moonslav59

Big out we ran into yesterday. We've actually hit pretty well in Late & Close situations this year until recently, but timely hits early in games seems to have been our weakness all year long. Hopefully, things will even out over the rest of the year. 2017 Team OPS: .746 Late & Close .695 (-.041) High Leverage .714 (-.032) RISP .769 (+.043) RISP/2 outs .763 (+.017) Men on .744 (-.002) 2018 Team OPS: .814 Late & Close .730 (-.084) High Leverage .774 (-.040) RISP .847 (+.033) RISP/2 outs .730 (-.084) Men On .847 (+.033)

We can go over the luxury limit by $39M without having any affect on our draft picks, so I think it might not be as hard as it looks to keep all 4 B's and Sale. It would really help, if we could extend one soon, so the AVV stays lower than if we wait to free agency (as the "arb years" are included in the whole contract).

Since August 2015, JBJ has been as consistent or better than most MLB players. His production has been very good, and he's GG caliber on defense. He had a tough start to his career. Can we let him off the hook yet for that? It's been almost 2 full seasons since that tough stretch. JBJ's OPS by half-seasons 2nd 2015: .891 1st 2016: .926 2nd 2016: .728 1st 2017: .853 If .728 is the "valley", I'll take it. By Month 8/15: 1.163 9/15: .739 4/16: .807 5/16: 1.175 6/16: .805 7/16: .839 8/16: .651 9/16: .731 4/17 .596 5/17 .808 6/17: 1.009 Two months below .730 (both below .652) is not really a sign of too much inconsistency. Other hitters on our team have more bad months than this. Out of the last 11 months: 2 months .595-.635 2 months .730-.740 4 months .800-.840 3 months 1.000-1.200 I love these numbers. 2015-2017 J.B.Jr. (1204) OBP .346 / SLG .483 (.829 OPS) wRC+ 117/wOBA .352 UZR/150 J.B.Jr. +4.1 CF (+55.1 LF & +20.7 RF)

He'll likely cost less as well. He also has one more year of team control, so the re-sign period difference might play into who we can afford to keep at that moment. I'm sure the longer view is what management will look at, and Bogey's age is a big factor in his favor, but I like JBj better. I've never been a fan of Bogey's SS defense. He's not improved over the last 2-3 years. To me, SS defense is vital. I love CF defense, too and JBJ is the god of defense.

Look at other teams- not much difference.

Marrero might also still be in the upper depth chart at 2B and 3B, injuries or not.

Running into outs hasn't helped either.

I meant about consistency. I cherry-picked the start time, but here it is: OPS by half-seasons JBJ/Bogey 2nd 2015: .891/.803 1st 2016: .926/.863 2nd 2016: .728/.729 1st 2017: .853/.815 By Month (60+ PAs) 8/15: 1.163/.761 9/15: .739/.876 4/16: .807/.785 5/16: 1.175/1.017 6/16: .805/.815 7/16: .839/.830 8/16: .651/.599 9/16: .731/.750 4/17 .596/.731 5/17 .808/.949 6/17: 1.009/.763 I don't see much difference here, but I'll take JBJ's offense over Bogey's since Aug 2015. I'll take his defense, too. My guess is JBJ has been about as consistent or more so than most in MLB since AUG 2015. 2015-2017 (note PA differential) Bogey (1744) OBP .355 / SLG .434 (.789 OPS) wRC+ 110/wOBA .342 J.B.Jr. (1204) OBP .346 / SLG .483 (.829 OPS) wRC+ 117/wOBA .352 UZR/150 Bogey -0.1 SS J.B.Jr. +4.1 CF (+55.1 LF & +20.7 RF)

I believe wRC+ adjusts to the park and maybe opponent strength.

Look at the numbers. Other than JBJ's horrific start to his career, he's been more consistent and better than Bogey at the plate. He's also a much better defender. 1) Betts 2) JBJ 3) Beni 4) Bogey

I meant to write HRam + cash for a prospect. Also, I never said I was for the idea. I was responding to some other poster. I am not for trading HRam. I think he will do better here on out and should bat 4th or 5th.

Agreed, but I'd keep him in the system, just in case.

Holt will probably always be a better bat than Lin, but Lin's glove is way better. I'm not sure if we need Lin to play the OF for him to win the job from Holt someday, but I'd prefer Lin.

More did a fantastic job over the first 2 months of the season. He exceeded everyone's expectations. I'm not ragging on him, but he's playing with a hurt toe and is not in at least a month long slump. Most other players are struggling, too, so it's not an easy call, but I'd move Moreland to the 6 or 7 slot. HRam, JBJ or Beni (oe even Betts) could bat 4th.

If it is need to get Betts to agree to an extension before reaching free agency, then yes.

I'd give him a $33M x 8 right now (that starts after his last arb year).

Since Holt hits LHPs almost identical to RHPs, there could have been either platoon DD/JF wanted: Holt-Marrero Holt-Lin (I might have preferred Lin-Marrero. Close call. Holt deserves a chance. I get it.)

It would have to be a 3 way trade or 2 separate trades. HRam to a contender for a prospect. Prospects to a contender for a meaningful big bat.

I'll choke to death, if they trade for an OF'er or anyone who moves HRam to a platoon. Even if they trade Moreland, I doubt they trade for Martinez (Alosno- maybe). I'm not sure you can believe all the rumors. I guess, if we could trade HRam and cash for a prospect(s) and then trade for a big bat, it could be doable.

Has Holt been named the FT 3Bman? I've been out of the loop!

Just got back from a white water rafting trip. Listened to the first game yesterday and caught the second one on ESPN in the lodge. Looks like the offense is still struggling, JBJ is still unbelievably great, and Moreland's big toe should be reason enough to move him down to #6 or #7.

If he's not traded, maybe.

Sometimes, really good hitters (even ones that are in the midst of a hot streak) look really awful for one or two ABs here and there. I'm not saying you are wrong in your analysis, but I'm not sure we can read too much into a few poor PAs or approaches. You've been ripping HRam a lot recently, and the guy has been scorching the ball. I've seen him make a lot of loud outs the past few weeks, and he's over .900 the last month. Yeah, he made a couple outs when we needed hits, and he "swings for the fences" almost very time he swings, but that's been his approach his whole career, and he's had a mighty fine career. Even in our tough loss yesterday, we had many chances. We got those chances by several players having very good PAs. We just never strung enough together. This team has struggled to keep the hitting momentum going. To me, they have by and large, under performed, at least to my expectations. It would be nice to add a big bat to the line-up, but I just don't see any good fit out there. I don't want us to break the bank or empty the farm for a 3Bman, because I believe in Devers. I doubt we trade Moreland and then go after an Alonso type. I don't see any available catchers that would clearly be an upgrade over what we got. We are not trading for an OF'er, SS or 2Bman. We are not going to bench or platoon HRam. It's 3B or 1B or maybe catcher. I just don't see anything out there that I say, "We need him to have a chance."

I wouldn't believe everything Rosenthal says, but I've been saying for years that we match up well with the CWS. I've fallen out of favor with Frazier after looking at his second half splits over his entire career.

I was fine with the call-up. How could it have hurt to give him 20-30 games at 3B instead of 10? We knew where he'd be playing, if he was called up. "The plan" lacked foresight in this one area. They "mishandled" his prep. I remember people blaming Bogey's move to 3B for his poor 2014 batting.