moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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That is certainly a strong possibility, but eventually, it becomes "final offer" time. I don't think we should look at past signing periods as an indicator of what point we are or should be at now. Last year, 99 out of 158 FAs (62.6%) had signed by now. This year it is at 61 out of 166 (36.7%). While that differential looks massive, I don't think it's as serious as many seem to think it is. Many of these players have huge offers on the table. It's guys like Moustakas, LoMo and maybe a couple others that may be seriously impacted by this year's situation. With the Sox recently resetting their tax, we should think about pouncing on the mid-level players at "bargain rates", instead of upping our offer to JD. I'd seriously consider telling Boras, this is it ______. Let us know in __ days, or we move on, but if the market will all be delayed another 2-3 weeks, maybe it's not time to make ultimatums. .
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No GM in MLB places value on a player based solely on last year's performance. Even if Porcello's "true value" is somewhere around $14-16M, and we trade him, in order to "save" about $5M, is signing Cobb or Lynn for $14-16M a year really an upgrade? Maybe. Maybe not. If the $5M "saved" helps us sign Nunez or LoMo, then maybe it's worth it, but it's hard to tell. In theory, trading Porcello and replacing him, in kind, at a lower cost makes sense, but in reality, it's not an easy thing to do. Why wouldn't the team trading for Porcello just sign Lynn or Cobb themselves?
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Trading Porcello opens salary budget space, but then we need a SP'er. That will be costly in dollars and/or players if by trade. . I suppose we could trade Porcello and maybe force HRam with him for prospects. Sign JD and LoMo (or Nunez, if we can't dump HRam). Trade JBJ & Johnson for a SP'er (Salazar?).
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If we're JD's plan B, and we say, "This is our highest offer," Boras should do the right thing and tell us, we're out. He may want us to stick around to help drive the price up for their plan A team. I'd be fine with any of this... LoMo & Cobb LoMo & Nunez (trade HRam & Holt or Swihart, if possible) Duda, Nunez & Lynn (trade HRam & Holt or Swihart, if possible)
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Since the extension... 33-21 3.86 7.2 WAR (13th in MLB) 426 IP (4th in MLB) 1.69 BB/9 (4th in MLB) 1.19 WHIP (22nd in MLB) 88 ERA- (25th in MLB) 1 great season- one not so great. 2 more to go.
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Seasons? How many seasons has Porcello made $21M and lost 15 to 17 games?
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I don't think things are as dire as some seem to think it is. Just because big signings are on hold does not mean the end of the world. Some good offers have been made. Sides are not miles away. I doubt it goes to March, but I suppose some might sign then. I'm not worried. There's no need to panic and make demands that cause us to lose our top option(s).
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I could see that, especially if we miss out on JD. I could also see us letting Bogey go, going with defense at SS and using the money to power up at 1B.
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Chances are, we don't do all of this. We'd need every replacement player to come through nicely.. I think we keep Pom, make sure HRam does not vest and try to keep Bogey. We'll sign a SP'er to take Porcello's place, but maybe not at $20M. Wright remains the 6th starter.
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So, why is JD being vilified for trying to squeeze out an extra million or two?
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Agreed. I'm glad we did not sign Frazier, and would still be, if we miss out on JD. I'd rather have Moose, LoMo or Duda.
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...and himself, too, then. Maybe he wasn't as "cerebral" as many fans thought.
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Frazier is very good vs LHPs, as is HRam (except for 2017). Moreland and Devers bat lefty. 3 positions: 4 players. HRam & Frazier hit vs all lefties. Moreland & Devers vs all righties. HRam or Frazier play vs some RHPs. Devers vs almost all LHPs.
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She missed out on $6.5M!
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Unless, they moved Devers to DH and let Frazier play 3B.
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He had his highest OBP of his career. He did not trade OBP for HRs. He may have traded BA for HRs, though.
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One thing that always bugged me about Frazier was his late season swoons: Career: April, May & June all above .805 July, Aug, Sept all below .760 1st half: .825 2nd half .727 Post season .561 (58 PAs)
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So, based on your chosen methodology, you'd call them even,
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He's been in serious decline and is getting old. BA: .273> .255> .225> ,213 SLG: .498> .454> .428 OPS+ 121> 117> 107> 105 The .344 OBP in 2017 was a career best and possibly an outlier. He turns 32 next week. It's not a bad signing, but there's too much downside risk. At least his defense seems to be holding up nicely.
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Or duel-team high interest by one(JD) and maybe singular by one (BOS). Or not.
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Nobody is signing. I think we might be reading too much into the delayed signing period flurry.
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If he does that he might hit 1.000. He;s had .850 seasons based on one hot month.
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Todd Frazier to the Mets for $17M/2 (was projected at $33M/3),
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That wouldn't surprise me much either, but he's streaky and just might find consistency, for once. He's in his prime.
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JD would certainly add to the chances our offense improves significantly. I'm expecting a "career year" from one of these players: Betts Bogaerts Bradley I wouldn't be surprised if Moreland has his best year ever. Devers and Beni could make great strides or take a step back for a year. Pedey, HRam and Vaz should decline over their 2017 or 2016 best numbers.
