If we offer JBJ more than anyone else does, it means we "respect" him more than anyone else does.
That being said, I'm feeling more like Nick than others. We need to move past the fascination with our own homegrown players. There's no doubt in my mind, had JBJ spent his whole career with some other team, his name would hardly be mentioned as an addition for 2021-2022.
We are looking to rebuild a highly competitive team. I get that along the way, a team can and probably should sign "bridge" or "place-setter" FAs to 1 or 2 year deals to fill some gaps, temporarily, but very good glove- bad to okay bat CF'ers are plentiful and many times much cheaper than what people here are suggesting we offer JBJ.
If no other GM offers him $6M/1 or $11M/2, then okay, maybe make an offer close to that, but I'd still rather sign a Pillar type player for $4M/1 than JBJ at $12M/2. Use the savings to add a RP'er or improve another FA by offering $18M a year instead of $12M a year. The differential between those two pitchers should outweigh any possible drop off from JBJ to a guy like the 2020 Pillar signing.
I get the point that Pillar signing could have been a failure as the next Pillar-type signing might be, but so could a re-signing of JBJ.
I can certainly see the logic behind keeping Beni and giving him a legitimate chance to bounce back. The guy put up some pretty impressive numbers from age 21-23 and is still rather young. Plus, he's under contract: JBJ is not. The reason I suggested trading Beni was that his team control years don't overlap the projected years of us being highly competitive by more than a year, if that. His stock is pretty low, but I don't think GMs think like many of us here. They don't overvalue players based on a 60 game season or even the most recent 162 game season, for that matter. They recognize players have bad seasons here and there. Maybe they see something they think they can fix- something our staff missed. I'm not saying all GMs discard recent performance levels, but I don't think they place the same emphasis on it than many here do.
I was for trading Eovaldi, when he looked healthy and was pitching well. I even said, "Hurry up, before he gets hurt again!" and I think he missed his next start after I said that. It's a tricky thing knowing a players trade stock value at any given moment, but other than injury and age factors, I don't think a player's stock goes up and down as much as we think it does.
I'm fine with keeping many of the players currently under contract. See what we can add, this winter, without hurting our 2021 chances, and re-evaluate our situation, next summer. If it looks like we have no or very little chance of winning a ring in 2021, then I feel we should unload every player not part of the 2022 plan and look closely at every player who is under control until 2022 only. If we can get something useful and under team control for beyond 2022, I'd seriously consider a sell-off.
I'm of the belief we will not be highly competitive, next year, even if Bloom guesses right on nearly all his winter signings and moves, but it's not clear. I'm okay with waiting it out for half a season.
Barnes and ERod's team control ends after 2021. They could certainly be on the blocks, next winter. We also lose Pedey's contract after 2021. It's the players who become FAs after 2022 who are the hardest to decide.
JD Martinez
Eovaldi
Beni
Vaz
Plawecki
Godley & Peraza (may be non tendered, this winter)
There is some real talent on this list, and it's not necessarily a great thing to see how much salary space these players leaving will free up. We'll have some real gaps to fill, but that is 2023. We'll know a hell of a lot more about the status of our homegrown players and prospects by then. Hopefully, some gaps can and will be filled adequately from within the system.
Budget space coming off the books (LUX Tax $$$):
After 2021: (~$19M Total)
$13.8M Pedroia
~$3.1M ERod (4th of 4 arbs)
~$2.1M Barnes (3rd of 3 arbs)
After 2022: (~$54M Total, assuming Godley & Peraza are not paid in 2022)
$22M JD
$17M Eovaldi
$7.0M Vaz
$6.6M Beni
~$1.4 Plawecki
~$XXX Peraza/Godley