moonslav59

Up and At 'em Adam Ott!

Not tonight.

I wouldn't mess with his role.

Too bad we let Brice go. This would be the perfect.... (NOT!)

Santana has as many HRs and Mawrin, Cordero and Chavis combined (over 280 PAs combined),

Come on Danny!

Finish this game off. Let's get a crooked number!

Were you joshin'?

I thought Santana would replace Franchy, but I guess it will have to be Arroyo.

Some of the guys who were replaced are doing very well, but most arent.

I think it's a lock, his bat is ML ready.

Double Yup!

Yup!

We have a $10M option on Richards for next year. I don't think we plan to stay under the tax line, next season, especially if we stay under, this year. The second tax line may be the limit, so maybe we have $19M to spend beyond the tax line. That's enough for several major additions.

He's been more bust than contributor. Just because he's been healthy for 9 starts means very little going forward. Other pitchers have gotten less than $17M x 4 and done better.

I agree. I still think the Jays finish ahead of the Rays, but the Rays almost always surprise. I’d put the Yanks slightly ahead of the Jays. Yes, it will be a tough race.

Yes, he is. I was talking about trading him, this summer, and I guess I was assuming he was gone. I made it sound like he was a FA, too.

Toronto lost and plays TBR, this weekend. It wasn't long ago, some were calling them the "team to watch."

Starting Pitchers Going into the 5th or Through the 5th and longer: Eovaldi 9 out of 9 GS & 8 out of 9 with 5.0 IP or more ERod 8 of 8 & 8/8 Richards 8 of 9 & 8/9 Pivetta 8 of 9 & 8/9 Perez 7 of 9 & 7/9 Houck 2 of 2 & 1/2 Total: In 43 of 46 games, our starters went into the 5th inning. In the 3 they did not, they went 3.2 in all of them. (Maybe no team has seen its starters go 3.2 innings or more in every start.) In 40 of 46 games, our starters went at least 5 full innings.

I would not extend Eovaldi. I might even trade him at the deadline. ERod is the tough call. The guy has been a winner, but the long term effects of COVID are unknown. We need an ace, next year. We may have to try and get by with replacing ERod & Eovaldi with a FA & Sale with hopes that Seabold, Houck and maybe someone else stepping into the 5-6 starter slot. A lot will depend on how players like Dalbec, Duran, Casas and to some extent Downs and Arroyo do, this year. If we don't have to spend big at 1B, OF and 1B next winter, we can sign 2 starters, a closer (extend Barnes?) and another solid set-up man.

This is a make or break season for Chavis, IMO, at least with the Sox. (I still think we'll trade him at the deadline.) He'll either win an important role, this year or be gone. With 5-6 Rule 5 players to be added, this winter, he has to prove he's a better hope. Renfroe still sucks against RHPs, and that is the larger split, so I'm not sure he can ever be viewed at our FT RF'er. If Duran proves he can be a plus, it would take a lot of pressure off our OF situation and needs going forward, but that is no given. Maybe Kike keeps playing the OF vs RHPs. v RHP LF: Kike CF: Duran RF: Verdugo v LHP LF: Verdugo CF: Duran RF: Renfroe (Kike at 2B?) We only have Kike for 1 more year after this and Arroyo for 3 more. Maybe Downs works his way into the scene, but 2B seems less of a worry, now, than it did last winter. Here's a look at team control by position: C: 1 yr (option) Vaz, 1 yr Plawecki (Ro Hernandez, Wong, Herrmann) 1B: 4 yrs Dalbec, 4 yrs Chavis (Casas) 2B: 3 yrs Arroyo [1-Kike] (Downs, Yorke) 3B: 2 yrs Devers-extension? (Potts, Bonaci) SS: 1(opt out) or 4 Bogey, 4 yrs Arauz (Lugo) LF: 3 yrs Verdugo, 3 yrs Cordero CF: 1 yr Kike, 4+ yrs Duran (Jimenez, Rosario) RF: 2 yrs Renfroe (Decker) DH: UT: 0 yr Marwin

April>May Player 1.175>.818 JD .958>.926 Devers .915>1.092 Bogey .863>.777 Verdugo .763>.432 Arroyo .671>1.045 Kike .638>.775 Vaz .619>.782 Dalbec .589>.549 Marwin .485>.753 Renfroe .471>1.233 Plawecki .452>.475 Cordero This shows why using what you did recently to project what is to come is not a good idea. Only 3 players stayed within 95 points of their April OPS. Only 4 within 137 and 5 within 163. -357 JD -96 Verdugo -40 Marwin -32 Devers +23 Cordero +137 Vaz +163 Dalbec +177 Bogey +268 Renfroe +374 Kike +762 Plawecki

Season Sox OPS Against (May OPS Against) SP .634 Pivetta (.662) .647 Eovaldi (.647) .674 Perez (.595) .748 Richards (.722) .802 ERod (.951) RP .371 Barnes (.410) .400 Valdez (.451) .603 Ottavino (.600) .654 Whitlock (1.063) .689 DHern (.541) .789 Taylor (.259) .806 Houck (n/a) .839 Sawamura (.913) .867 Brice (.984) .917 Andriese (1.268)

Updated Sox OPS 1.015 JD 1.000 Santana .992 Bogey .945 Devers .823 Verdugo .806 Chavis .775 Arauz .776 Plawecki .757 Hernandez .710 Arroyo .696 Vaz .631 Renfroe .572 Gonzalez .462 Cordero Some small sample sizes, here, but it's nice seeing some names close to our top 4 hitters and others moving up from the 400's, 500's and 600's to 600's and 700's. Here were the numbers on April 30: 1.175 JD .958 Devers .915 Bogey .863 Verdugo .763 Arroyo .671 Kike .638 Vaz .619 Dalbec .589 Marwin .485 Renfroe .471 Plawecki .452 Cordero

They were there, last winter, too. We got Brice based on spin rate, right?