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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I think only a very select few treat WAR as the gospel. I know I don't, and I'm widely considered a "numbers guy." When we have water cooler discussions about who is best or better, we often throw around flawed stats and data that support our positions. We might minimize defense or base running, or maximize the power tool, or go to RBI or clutch stats to try and tip the balance our way. All WAR does is try, and I don't use the word "try" lightly, to combine all areas by weighing their importance and creating a simple one number to value players. I think WAR is just the starting point to any debate on who is better or best. Others who like WAR may view it differently.
  2. moonslav59
    We can argue semantics all day, but I'd say no. It is more flawed than WAR, since it clearly weights SLG as being equal to OBP, and it isn't. It also duplicates the same values for somethings but not others. BTW, I have no issues with calling all these numbers stats, but I don't view WAR as one, since too much opinion goes into the weighting of the formula.
  3. moonslav59
  4. moonslav59
    JBJ has almost always had a hot streak or tow that brings his season OPS to a respectable level. I see no reason to not expect it to happen again. Of course, it may not, but the odds favor it happening vs it not happening. Those who believe he will end up being below .600 on the season are being pessimists.
  5. moonslav59
    Apparently, he's seen him play a couple times and knows for a fact, he can hit way better than Vaz & Leon.
  6. moonslav59
    Because it's a metric based on a formula created by humans who weight various stats the way they feel they should be weighted. They are not perfect and admit it. It's not about being perfect. While BA is a perfect stat for gauging a hitter's batting skill, it too is flawed due to game scorer's opinions, strength of opposing pitcher, defense and park size. WAR attempts to simplify player evaluation into one number, so we don't have to say, yes, but player B has more power and is a better defender, followed by, "But, player A runs the bases better and hits better in the clutch", and so on... It's a flawed number, no doubt, but it tried to do what we all do when arguing who is the better OVERALL PLAYER.
  7. moonslav59
    If somebody asked me who is having the best season, so far, I'd probably put the top 5 in an order very similar to this: 1. Mookie 2. Trout 3. Ramirez 4. Machado 5. Lindor That's exactly how fWAR has them lined up! What's a better stat? OPS or wOBA? Betts, JDM, Trout, Machado, Bryant? wRC+? Betts, Trout, JDM, Machado, Belt? Of course any metric that tries to quantify every aspect of the game and combine them into one number will be flawed, maybe even seriously in some areas, but I've yet to hear any WAR naysayer come up with and adequately defend the choice of one other stat or metric that is better at quantifying total player value for purposes of comparing player values.
  8. moonslav59
    If you go by just this year's OPS as a quide, here might be our best line-up: defense be damned. 1. Betts RF 1.198 2. Beni CF .844 3. Moreland 1B .991 4. Martinez LF1.077 5. Bogey SS .881 6. HRam DH .750 7. Devers 3B .705 8. Holt 2B .887 9. Leon C .546 Top May Sox OPS 1.239 JDM 1.228 Betts 1.076 Moreland .973 Beni .900 Leon .733 Holt .676 Bogey .653 Devers .587 Nunez .567 HRam .449 Vaz .350 Swihart .342 JBJ
  9. moonslav59
    Wait a week.
  10. moonslav59
    It would have to be a 3-way trade.
  11. moonslav59
    MLB Leaders OPS 1.198 Betts 1.077 JDM 1.072 Trout 1.070 Machado 1.010 Bryant 1.007 J Ramirez 1.006 B Belt Total Bases 127 Betts 119 JDM 116 Machado Team TBs 779 BOS 702 OAK 692 ATL 690 NYY Team XBHs 186 BOS 164 NYY 163 OAK HRs 68 BOS 67 CLE & NYY 62 LAA 61 OAK & TOR OPS .802 NYY .795 BOS .775 ATL Runs 254 NYY 253 BOS 243 ATL Runs allowed 122 HOU 164 AZ 165 CC 169 STL 171 PHI 173 WSH 175 MIL 178 BOS & NYY
  12. moonslav59
    Bottom of the order on base 3 out of 8 PAs.
  13. moonslav59
    Well said.
  14. moonslav59
    Now, you want to keep Sandy, based on what? His last 17 PAs? Watch Vaz go 4 for 5, and you'll flip.
  15. moonslav59
    Me, too. I'm very happy with Cora. Maybe JBJ's hit today will be the start of something good.
  16. moonslav59
    If this were true, why is JBJ walking and getting HBP so often recently? Last 8 games: 4 BB 2 HBP (2 Hits)
  17. moonslav59
    Love it!
  18. moonslav59
    It's a metric.
  19. moonslav59
    I'd release Holt before I'd trade JBJ. However, since both have options, I'd do neither.
  20. moonslav59
    1) WAR is not a "stat" 2) There is no single stat that does a better job at comparing total player value.
  21. moonslav59
    i think we should play Moreland nearly full time and split HRam and JBJ's time(0-50
  22. moonslav59
    MLB Leaders BA .372 Betts .358 Herera .347 Machado .345 JDM XBH 33 Betts 30 Albies 27 Machado 26 JDM TB 121 Betts 114 Machado 111 JDM WHIP 0.71 Verlander 0.79 Cole 9. Sale 0.92 13. Porcello 1.01 Number of Pitches 1011 Verlander 996 Sale 22. Porcello 897 (So much for resting Sale more early on.)
  23. moonslav59
    He actually created a 4-5 year window, which also qualifies as an "intermediate" plan
  24. moonslav59
    ...but Vaz is hitting .667 in the all important most recent one game sample size!
  25. moonslav59
    Probably an extension.
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