moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I do, but he's a professional- like ERod. He bears down, when needed and does what it takes to get a win. It's interesting that Richards' ERA went way down by taking away his start 6 games ago and adding last night's game, but his OPS against went up from .704 to .717. BTW, I do like OPS against as much as any stat for SP'ers. ERA- or ERA+ is close, but no stat tells the whole story. WAR tries its best and comes closest.
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ERA+ adjusts for park.
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I know Torres is not moving, but his hitting much better is not a sure thing. I seriously doubt he ends up at .700, let alone .650, but still. Voit is no given, despite showing very promising results. Your team is better with Torres at 2B and LeMahieu at 1B. Getting a SS would improve your team in several ways. Again, OF is the top priority, but defense is second.
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36 out of 100 balls in play are falling for hits. If we assume every LD is a hit, and his line drive % went up from 20-25% (actually 19 to 27, now), that means his line drive balls hit went from 20 to 25 out of 100 balls hit not 100 PAs. That's a 25% increase in LD% (5/20). If he used to have 20% LDs and a .300 BAbip, then the LDs accounted for 2/3 of all his hits allowed. If we follow the theory that every LD is a hit, then we'd expect to see a 5% increase in hits, or a .050 addition to his BAbip (from .300 to .350). Of course every LD is not a hit, and every GB is not an out. (BTW, ERod's GB% is down 8%.) I would argue maybe half his increase in BAbip is bad luck and half is he's pitching worse and allowing less GBs and more LDs. -
I'm a huge Bloom fans and think he was the perfect hire for what we needed. What got me thinking about the Rays getting rid of good pitchers right before they decline sharply was Snell. It's early, yet, but his ERA+ went from 129 w TBR to 97 with SDP. WHIP from 1.237 to 1.463 in 40 IP.
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You can always use another starter to get you over the hump, but yes, offense, especially in the OF is priority #1. Defense is #2. You have some other weak hitting positions, but you're not replacing Torres. .532 1B .562 LF .570 CF .628 2B .644 SS (all other poistions are at .794 or higher- a major gulf between the top 4 and bottom 5.) You have LeMahieu to play 2B or 1B, and you can't expect Torres to stay at .650, but that still leave a hole at one infield position, too. Maybe Voit or Andujar can fill that gap, but OF is your biggest concern.
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2021 MLB draft
moonslav59 replied to jacksonianmarch's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
You're fixated in velo. -
I didn't take it any other way.
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Pitcher A: 2.08 (.604 OPS against) Last 5 starts Pitcher B 2.89 (.505 OPS against) Last 5 starts Pitcher C 2.27 (.717 OPS against) Last 5 starts Pretty amazing having 3 SP'ers doing this well, right? A: Perez B: Pivetta C: Richards
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Your numbers are wrong. You are converting percent of balls in play to percent of all ABs. If all of the 5% in crease in LDs fell for hit, which I'm sure is not likely, that's a .050 increase in his BAbip. I'm not saying it had that affect- only that it might explain some of the increase, and that it likely is not all "bad luck" that should even out eventually. Maybe it's only a .025 affect and the rest is bad luck. Maybe it's just crappy defense by short-ranged defenders.
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I never knew this. I don't see out 40 man roster as being squeezed, despite 10 guys not being available for ML use, right now. I would not start the clock on Mata.
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Not a savior, but a jump from .450 to .700 or .750 is as good as a jump from .750 to 1.000. We have other areas that can be improved upon, too, but Cordero looks like the easiest one to fix, in system. It's no sure bet Santana does better, and we'll never know if Cordero was about to get red hot, but demoting him, but at this point, it's worth a shot.
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Our pitching splits indicate we've done pretty well over the last 28 days, which excludes 6 games vs the O's in early April. Also, Richards, Pivetta and Perez have been awesome in their last 5 starts.
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I like WAR a lot, but I don't think it does justice to RP'ers. I prefer OPS Against. I used to like WHIP, but it counts a HR the same as a bloop single.
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I think most people wanted a longer sample size with Kluber, before accepting the Yanks had two sure-fire aces. Last night might have changed all that. Two aces and a knock out pen is a great thing to have, and they have been what has kept you close while your offense and 2-5 starters have struggled, sometimes mightily. I have to think Cashman gets a starter at the deadline, but I've been thinking than for several years, and he seems to be restricted in some ways. You guys do have a few starters in your system you can hand the ball to, and see if they can do better. Taillon might just need more time to regain what he once had. German & Montgomery still hold some promise, but it's getting to the point of the season where you start asking, "Is it time to try someone new?"
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Good thing we didn't trade Beni for him and a couple PTBNLs.
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We don't really need CF, since Kike & Verdugo both play it well enough. We need a Renfroe platoon, and Marwin is playing himself out of that role.
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It's sure nice to see baseball being relevant, again.
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How do the Rays always know just when to trade a pitcher right before they suck?
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Lack of pitching should be their downfall. They may pick someone up at the deadline. They seem to be more willing to spend than most teams.
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1 walk away from a perfect game.
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This is crazy.
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Rays won, again, too.
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Cordero hitting the ball hard, tonight.
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It's over: Kluber gets the no-no. Yanks win 2-0. 1 BB from a perfect game. (Tell, Shirley I'm not jokin'.)
