The theory is sound, but you wonder...
If someone is worth $25M AAV, why are they accepting just 3-4 years?
It's usually...
an injury issue
over 31 to 35+ years old
recent struggles
not a long record of success
Our last 2 FA deals longer than 4 years have not worked out well:
$140M/6 Story in '22
$90M/5 Yoshida '23 (plus fees)
Players on the current FA market that may take $25M x 3 or 4?
Probably not Schwarber, Bregman, Ranger Suarez, Dylan Cease, Dante Bichette and Shane Bieber, but maybe 30 year old Michael King or 31 year old Giolito.
I don't see many others.