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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Well said. He's off to a very good start. Other Killer B career starts: Betts: .812 (231 PAs) Yr 1 .820 (654 PAs) Yr 2 Bogey: .684 (50 PAs) Yr 1 .660 (594) Yr 2 Bradley: .617 (107 PAs) Yr 1 .531 (423) Yr 2 Beni: .835 (118 PAs) Yr 1 .807 (550) Yr 2 (not counting tonight)
  2. Brentz with his 31st tonight.
  3. That's because you blew it on the Sale trade. (You should have agreed with me!) ... just kidding! I caught a lot of flack, and rightfully so by the looks of things this year, for bashing the Pom & Kimbrel deals, so I think we might be even.
  4. Here's an example: as most of you know, I love defense. I remember when Ellsbury first came up, I felt he was a sure plus defender. I knew his speed had a major role in his "plus skills". I remember defending Ellsbury against some who bashed him (on "that other site"). When I looked at his numbers, I was surprised. I started watching more closely and saw things I must have missed before. I ended up admitting I was wrong. I even argued about Ellsbury not playing LF, so Cameron could play CF. Then, Jacoby improved on his routes and positioning. (He never had even a decent arm.) I had to re-evaluate again.
  5. Thanks. Sometimes I state opinions like they are facts....like an encyclopedia. Using data can also gives an air a of know-it-all, when we all know data can be used to support opposite viewpoints. I think I should say, "In my opinion..." more often, but I guess I just assume people know that's what it is.
  6. The whole league centers around the Yanks. No wonder every non Yankee fan hates them.
  7. It's possible to be great and a bonehead. Manny was case in point.
  8. I disagree. I think teams often pass on waivers knowing the team will pull him back if claimed. If the Sox could have had Stanton for no return players, we made a mistake.
  9. There's at least 5 teams that would sign Stanton to his current remaining deal. The luxury tax hit of "just" $25M makes it even better to those teams looking to go over the limit. The issue is how many teams would pay that money AND give up what the Marlins want. Who knows how desperate they are to shed his salary, and how many teams are willing to up the bidding. It's a tough call to estimate what it will take to get him.
  10. Well said. I know I come off sounding like an authoritarian at times, and I really don't mean to give that impression. It's all relative.
  11. I watch just about every game on delay. I rewind some plays- that's what I meant about 2-3 times. I fast forward commercials. That helps me save time, so I can spend hours and hours studying data. (Just kidding)
  12. I think all three B's are just having a down year. I expect all to do better next year. Maybe they can begin right now.
  13. It looked like VTek and ARod both went after each other at the same time. How about the sucker punches and antics the Yanks did to Bill Lee?
  14. I really expected our second half splits to improve over the first half. Not only have we gotten worse, we've been much closer to .700 than .750. 1st half .759 2nd half .715 The players 2nd halves... .905 Nunez (with Sox only) .872 Vaz .871 Devers .814 Beni (Who'd have thunk these would be our top 4?) .789 Pedey .740 Moreland .727 HRam .685 Young .652 Betts .623 JBJ .615 Leon .587 Bogey .496 Davis (21 PAs) .481 Holt .345 Marrero (24) On another note... Our 5 slot is now our worst slot by OPS: .658 5 .659 9 .708 7 .740 4 .759 1 .767 8 .773 6 .797 2 .814 3
  15. So, Bogey and Flores?
  16. Certainly, that is one option, but wouldn't you pay more attention to the area in question to make sure homer bias is not intruding on your opinion? We all know numerical data can be deceiving. I don't think anyone here "blindly" follows metrics or at least one single metric. Some metrics actually involve human observations by trained and supposed unbiased people, so disagreeing with some metrics is actually disagreeing with a whole team of observers not just a number. I have disagreed with some data in the past. Sometimes it has forced me to look more closely and see that my opinion was not correct or totally correct. Fewer times, I've continued to disagree with the "number". By and large, the numbers almost always match up pretty closely to my observations. (Note: I rarely look at a Sox player's number and then form my opinion. I almost always trust my observations and then check to see if the numbers agree or not.)
  17. I've watched every pitch of every game for decades, sometimes 2-3 times. I don't find it time consuming to check my opinions with stats and metrics. I have no issues with those who avoid stats. Both observations and data have limitations.
  18. If the metrics strongly disagree with your perception of your observations, I'd re-evaluate my opinion and watch more closely to see if maybe I'm being biased.
  19. It's hard to miss a stationary, steroid induced, swollen head.
  20. I'd have handed Tek a sword.
  21. The metrics back our observations.
  22. Not a coincidence that the pitching collapsed and pitchers were the ones involved in "Chicken & Beer". We had players undermining management on other player's cell phones. It was out of control, and to me, that was part of the reason there was a collapse. Nobody seemed to care about losing (and winning).Once it started spinning out of control, Tito seemed to just sit passively. I realize that strategy worked in 2004 and 2007, but Tito was unable to adjust to what happened in 2011. He had good reasons to be distracted, but nevertheless, he was distracted and it cost the team dearly. It cost him his job. As mush as I respected Tito, and I really did and still do, bringing him back in 2012 was just not an option. The whole Bobby V thing is a separate issue.
  23. Well said. Good teams can get away with giving extra outs vs bad teams, but teams like the Guardians, Astros and Dodgers are going to pounce when given the chance.
  24. It was a country club; it was the inmates running the asylum...any analogy you choose, Tito had lost control. Tito had some severe personal issues going on. I've never been a Tito hater. He's a very good manager, but sometimes the conditions warrant a change regardless of the fact that Tito was never an imbecile like JF (and Bobby V) has been.
  25. And, some of these advanced defensive metrics have been notoriously hard on LF'ers in Fenway Park.
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