How much will JH allow Brez to spend, this winter?
We just dumped the Devers deal and are losing the $21M Buehler deal and maybe $18M for Giolito, Add $12M for Chapman and a few $million here and there, and one would think it should be "spending time." Extensions given to Crochet and some kids will kick in, and some arbs might add some cost, but what will it be, JH?
The Bregman decision is the key. What we do with Chapman & the closer role is right up there, too.
Here is a quick look at the 2026 Lux Tax Budget:
28.3 Crochet
23.3 Story
19.3 Giolito (140 IP trigger option)
18.0 Yoshida
16.3 Anthony
~11.0 N Lowe arb
10.3 Hicks
9.2 Bello
9.1 Sandoval
8,0 Duran (option)
7.5 Campbell
6.2 Rafaela
4.7 Whitlock
~4.0 Houck arb
~3.3 Crawford arb
~5.0 Wong+ Bernardino+ Casas + Romy arbs
$185M +$6M others and pree-arb pool= $191M
+$18M player benefits
$209M before any additions.
First Tax line is $244M.
That leaves $35M AAV for Bregman & Chapman, so it looks like we need to go up to the second line just to keep those two ($55M).
If we let Lowe walk, we'd have $45M to $65M to spend.
If we can somehow dump some of Yoshida or Hicks' money, maybe we can pull it off.