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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    East Side Story!
  2. moonslav59
    Didn't know what thread to put this, but Nate is out for the season with a Rotator Cuff Injury.
  3. moonslav59
    https://www.mlb.com/schedule/2026-04-09
  4. moonslav59
    The Sox begin the season at Cincy (MAR 26,) then go to HOU. Their home opener is vs SDP followed by MIL. They have 3 west coast road trips: June (SEA & COL) July (LAA, CWS, NYM up to all star break) & later in July- up to the deadline (ATH, LAD.) Our only homestand longer than 7 games is right after the all star break and before a west coast trip (TBR, BAL, TOR.) They end the season at home v CLE & CHC. Most of the Sept games are non-divisional games. Nothing really jumps out at me as being wild.
  5. moonslav59
    Just play the worst batter vs LHPs fulltime at 1B, or what? Jh Garcia v L at 1B? Call up Campbell Sept 1st to be our platoon 1bman? I do see great value in Rafaela in CF over 2B, but we'd need to talk Cora into benching Yoshida, so we can play all OF'ers.
  6. moonslav59
    I think MIN would prefer Abreu and his pre-arb status, too. I'm about 50-50. Since Duran has sucked vs LHPs, this year, I no longer see Abreu being a platoon bat as any worse than Duran batting worse than Abreu vs lefties. Duran is a better baserunner, but Abreu has more power. Abreu is very good at RF defense, something very valuable in Fenway and other parks. Duran seems to have peaked on D in 2024 and should probably play LF with CF as his back-up slot. Duran costs more in the next 3 arbs, as Abreu has one more pre-arb season. Duran adds an excitement not many other players can provide. I'd give the edge to Abreu, and so would MIN, IMO.
  7. moonslav59
    I think it's a strict platoon, except when Rafaela plays 2B. Romy bats only against LHPs, and since Lowe is MLB's worst batter vs lefties, I think Romy plays 1B v L and DHam will play 2B v R. Rafaela will play 2B vs some righties and all lefties. Having JH Garcia fills the platoon role w Abreu, until Ref returns.
  8. moonslav59
    I do think teams need to "keep defenses honest." By drawing in the infield to protect against a bunt, you increase the odds of a base bit. Never bunting would help opposing teams play back in bunting situations.
  9. moonslav59
    Got that right, and the way the Rays used to have our number, I like beating them too. TOR is in first, so I'd swap TBR w TOR, if I could, but ys on the Yanks!
  10. moonslav59
    I don't think just 1-2 plays can skew Story from a top 3-5 metrics gut to a 0 DRS and +1 OAA.
  11. moonslav59
    It's crazy to think you have to lower the sample size to 60 IP, to get 150 SP'ers in MLB, this year. (30 teams x 5 SP'er = 150.) By fWAR, the Sox have these ranked SP'ers: 3. Crochet 57. Bello (a lower tier #2) 79. Giolito (a mid tier #3) 148. Buehler (lowest tier #5.) If you go by ERA-: 5. Crochet 27. Bello 56. Gio xFIP 3. Crochet 83. Bello 108. Gio Only 100 pitchers have 100+ IP as a SP'er. Crochet is #4 in ERA-, Bello is 19th and Gio is 4oth out of 100. I've always felt like dominating with the rotation is the best way to be a top team in MLB.
  12. moonslav59
    It was no slight on Bello. I'd like Crochet and four #2's, but settled on "needing" one more. We lose Buehler, Houck (IL) and likely Giolito. Adding a 1 or 2 type is just what we need. Think about this: our pen, minus Chapman and Whitlock has a better ERA than our SP'ers with Crochet, Bello and Gio included. We need a solid #2 SP'er to go with Crochet (a #1) and Bello (a #2 or 3, this year.) Is that better?
  13. moonslav59
    If MIN is looking to dump salary, we can add another SP'er with an injury problem to the trade: Pablo Lopez He's owed $21.75M x 2, but the tax hit is jut $18.4M x 2. Taking him in the package should allow MN to pay for Duran and Campbell. (Hell, they could take Yoshida and save $3M a year by including Lopez.) Duran, Campbell, Early & Sandlin for Ryan, Lopez & Clemens.
  14. moonslav59
    I've been saying Castro is overrated for years! 🤣
  15. moonslav59
    Not bad enough to significantly drop his value, IMO.
  16. moonslav59
    He certainly has not restored any value lost in AAA, not has he been identified at a clear position where he can be okay. He does have an .833 OPS with WOO, so it's not horrible.
  17. moonslav59
    Again, I do not think many teams put a whole lot of stick into a rushed prospect's first 2 months production in MLB. Just my opinion. His poor defense and lack of known position may drive his stock lower than his piss poor 6-8 weeks in the bigs.
  18. moonslav59
    No Crawford? I think Harrison is in the picture. (Witherspoon cannot be traded.)
  19. moonslav59
    Yes, the last few weeks have put some distance in definition into the WC slot probabilities.
  20. moonslav59
    There is a risk, but the Twins are not a bottom spender. It's true, if KC struggles, those last few years will be a big burden on them, but Ryan is due to make more than KC over the next 3 years, combined- close to what KC and Abreu make, combined in their years of control. They could also flip Abreu or KC before an injury.
  21. moonslav59
    It's amazing how much the odds drop off from the 6 slot to the 7th in both leagues. So much for keeping more teams in it for longer into the season. There is a sharp cut off after "the haves" top 12 in MLB. While there is only a 3.5 GB gap between the NYM and CIN, the odds differential is massive. Same with BOS/SEA vs KCR. Perhaps the biggest surprises in the MLB standings is ATL, BAL & MIN being passed by ATH, MIA & LAA, but there is still time for them to flip places.
  22. moonslav59
    Gio will likely be a FA, and Buehler is already out. May is a FA. Houck is out until '27 and may be best used in the pen, afterwards. Sandoval, Crawford & Dobbins are question marks for 2026. We have Crochet & Bello. IMO, we could use two more #2's, but I'll settle on one I view as a #1: Joe Ryan. Keller is a bottom level #2, IMO. I'd be okay with adding him, if we keep Gio, too.
  23. moonslav59
    Abreu and Campbell are affordable. The Lux Tax number does not matter, and they can trade both, when their salaries increase. For KC, that might not be until 2030 or 2031. Abreu is pre-arb. KC: 26:$2M, 27:$3M, 28:$4M, 29:$6M, 30:$9M, 31:$13M, 32:$16M, 33:$19M club option ($4M buyout), 34:$21M club option (no buyout)
  24. moonslav59
    I didn't realize Kody was already 29. His offense has improved in the past couple years, but he's still at a 98 OPS+, this year. I agree: replace Clarke with Mullins (a Rule 5 guy.)
  25. moonslav59
    I just can't see us carrying a platoon DH with very little power for 2 more seasons. We already carry Refsnyder, who plays just 30% of the games, when healthy and is no help at 1B or 2B, where we need depth. Ref may retire. It looks like Romy is ready to fill his slot and CAN play 1B and 2B, so without Ref, maybe Yoshida gets another shot to hit .775 or better- the "new .800."
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