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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    He does still have a lot of promise, but Andriese has looked good, too and is out of options.
  2. moonslav59
    I guess how well Devers does at 3B, this year, may help determine where Bobby ends up, assuming he does well. I brought up this point in response to the statement- not by you- about not seeing Dalbec as the 1Bman of the future.
  3. moonslav59
    What’s a mediocre OBP? Here are the league averages from ‘17-‘19 .322 all .334 1B only Dalbec has a career OBP over .360, but it’s fair to expect a drop in the majors.
  4. moonslav59
    There hasn’t been a big gap between the league OPS at 1B vs 3B over the last few years, but if Dalbec can be an average defender at third, does having him play 3B make him more likely to stick?
  5. moonslav59
    I don’t recall it being him.
  6. moonslav59
    Andriese will likely get the call before Houck, as well.
  7. moonslav59
    I still think the chances are we need the 32 year old Houck years from now more than we need him in a rebuild season. Had Houck not had those 17 IP in 2020, this wouldn’t even be talked about.
  8. moonslav59
    Who was the guy on BDC who accused everyone of having 2nd identities?
  9. moonslav59
    Casas should not be called up to platoon. He needs to play everyday, except for rest days- same as JD and Devers. This would mean Dalbec starts once every 2 weeks.
  10. moonslav59
    Pitchers are often very good at age 32.
  11. moonslav59
    These guys are creatures of habit. I wouldn’t mess with their timing. We’d likely switch to 5 at some point and mess with them again.
  12. moonslav59
    Sorry for using the phrase “give up on” when you clearly did not mean that. Someone just accused me of giving up on Houck, so I know how you feel. If Casas is called up to play 1B full time, Dalbec would get very few PAs.
  13. moonslav59
    Good points. I think people see the high K rate and lower BA and group all those power hitters together, when having massive OBP disparities makes a world of difference.
  14. moonslav59
    How often do teams give up on a rookie hitting .785 on July 1st? Plus, if you add his small but great sample size from 2020, we’d be talking about benching a rookie hitting about .800 after 100 games.
  15. moonslav59
    I, for one, am sick of the “or not.”
  16. moonslav59
    Yes. Flat amount of years after drafted- maybe another amount for IFAs.
  17. moonslav59
    I see Dalbec as being much closer to Dunn than Middy.
  18. moonslav59
    I don’t see us benching a rookie hitting .785 on July 1st. I also doubt Casas will be called up that early, even if he’s hitting 1.100.
  19. moonslav59
    Not even close to being in jeopardy, even if Casas is raking it in the minors.
  20. moonslav59
    I can see .234, and of course a range of about 30 points plus or minus seems justifiable, especially for a rookie. .200 to .265 seems about right. To me, the OBP is way more important, and maybe that range is from .310-.380. I’ll project something like this: BA .235-.260 OBP .333-.360 HRs 35-45 assuming 550+ PAs
  21. moonslav59
    The fact that the .234 number you highlight is so recent makes your point valid, but I want to point out that his OBP that year was .371, which is 10 points higher than the rest of his minor league numbers. I’ll take .235/.371 as his career numbers in a flash, even without the high HR and Slg % of .454. His 2019 number slightly improve if you add in his AAA numbers that year (123 PAs). .239 BA (OBP dips to .356) .816 OPS Career in AA .240 AAA .257 MLB .263 (80 PAs) I’m just not seeing .200 to .225, but certainly it’s not out of the question.
  22. moonslav59
    I’m far from negative in Houck. I’d like to make sure we have one more year of team control with him- something some feel is just for upper echelon players. One could argue I am valuing him too highly. Look, the kid is suddenly a lock for a slot in our rotation based on a 17 inning sample size from a messed up 2020 season? I’m very hopeful that was not a fluke, so much so that I want another year of him in a Sox uniform guaranteed. Also, I’m very high on Pivetta- perhaps too high? I could ask why you are so negative on Pivetta, but I won’t,
  23. moonslav59
    Very rarely that happens, and if it does just trade the guy or don’t offer arb,
  24. moonslav59
    The double negative makes it hard to know what you mean.
  25. moonslav59
    I’m not sure why Dalbec should be projected to hit .200 to .225. He’s been a .260 hitter in the minors with a pretty large sample size. Yes, he strikes out a lot, but unlike many other high K hitters, he walks a lot. That shows some discipline that many high K players just don’t have. His .360 OBP in the minors is more than decent, and even if he drops to a .250 BA and .340 OBP, the Ks won’t matter at all. I know the Middy & Chablis comps are getting repetitive, but both of them had a .325 OBP in the minors. They both showed plus power and rather low BA numbers, but it was the low OBP numbers and non plus defense the made Middy a bust and threatens to make Chablis follow in his footsteps. I just don’t see that with Dalbec. He’s a decent fielder, and even if he hits .235 with a .333 OBP, he’ll stick around a be FT player.
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