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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I cherry-picked the start time for this comp (2011-2018). Here are the comp numbers of the top 3 closers in MLB during this time: IP Closer WAR (not a good measure for RP'ers) 461 Kimbrel 17.5 460 Jansen 16.3 426 Capman 15.8 Other categories Cat Kim/ Jan/ Chap xFIP 2.04/ 2.21/ 2.28 ERA- 46 / 60 / 55 WHIP 0.90/0.88/1.00 (Uehara 0.82!) K/BB 4.6/ 6.2/ 3.7 (Uehara 7.7!) LOB% 84/ 82/ 81 Saves 297/ 229/ 219 BSvs 29/ 28/ 20
  2. moonslav59
    Evertime I bash him, he goes off. Then, I get upset they hit him 4th, and BINGO! He goes nutty! The guys sucks. I wish we had Moose or Duda!
  3. moonslav59
    Yes, and that's why he should and will not be brought up unless at least two requirements are met: 1) We need an OF'er. Right now we have 4, if you count JD plus 4-5 non OF'ers with OF experience: Nunez (will be looking for PAs soon), Holt (was off to a nice start), Swihart & Lin/Moreland. I seriously doubt we'll ever have a need this year. 2) He looks nearly certain to be a plus at the ML level. We can always just trade for a cheaper salary dump or some other OF'er who can hit .600 and play great D like JBJ. It's just not happening. Castillo is stuck in purgatory, unless he wants to sacrifice his contract by quitting and then joining another team to get a shot at making the bigs.
  4. moonslav59
    Velazquez is really pushing his way into a much more meaningful role. Great to see the Yanks lose. 8 out of 9 get on base. A different 8 out of 9 score or drive in a run. I'm beginning to wonder about Johnson.
  5. moonslav59
    So, the Astros were playing golf last early October?
  6. moonslav59
    I have to keep bashing him.
  7. moonslav59
    Another freakin grand salami! Unreal!
  8. moonslav59
    I have zero superstitions, but I used to bang my bat against my cleats, even when I was wearing sneakers.
  9. moonslav59
    Better than I expected, assuming no setbacks.
  10. moonslav59
    Then he's stuck in purgatory.
  11. moonslav59
    I don't have time now, but I've done it in the past. We have a ton of arb raises and some minor option raises going to Sale and I think someone else. If we trade JBJ for a half JBj salary player or two, we can afford Kimbrel and stay under the $40M over penalty line, but it will be very close. No Pom and No JBJ.
  12. moonslav59
    Agree 100%. I'm okay with an occasional game in an AL park, if someone really needs a rest, but that should be avoided, if possible by scheduling OF days off in NL parks. Luckily, our NL park dates are pretty well scattered evenly.
  13. moonslav59
    The difference is, we can keep JD's bat in the line-up as a DH. It's not JD vs JBJ in the line-up, it's actually Moreland vs JBJ's bat and JD vs JBJ's glove. In that light, the choice is obvious, to me. If we try to keep Devers in the line-up but not play 3B, then this is the choice: Devers vs JBJ's bat and JD vs JBJ on defense and Nunez/Lin/Holt on defense at 3B vs Devers.
  14. moonslav59
    As of now, none count against the luxury tax, since he is not on our 40 man roster. The question is about what if we trade him, pay part of his deal and then the next team adds him to their 40 man roster. Would whatever we pay then count against us?
  15. moonslav59
    If we can sign or trade for a great defensive CF'er making peanuts and get something worthwhile for JBJ (decent 3-4 starter), we might have to trade JBJ and let Pom walk just to pay everyone's arb raises.
  16. moonslav59
    We'll need 2 Kimbrels, if we let JMart take JBJ's OF slot. Plus, people are all ga-ga over Moreland's bat right now. When he's back to hitting .780, adding his bat over JBJ's is not so enticing.
  17. moonslav59
    That's what I was asking. I'm not sure. I would think that as long as we were not the team to call him up, it shouldn't count against us, but who know?
  18. moonslav59
    I think the closer is an important role on any winning team, but we can't employ the best at every position. It's a trade-off. Many teams, including the Astros have proven you can win without a light-out closer. I love Kimbrel, and would like to keep him, but paying him Chapman money will mean we can't keep someone else ... and not just for next year either. Kimbrel's contract will be close to 9% of our player payroll for 3-5 more years. I hated to see Pablebon go, but it was the right thing to do. (I felt that way at the time and still do in hindsight.) It won't be easy to find the next Uehara, if there even is one. I have close to zero percent confidence in anyone in our system at this moment in time, but I suppose that could change by this coming winter.
  19. moonslav59
    I'd just as soon have Swihart, JMart, Nunez or Lin (Holt when he's back) in LF than Castillo right now. It's not like Rusney is doing anything special to earn a shot this year. I'd like to see Swihart get a longer look than one game every 10 games. Let's find out what we have before trading or DFA'ing to bring up an equally unknown player that will kill our luxury tax this year and going forward. Say good bye to Kimbrel AND Pom, if we call up Castillo.
  20. moonslav59
    It looks like he'll never catch even an inning. It makes sense to trade him, but even if we do, we'll have enough players to play OF: JMart DH to LF/RF Nunez will be looking for time once Pedey returns. Holt Moreland in a pinch Lin in a pinch Castillo is in no man's land. We should trade him and pay half his salary or more. However, I'm not sure if he makes the team's ML roster, if whatever we end up paying of his salary, counts against the luxury tax.
  21. moonslav59
    Those 3 combined will not come close to what Kimbrel will make for multiple years. Also, 2 of those 3 look bad in hindsight, but those 2 got hurt. I'm not saying I want to trust Smith, Thornburg and Kelly next year, but my philosophy is not to pay over about 5% of our player payroll on a closer. Kimbrel may cost 7-9%.
  22. moonslav59
    I doubt Castillo would be called up right now, even if there were no luxury tax implication. We'd have to trade or DFA Swihart.
  23. moonslav59
    Are you seriously unaware that his OPS as a left fielder is .377 higher than his OPS as a DH? And in this particular case Betts was out, so Beni went to CF and JBJ to RF. Are you aware the sample size is tiny? (Just over over 50 PAs each) Last year, he was .909 as a DH in 22 PAs. In 2016, he was 513 points better as a DH (7 PAs). Career: .759 DH .770 LF I'm not doubting that JMart may end up doing better was an OF'er on offense over the long run, but at what expense? Also, what if he gets hurt? Might being a DH take time to adjust to? Why is it okay to let devers learn on the job at 3B but not JMart at DH?
  24. moonslav59
    I'm fine with keeping Kimbrel, although his cost will be very high for a position that is often filled at a much cheaper cost (see Uehara). It would almost certainly mean we lose Pomeranz, but the way Velazquez is looking, maybe we'll be okay just finding a 6th starter to take the place of Velazquez next winter.
  25. moonslav59
    Actually, it might be in our case. Castillo is no guarantee to be better at the ML level anyways. He'd take JBJ's place or Moreland's place, if JMart players corner OF. It has not gotten to the point of bringing up Castillo, even if there were no luxury tax implications. Besides, shouldn't Swihart get an extended look before Castillo?
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