21M AAV for several year. Our winter budget can be a pretty hefty one, even if we stay under the tax line, but I do think there will be some set parameters on new spending. All signings or offers like this are "either or."
  24. moonslav59
    Nov 19: Players accept or reject QO, set 40 man roster (protect Rule 5 players) Nov 22: Tender contracts to arb-eligible players Dec 10: MLB Draft Lottery Dec 11: Rule 5 draft Jan 10: Players/teams exchange arb numbers Jan 15: Int'l signing period begins Jan 27: arb hearings begin (end Feb 14) Feb 20: ST'ing begins
  25. moonslav59
    What worries me is that JH, Brez & Co. views it this way and thinks Gio is a #2 or #3. Two 2's and three 3's might be seen as a decent rotation. I like to divide all MLB SP'ers into 5 categories (1-30, 31-60 and so on...,) but you have to set the IP at 70 to get a sample size of 150 SP'ers in 2024. According to fWAR... 14. Houck (a solid #1) T64. Bello (a top end #3) T70. Crawford (mid level #3) T76 Pivetta (middle of the pack #3.) Gio was T #111 in 2023 (a #4) and #75 in 2022 (a solid #3.) I really hope we sign or add a #1. Houck should be a decent #2. Bello, Crawford, Gio and Pivetta can all be a #3 or #4 and one would be a good #5 and the other, pretty good depth. Criswell, Fitts, priester and Dobbins can be nice AAA depth, and Whit & Wink can spot start, if needed.
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