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Everything posted by moonslav59
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It could very well happen that we move a GG CF'er to LF in 2025. Maybe, we win 3 GG OF awards in '25/
- 1 reply
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- jarren duran
- wilyer abreu
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I certainly think they may view this year as a punt or more like a "quick kick" as it will be disguised as a real non punt play. However, I really think are "there," now, and one could even argue we could have been there, this year, with just no Sale trade and a different SP'er signing.
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
- rafael devers
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That is fine with me, too- better even, but I seriously doubt sany takers are out there, at least until they see how he does after surgery. Getting another big salary, who pitches, seems like a more likely way to shed Yoshi from the roster.
- 193 replies
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- masataka yoshida
- rafael devers
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
moonslav59 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Would anyone trade Mayer and Abreu for Bailey Ober, Jhoan Duran and Ryan Jeffers? SP: Houck, Ober, Giolito, Bello, Crawford RP: Duran, Hendriks, Slaten, Whitlock, Criswell, Wink, Fulmer, Guerrero 1. L Duran LF 2. R Campbell 2B 3. L Casas 1B 4. L Devers 3B 5. R Story SS 6. L Anthony RF 7. R Jeffers C 8. L Yoshida/R Refsnyder DH 9. R Rafaela CF C: Wong, UT Grissom, Romy & DHam -
ERA 2024: Houck: 1.82 McG, 3.30 Wong, 5.09 Jansen Crawford: 1.17 NcG, 4.57 Wong, 7.20 Jansen Pivetta: 2.42 McG, 3.68 Jansen, 5.24 Wong Bello: 3.23 Jansen, 4.64 Wong, 5.81 McGuire Criswell: 2.32 Jansen, 3.12 McG, 5.33 Wong Wong is so far behind with all 5 of these guys, I think I'm convinced a change is needed.
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Last year, we saw the tides shift mid season on how well our pitchers did with differing catchers. I've avoided the issue, this year, as it seemed Wong became more of a FT catcher over a split duty set-up like 2023. Here are some numbers- pitcher by pitcher: OPS Against (PAs) Houck: .537 w McGuire (199) .612 w Wong (464) .856 w Jansen (80) Pivetta: .561 w McGuire (169) .698 2 Jansen (94) .801 w Wong (332) Criswell: .700 w McGuire (143) .760 w Wong (210) .857w Jansen 71) Crawford: .501 w McGuire (122) .728 w Wong (526) .797 w Jansen (111) Bello: .599 w Jansen (167) .744 w Wong (415) .823 w McGuire (120) Wink: .728 w Wong (150) .743 w McGuire (114) .836 w Jansen (72) Slaten: .533 w McGuire (89) .593 w Wong (114) As you can see, Wong did not do the best with our top pitchers. Only Wink did slightly better with Wong. While Wong is still young enough, and many catcher "mature" in their late 20's or even early 30's, I'm not sure how much longer we can stick with Wong. I'm fine with the idea of adding Higgy or Jansen or trading for Jeffers. Splits in 2024 (L/Rcareer) Higgy .742 v L/.737 v R (.720/.644) Jansen .714 v L/ .634 v R (.703/.737 reverse split) Jeffers .817 v L/ .693 v R (.832/.695) Jeffers looks like the better batter, especially vs LHPs.
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
moonslav59 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
MLBTR reports... It was almost exactly one year ago that Michael Fulmer underwent a UCL revision surgery, which ended the right-hander’s 2024 season before it even began. After a year of rehab, however, Fulmer told WEEI.com’s Rob Bradford (X link) that he is back to throwing off a mound and “is trending well for” the start of Spring Training. Despite the injury, Fulmer still landed a contract last offseason, as the Red Sox signed him to a two-year minor league contract with the knowledge that the 2024 campaign would be a wash. Fulmer’s turn towards relief pitching in 2021 yielded pretty positive results over the 2021-23 seasons, and if he finally get healthy during what has been an injury-plagued career, Fulmer is an intriguing no-risk flier for the Sox heading into next season. -
A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
moonslav59 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Several Red Sox scouts liked Masataka Yoshida, including: Steve Ward A veteran scout who was convinced of Yoshida's talent after watching hours of video and hearing reports from Matsumoto Gus Quattlebaum The vice president of scouting development and integration who traveled to Japan to see Yoshida in person Mike Rikard The vice president of scouting who traveled to Japan to see Yoshida in person Steve Peck A special assignment scout who traveled to Japan to see Yoshida in person Marcus Cuellar The manager of international scouting who traveled to Japan to see Yoshida in person The Red Sox were unable to travel to Japan to see Yoshida in person in 2020 and 2021 due to pandemic-related restrictions. An article link: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/4215769/2023/02/17/red-sox-scout-translator-yoshida/ -
A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
moonslav59 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
IMO, we need both. I's much prefer a better SP than Kikuchi, but I'd like him in the starting 5 over what we have. I'm not high on Crawford and think Kikuchi is better than Bello and Gio. He'd be my #2 our of what we have, now. -
A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
moonslav59 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
If Gio is healthy, someone goes to the pen, and in theory, improves it. If Gio is not healthy, Kikuchi just has to be better than Criswell (18 GS) and pen games (14.) The scary thing is, he can be much better than Criswell, but not match the team's 12-6 record in his starts. -
Great article. I'm with notin on going with the shorter deal, which might be Higgy. Teel could be ready by 2026. I also think getting a pitcher (or two) from MN, along with 1 year catcher, jeffers would work. Not sure how he ranks on D, but nobody seems worse than Wong. One Q: didn't Wong look okay on some defensive metrics, in 2023?
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Yes! How could I forget? That was why we lost Kimbrel & Kelly and still saw the budget go up. It is the perfect example of how hard it is to keep a great team intact without spending way more money just to keep what you have. Everyone know standing still is not a winning strategy, and JH wouldn't even do that. Standing still would have cost a ton more, unless we got a taker for Full Price and got by without replacing Porcello.
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I expected more spending, not really predicted it. The "full throttle" got me. I was scammed and shammed. It's always been hard to predict JH's winter spending budget. DD was easy, until 2019, but then again, he did just extend Bogey and re-sign Nate.
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Agreed, and he actually got to spend some (Story and Yoshida,) and missed the boat. I will add that the spending did not really come close to what was lost (Kimbrel, Betts, Price, Porcello, ERod, JD, Nate, Bogey...) He was paid to build a team on less money but way more than the rays ever paid out, and he failed. Nobody is upset with the Bloom departure. Not many were with Ben's either, except the way it went down. Some felt he should have been given one more year, but wondered if he'd ever pull the trigger on a big prospect trade.
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
moonslav59 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Getting both arb pitchers from MN is unrealistic. Subbing JhoanD for one of them, and lessing the return package might be a more reasonable offer. -
One answer might be how JH seems to go with the idea of cycles of windows of winning vs rebuilding. Theo kinda did both. Ben was sort of i rebuild mode. DD was here for the winning window. Bloom was in total rebuild mode. Just my take, but I do not think DD was well-suited for a 3-5 year rebuild, just as I do not think Bloom would have been hired for a big spending 4-5 year winning window period. JH saw the talent we had under Ben, and how he mangled his big signings. It was the right move to go with DD. JH knew he was going to radically cut the budget, and knew that was not something DD would like or maybe handle well. Hence, the change to Bloom. The loss of heo was a weird one, but Theo wanted more control, and even admitted he got away from the principles the team had established earlier. I'm not saying JH handled things well. I don't think he did, and his methods were worse than the reasons for doing so, IMO.
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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That makes sense, and it's hard to disagree with this assessment of hoe this team's management "rolls."
- 154 replies
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- dave dombrowski
- alec bohm
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
moonslav59 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Scott just turned 30- young for a RP. Flaherty just turned 29, so it would have to be by trade to get much younger. -
That might have the same odds as JH spending to within $5M of the tax line or signing Tanner Scott.
- 17 replies
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- cam booser
- brennan bernardino
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That's why it's not all about having nasty stuff. DHern was super hard to hit. Guys with great control or K:BB ratios, sometimes don't have nasty enough stuff. Brandon Walter once had a 13:1 K:BB ratio. Pooof.
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The AL Central was a powerhouse!!!!! They were the only division with 4 teams over .500. They are the reason the CWS had such a crappy record. This is proven by the fact that the great Red Sox only went 4-3 vs them. The Braves lost 2 or 3, as did the Cards and Nats. You guys have it all backwards! (LOL)

