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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Those should be more than enough to add the rule 5's for this year and a couple FAs. If we sign more FAs, here's the second list: Walden Covey Godley? Chatham? Grullon? Tapia? Like I said, we have no issues with making room on our 40 man roster for additions.
  2. Every signing and trade involves hopes, such as good health. I feel very optimistic about this winter. Bloom da man!
  3. I'm not for handing him away. If his stock has fallen too low, I'm with you. Give him a shot to right the ship.
  4. Maybe not as high as '68, but somewhere in between might not be a bad idea.
  5. Maybe the stars aligned in 2019 for everything to go wrong.
  6. I don't see anyone throwing a parade for Beni. In fact, several of us are hoping we can trade him for pitching. Beni is under contract. JBJ is not. Beni was paid after putting up some pretty impressive numbers by age 23. Better offensive numbers than JBJ has had over his last 3 years (.806 OPS over his first 3 seasons). Just because we paid Beni at age 23 what he's getting does not matter with the 30 year old FA-to-be JBJ. Your durability point is a good one. It does add to JBJ's value. I'm not "denigrating eye balls." I have mentioned several time that I have seen decline with my own eyes. A lost step. Maybe slower initial breaks. I noticed the decline before I even looked at the numbers, and the numbers supported my observations. You have seen it differently. That's fine. I'm not arguing JBJ is a bad fielder or even an average one. I pout him about 9-12 in the top 30 CF'er in MLB on D. He's maybe 16-20 on offense. He's durable. He's worth about $4-6M a year x 2. Some say $6-8M- some even more. We are not that far apart to be going on and one over this. Again, I've been JBJ's biggest fan. I will always have fond memories of his play. His 3HRs and 10 RBI in just 28 ABs in the 2018 ALCS+WS were unforgettable! I'm fine with bringing him back. I'm just not for spending as much as some here are suggesting on the CF position. I'd prefer to put more resources towards pitching and better defense- Yes, better than even JBJ.
  7. I totally agree. Manny was the MAN (child)!
  8. We need solid answers not hopes and prayers.
  9. Not really. Almost every Beatles song is better than their best one.
  10. Yes, he's capable of .750, but even that is not really a plus. Yes, he's a solid defender, but there are other who are better. I get the feeling had he been a Yankee all these years, nobody, here, would want him.
  11. The "known commodity" includes incredibly long slumps and good but diminished defensive skills. Yes, he's been over .800 in 3 of the last 6 seasons, but 2 of those seasons were below 260 PAs, and 3 of the last 4 seasons have been under .738. .738 is not terrible for CF, especially for a plus defender, but his O WAR (fWAR) was negative for those 3 years. His career OWAR is -6.2. I'm okay with not having a plus on offense at the CF and SS positions, but I'm also worried about JBJ's defense. His UZR/150 went up from last year, but he still didn't look like the "old JBJ" out there in CF. His CF UZR/150 and my observations show decline. 8.1 in 2016 3.5 in 2017 8.8 in 2018 (peak) -1.8 in 2019 5.5 in 2020 (small sample size) His DRS in those years? 14, 15, -1, -2, 5 I get the sentimentality of the re-sign, but no way do I pay him what some here want us to do.
  12. Yes, and I have mentioned that, although I think he and Pillar are close, offensively. I see it this way: we can get a better defensive CF'er for way less money, especially if he end up getting what some here are saying he will or should get. The drop in offense is a maybe, since with JBJ, we don't know how long the slumps will be. Assume we can be sure JBJ gives us .740-.780 and the great defensive guys we sign for $2-4M a year gives us .650-.690. How much is that drop off worth? Our offense is not our weak point- JBJ or not. Take the money saved on JBJ, maybe $4-8M depending on how much JBJ gets and who se sign instead and either sign a RP'er at $4-8M a year or add that money to a starting pitcher signing and go from a $16M/yr SP'er to a $20-22M guy. To me, that upgrade outweighs the loss on offense in CF. Factor in better D in CF, and it looks like a clear choice, to me.
  13. ...and my eyeballs have seen decline, too.
  14. It was a very short season. We all know JBJ's bat has its ups and its long downs. Expecting him to continue the offense he had over his 191 ABs, this season, is not something I would do. Can we hope he does? Sure. Is it possible? Sure. s it likely? I think not. The guy was under .738 for three full seasons before this short one. Three prime seasons! "Recency" does play a role, but not that big of one. 2017 to 2019 (1643 PAs) .234/.318/.409/.727 2020 (just 217 PAs) .283/.364/.450/.814 Yes, solid numbers over 55 games, but we've seen that before. It's the other 100 games we have fretted and argued over for too many years.
  15. The comp with Beni is not meaningful, to me. Yes, JBJ is still a quality defender, but there are several that are equal and better that can be had for less than $6-8M/yr. His bat is not a plus.
  16. The usual argument is "I know greatness when I see it," despite only watching others only a handful of times each.
  17. I had a feeling I'd hear from you.
  18. One of the greatest of the greats! Bob Gibson Dies at Age 84
  19. My projected Sox 40 Man Roster for Opening Day 2021: 60 Day IL: Pedroia, Sale, ERod 26 Man: SP1 Eovaldi SP2 ___FA___ SP3 Perez SP4 ___FA___ SP5-6 Houck/Pivetta RP1 ___FA___ RP2 Barnes RP3 ___FA___ RP4 D Hern RP5 Taylor RP6 Brasier RP7 Valdez C Vazquez C Plawecki 1B Dalbec 1B-2B Chavis 2B Arroyo 3B Devers SS Bogaerts UT Munoz LF Benintendi CF ___FA___ RF Verdugo OF(1B/2B?) ___FA___ DH Martinez 14 Others in minors Weber Brewer Mazza 1 from Covey, Walden, Godley orTapia Chatham Arauz Grullon (Rule 5 added) Mata Groome Potts Jeisson Rosario Connor Seabold Connor Wong 1 from Eduard Bazardo, Kutter Crawford, Chad De La Guerra, Roniel Raudes, Zach Schellinger, Alex Scherff or Jeremy Rivera Trade, Non Tender or DFA: Lin (out of options) Peraza Hart Brice Springs Hall Stock Triggs Kickham Leyer Wilson Aybar Puello
  20. Is there anybody on this list anyone feels a strong attachment to? Lin (out of options) Peraza Hart Brice Springs Hall Stock Triggs Kickham Leyer Wilson Aybar Puello
  21. I can name 18-20 guys I wouldn't even blink, if we traded for scraps or DFA'd. I cannot remember the last time I have seen such a weak bottom 40 man roster on a Sox team. We could add all those 13 and sign 5 FAs, and we wouldn't have to DFA a single highly promising player. Peraza (non tender?) Brice Springs Hall Stock Triggs Kickham Walden Lin Chatham Hart Wilson Aybar Covey Godley Puello Grullon? Tapia? Plus, there's Pedey (60 day IL all year?), can trade Brasier, Brewer, Chavis, Barnes, Eovaldi, Beni... IMO, no problem, this winter.
  22. It's not the bible, butb when DRS and UZR/150 bot point to JBJ not being a top 10 defensive CF'er during a pretty long sample size of the down slope of his prime years, it leads me to think there are some equal or better CF'ers in MLB, right now. Several cost way less, although their offense has been even worse than JBJ's ups and long downs. I love defense. I love watching great defense more than great offense. JBJ has been my favorite Sox player since before he was even a starter. Defense up the middle is not over rated in my book. That being said, I have seen other CF'ers that look as good or better than JBJ is, right now in his career. The numbers back up my observations, for the most part, but they are not perfect indicators of value. Now, to JBJ's offense. Just as I defended JBJ's offense during slumps, I'm not fooled into thinking he has suddenly become a consistently very good hitter due to this shortened system. Overall, he'snot very good, and he's not very bad, except in short sample sizes focusing ob his hot and cold streaks. From 2018-2020, his OPS is about .742. Would I bet on the over on .742 the next two to three years? No. I wouldn't feel comfortable betting the under, but if I had to choose, I would. BTW, .742 ranks 21st out of 32 CF'ers with 900+ PAs. It's very close to: .755 Cain .730 A Jones .727 Pillar It also makes me wonder about guys like these, who are worse hitters but by how much? And, does their apparent better defense cancel out JBJ's better offense? Then, what about their contract cost and how the "saved money" could be spent elsewhere to offset any possible loss in CF by signing or trading for... .688 Inciarte .682 Margot .669 Kiermaier or even a guy like Marisnik. I'm fine with bringing JBJ back. He'd still be my favorite Sox player, but the more we spend on CF, the less we have for other more pressing needs.
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