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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Not Boston. Who cares, unless it's NYY or BAL.
  2. I'm not acting like Monty has not missed time. I just said avoid him, too. Saying it was just "one injury" is a classic.
  3. Top pitcher signings by bonus money: 2024: 1 in the top 7 (over $175K) and 3 in the top 18 (all over $50K) 2023: 0 in top 3, but 3 in top 7 ($125K+) and 7 in top 14 ($53K+) 2023-2024: 2 in top 6 (12 players)
  4. I agree, but what are the odds of us outbidding all the also-rans for the two biggest prizes remaining. I doubt the odds are even 50-50 we sign one. We may not even get Flaherty & Hoffman or Teoscar/Santander and Flaherty/Hoffman (2 of the 4 tier 2 guys) What are the odds we even get Manaea/Pivetta/Buehler and Estevez? (Tier 3)
  5. I'm not sure DHam gets as many PAs in 2025, so we may not be as good. Anthony and Mayer may be better than EValdez/Romy/Grissom and Refsnyder/Yoshida, so maybe we get a slight boos there. (I do think DHam should get a long look as our platoon 2Bman. He was good on D, there, too.)
  6. I'd rather have Bregman at 2B than have no Bregman, but for that money, play him where he helps the team the most: 3B. 1. Devers sucks at 3B and should be better than Casas at 1B- at worst, he's even. 2. Bregman is a plus on D at 3B. 3. We have Campbell about to be called up, and it looks like 2B may be his best landing spot. 4. A DHam-Grissom/Romy platoon at 2B would be decent, so 2B is no longer a high priority need- something we have not been able to say in many years.) I'd rather pay Teoscar or Santander less than have Bregman at 2B. (If the plan is to move Bregman to 3B, next year, maybe.)
  7. Let's just ignore 2016, 2017, 2022, 2023, 2024, which is 4 of his 8 seasons in pro ball. But hey, it's "just one injury." Why are we trying to minimize his history of injuries. I thought, at least this part, was a given: he's been injury prone. The part that is up for debate is will he continue to be, and is he more of a risk than others available.
  8. This gets to the heart of my distaste for these types of signings. We've hardly made any SP'er signings that are low risk, in terms of injury risk. You have to go back to Price & Porcello up to the Gio signing to find significant rotation additions that had little injury history.
  9. He is a risk- mostly age and the whole change of culture/league dynamic. I was very high on Imanaga, last winter, but not all work out like he did.
  10. Okay, maybe we need to avoid Monty, too.
  11. 5 IP in 2016 (first year in minors at age 21 out of Vandy) 89 in 2017 (minors) 16 in 2018 (minors) + 137 MLB= 153 182 in 2019 Hurray! 37 in 2020 COVID, but 12 GS was there for the healthy (missed 25%) 208 in 2021 Hurray! 65 in 2022 2 in 2023 34 in 2024 I'm not going to go back and research his injury history, but these IP total are god-awful
  12. We could have done it, but sadly, I agree. I think JH is looking at Anthony, Campbell, Mayer and maybe a couple other prospects that project to be significant ML'er by 2026 or 2027, and the fact that we have so few key players that will be reaching free agency by 2027 or 2028, that he may set "the window" at 2026-2029 or even 2027-2029/2030. There is also the chance he does not ever splurge, again, and any "window" would have to happen from the farm and a couple mid-range additions.
  13. When I talk "risk," it's mainly about the odds of playing vs missing time. Of course, money is part of the risk, and that is one reason Buehler will only get 1-2 years and $13-20M per year vs other less upside pitchers who are more dependable, on paper. I understand that signing Pivetta to $70M/3 or $84M/4 is a big risk, if he turns sour, but I'd still rather have him at that cost than Buehler at $17M/1 or $32M/2, certainly more than the suggested Gio contract offer to WB. It's not a slam dunk choice, to me, but right now, I'm in the "I'm sick of signing oft-injured- once-great" pitchers. Maybe, over time, I'll ease up on my dislike for these signing.
  14. Won't be long before someone complains a bout no pitchers.
  15. Who knows what they will "cost," these days, buy probably not that much, as in a top 3-5 prospect. Both seem less risky than Buehler.
  16. So, he'd have bid $1.6B for Soto?
  17. Tomoyuki Sugano just signed with the O's for $13M/1. Hell, he might have been a better risk than Buehler.
  18. We'll never get anyone good, if we don't give up the back end year(s) on a winning bid. I'm fine with going for RP'ers over a SP, and keeping the draft pick. I'm not so sure we should trade away more prospects for what we need. I would not have chosen Bregman, Teoscar or Santander as my big winter signing, but it is what it is. JH has gotten himself into a similar situation, where he ended up signing Story, at the last minute. I'd be okay with Flaherty & Hoffman, or Flaherty & Teoscar/Santander. That's minimum. I doubt we get Burnes. It looks like Devers ain't moving to 1B, so why get Bregman? Teoscar and Santander would further crowd the OF. Scott is not happening. Hoffman might be, too.
  19. The thing is, JH could have paid Soto $1.5 Billion. You think "deep pockets" Cohen bid $1.6B? All these guys are rich enough to bid into insanity. It's more about who wants it than who has an extra few $ Billion in the bank.
  20. Does anyone believe all pitchers have the exact same injury risk? I understand that is but one factor in making a choice, and eventually upside potential can reach a point, where it outweighs the higher injury risk factor. I fully understand those who want Buehrle- injury risk and all. I guess I'm not understanding why it seems hard to understand my position, even if you disagree with it.
  21. I didn't say sign Pivetta. I said Buehler has way higher upside and agree Pivetta's is as a #3. I mentioned there is injury risk in even guys like Gio. I was just talking risk and odds of missing lots of times. Also, someone suggested $19M x 2 for Buehrle, and that AAV is close to what Pivetta will get, so the risk with Pivetta is more years. The reward can be much greater with Buehrle. I'm not doubting that and have agree on that point.
  22. Risking not having him pitch vs someone like Pivetta, who is more reliable but has much less upside.
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