moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I'd have given 20 to 1 odds and a hundred bucks. Honestly. I'd have given 100 to 1 odds on 20 bucks. I'm not a gambler, so that's a lot to me.
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My 2019, assuming we win a ring: SP: Sale, Price, ERod, Wright, Johnson, Velazquez (Porcello traded) RP: Cody Allen, Brasier, Barnes, Workman, Hembree, Poyner/Thornburg/Smith C: Leon, Vaz, Swihart 1B: Devers, Chavis/Ockimey (Moreland traded) 2B: Pedey, Holt (maybe Phillips) 3B: Nunez/Devers (maybe Dalbec/Chavis) SS: Bogey, Hernandez/Lin LF: Beni CF: JBJ RF: Betts DH JD If we don't win, we keep Porcello, Moreland and maybe Kimbrel on the shortest deal he'll take.
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We also gave up Dubon.
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It's all voodoo clown s***. Our "magic number" was zero on August 5th.
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If Snell is in consideration, then so is Sale, and I'd go with Sale. They are both pretty close in IP. Diaz who? My vote for Cy Young would go to Sandy Leon.
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If we win, I'd be fine with that idea. I'd look to deal away some players with just one year left...Moreland, Nunez, Thornburg and maybe even Holt. Decide which big names to keep and think about trading one for some young top talent. Trade Porcello. I'm thinking maybe Bogey, but I'm not sure Chatham is a realistic replacement. Since we have no OF depth, I'd keep JBJ, but I could see trading him not Bogey. If we can't or don't want to pay large for Sale, we could trade him, but if we let Porcello go and trade Bogey or JBJ, we can afford Sale.. We cans till have a very good team with a core of Betts, JD, Sale, Beni, Bogey or JBJ, Devers & ERod. We could reset and start adding to the core right away and be back in top competition in a pretty short time... (or not).
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Were Thornburg and/or Smith "uncontroversially high quality pieces?"
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Why should it matter about other guys hitting? Leon is a big net plus, even when he hits .525. That doesn't change because others don't hit well. I wouldn't get rid of Leon for an offensive catcher, if it means we add a half run to our pitching ERA. If we can find a good hitting catcher who gets the same out of our staff, then go for it, but that won't come cheap.
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I keep hearing Margot was blocked. We drafted Beni in June of 2015 and traded Margot in November of 2015. I wasn't aware Beni had been penciled into LF at the time of the trade. We also went and signed Chris Young in December of 2015. That was after the Margot trade. BTW, who played LF the most in 2016? Innings 479 Holt 446 Young 232 Beni 143 Brentz 114 Swihart Nah, we had no room for Margot.... NOT!
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True, but I was wrong about saying Dalbec and Chavis are playing against mostly younger players-- younger "prospects" maybe, but most players are older.
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Leon should not be in red. He's a lock. It's Vaz and/or Swihart. I'd take Swihart over the 12th pitcher and Workman over Poyner as the 11th pitcher.
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True, but you don't forget your impulses, and you probably take pride in not hearing you "bought championships" like the said about the Yanks for decades. I seriously doubt it is Henry's intention to be the biggest spender year after year. I have no evidence to support my belief, but this is the first year he's gone way over the limit, and he sees our window is now.
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You'd be surprised how gaining a penny on thousands of shares of stock can turn to millions when you do it over and over again.
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Yes. Most of these mega-millionaires made money by pinching pennies not just dollars. Asking or expecting Henry to change his philosophy is wishful thinking. I fee we are lucky he decides to go $40M over this year and pay a huge tax.
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The best thing about Bogey's defense is that he does not make a lot of errors. He makes routine plays. The best SSs make routine plays AND ones Bogey does not get to.
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Do the Yanks create a cliff this off-season
moonslav59 replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in Other Baseball
I don't see a drastic point, where you lose a lot of key players in 1 year, and there's not enough money to keep everyone of fill their shoes. Your farm is also much stronger than ours, so some holes will be filled from within. Too many young stars far away from free agency to worry about it. -
23 is not young, especially at AA. No, it's not "old."
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I might be more optimistic, if these guys were 21 and in AA or AAA, but Chavis and Dalbec are both 23 and were in AA this year. (Chavis was promoted to AAA during the season.) These are older guys playing against younger players. They are flip examples of Devers who continually played against much older and more experienced players and still raked.
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So what happened to the DRS guy, then? 2016-2018 UZR/150 42 SS with 1000+ innings Bogey is #21 at -0.2 (exactly middle) 2016-2018 DRS Bogey is #42 at -38 (The next guy is -22 and the leader is +71) Move the sample size to 1500 innings (35 qualify) Bogey ranks 18th in UZR/150 (again, about the middle) He's 15th out of 25 with 2000+ innings and 12th out of 18 with 2500+. I watch every play of every game, and I'm a huge fan of defense, particularly SS defense. I do not see Bogey as being above average. I have not seen any improvement over the years, either.
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I'm not arguing that Sale should win, although I do think it is close. If it's about performance level: 1. Sale 2. Snell 3. Bauer If it's about giving your team many more innings of top quality pitching: 1. Verlander 2. Kluber 3. Cole Nobody is on both lists. 1.
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1) I make the sample size small enough to get to the top 30. 2) I don't just look at UZR/150, and when I do, I value 3 years over one most recent. 3) I also look at DRS, which has Bogey dead last in any sample size you choose to use. To me, put it all together, and the numbers say, "Below average." That happens to jive with my own personal observations, as well. I also do not see the defensive "improvement" many speak of.
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I was talking defensively, but you're right. I don't want him at 3B either, unless it's an emergency.
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Bogey is not above average on defense. He's dead last in DRS and middle of the pack on UZR/150.
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I don't think it's any higher than 50%.
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It's not 30-50 IP less due to being yanked early and taxing middle RP'ers. It was the DL stints that mostly limited his IP, thereby taxing our 6th and 7th starters.
