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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    We can improve our numbers vs LHPs by never starting Abreu or DHam vs lefties, and I guess trading Abreu would make sure that never happens, but we should keep him, at least until Anthony is added to the 40 & 26. There are several ways to fit a FT Anthony into the OF. 1. LF Duran, CF Rafaela v LHP and Anthony v RHPs, RF Anthony v LHPs and Abreu v RHPs. 2. LF Anthony, CF Duran, RF Abreu-Rafaela platoon. Adding Anthony forces Refsnyder to platoon DH, not LF/RF, unless someone wants to sit Duran v LHPs (not me.)
  2. moonslav59
    We could have given him more, but with deferrals that would bring the actual cost to the team to $300M, but Betts the satisfaction that the contract says $330M or the like. Another botched event in Sox history.
  3. moonslav59
    We'll have to beat them 1-0 with our stud SP'ers added.
  4. moonslav59
    It's hard to know what is going on, and with so many mixed messages, it sure seems like a lot of hands are in the dough. I'm sure many teams consult multiple people before making big signings, so I'm not sure if we are all that unique, or maybe our routine is just plain dysfunctional. We obviously are very tight on longer term deals. No 3 year deals since Vic. Bogey's extension had an opt out after 3. Nate's re-sign was 4 years. The Sale extension and JD signing was 5 years. Yoshida was 5. Story 6. Price 7 but was dumped, early. The 8 year Pedey extension was way back in 2014. Devers 10. Since the Pedey extension, these are all the deals at 3 year or more that I can think of: 10 Devers, 7 Price, 6 Story, 5 Yoshida, Sale, JD, 4 Nate, 3 Bogey's opt out deal. 6 deals over 4 years in 10 years. 8 at 3 or more.
  5. moonslav59
    Good points about my "attrition" label. We lost at least 5 prospects through trades... 4. Teel, 5. Montgomery, 8. Meidroth, 18. Wikelman, 25. E R-C We added 4 IFA prospects and Fajardo, the guy we got for Booser. so I think it was 5 for 5. Was Shugart a top 60 prospect? Did I miss anyone?
  6. moonslav59
    Personally, I'd be thrilled with .780 v L and .680 v R with GG defense in 150+ games. Can or should he do better? Okay, sure, yes, but my bar is lower than yours, I guess. I expect age regression, just as I expect age progression for many of our returning younger players. I do think Fenway is close to COL as being a hitter's park, but I do not expect numbers from 2019- that last full season Trevor hit over .801. That was 5 years ago.
  7. moonslav59
    They do seem to have gotten building up the farm right, and I like the new focus on building up young pitchers. When was the last time we've seen a list of homegrown and acquired young or prospects pitchers like the one we have now? Houck, Bello, Crawford, Wink, Weissert, Kelly, Guerrero Slaten, Fitts, Priester, Crochet (trade) While this list is not great, it is better than we have seen in a long time. Most of our best staffs, in the last decade have been stocked by FAs or blockbuster trades.
  8. moonslav59
    I doubt we run to a board with every lage contract. Parameters are set that may allow for an occasional big contract, and my guess is, and it's only a guess, JH is the guy to give the final thumbs up or down to Brez & Co.
  9. moonslav59
    Stay healthy, hit .800 v LHPs and .700 v RHPs, and I'll be thrilled!
  10. moonslav59
    Our hitting vs LHPs was a big issue and looks to be even bigger in 2025, agreed. I don't want to minimize the concern in any way, but even bringing back the sporadic O'Neill would be no guarantee we do as good or better in 2025. He has not always "killed" lefties and has not always even been healthy enough to play. Here are some other good batters v LHPs since 2022, not better than O'Neill, but pretty good: .974 O'Neill .941 Grichuk .910 Refsnyder .901 Teoscar & .895 T d'Arnaud (not available anymore) .875 Ryan Jeffers & .866 Garver (trade? Not good defensive catchers) .817 Sean Murphy (trade?) .816 Vladdy (not a big step up from Casas at .772.) Right now, we need boosts from Story, Casas, Devers (.746) and others to improve their splits, or we will get killed by lefties.
  11. moonslav59
    Yoshida should hit better, but Story can improve by more, IMO. ("break out")
  12. moonslav59
    He will replace many of his PAs- not his production. Agreed. The word "replacing" does not mean in kind.
  13. moonslav59
    He has been replaced- just internally. Most likely Rafaela's 285 PAs in the IF will move to the OF (CF.) They may let Abreu and or Ref bat more against off-handed pitchers to make up part of the other 200 "replaceable" PAs. Otherwise, they will come from Romy, Anthony or Campbell. Then, there is the Grichuk type option.
  14. moonslav59
    I 'm not sure.
  15. moonslav59
    None finished 6th in BA in the AL, even if you lower the qualifying ABs. My pick is Story with Yoshida close behind. "Break out" implies a jump. For Yoshida to break out, he needs to go from .285 to .325. For Story to "break out" from .235 to .275. I have little faith in Grissom.
  16. moonslav59
    Rafaela playing more SS in 2024 helped with that choice, but yes, O'Neill was going to play, when healthy vs LHPs and RHPs. There may have been a more prevalent platoon with Rafaela and Abreu had Story been healthy, of maybe they'd have played Rafaela at 2B, instead of pivoting to DHam and Romy after EValdez & Grissom imploded.
  17. moonslav59
    Kelly or Forest green?
  18. moonslav59
    I'd bet on O'Neill, but if I could take Grichuk or Laureano combined, I think one is more likely to do better. Which one? Who knows?
  19. moonslav59
    They both fit the profile: will take one year and not cost much. Also, do NOT be surprised, if one of these guys does better than O'Neill in 2025.
  20. moonslav59
    We've gotten so many 4+ deals wrong, in a row, that I can see why JH is a scaredy cat. BTW, when was our last 3 year deal or extension? Bogey opted out after 3 and Barnes had a 3rd year option, but I can't think of the last one. Have we had one since Vic?
  21. moonslav59
    We are far enough away from the tax line, that there does not seem to be a reason to wait, until the season starts, unless we also want to extend a younger player or prospect, too. Maybe, we are waiting on Bregman to choose the timing aspect of the signing, but who knows with these clowns?
  22. moonslav59
    Hey, we've done okay with the revolving door OF add-ons: Pillar> Renfroe>Duvall>O'Neill. This year we have "Joe Diddilee." Maybe Anthony of Campbell becomes the next add-on OF'er. We still have... LF: Duran (Anthony/Campbell, Romy, Ref & Yoshi) CF: Rafaela (Duran & Anthony) RF: Abreu (Anthony/Campbell, Rafaela, Ref & Romy) It's not like our OF is barren. The depth involves some shuffling, at times, at least until a top prospects gets added to the 40 & 26 (at the same time.) I still think we sign Grichuk or Laureano as a cheap one year bridge to a kid or two.
  23. moonslav59
    It has become an ugly pattern. A few is fine, but every signing has become one and dones or take a half season or more to get off the 60 Day IL, then give us one season.
  24. moonslav59
    I think we are on to something!
  25. moonslav59
    Yanks talking extension for Boone. LOL!
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