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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    You can choose to pick the best FA signing in hindsight, and say the Sale money saved helped pay for part of O'Neill's and then Chapman's deal. Or, you can say it helped JH be convinced to spend on Giolito (meh.) Or, we used the money to pay for JH's yacht crew.
  2. moonslav59
    Word is that the Sox have not been aggressive on KMarte talks, and they want young pitchers, which we have. The whole world is checking in on KMarte. I've been high on him for a while, but the price will likely get too high for Brez to bite. I'm not high on Bregman or Bichette. To me, it has to be Alonso or K Marte. The next best option, to me is not Bregette, but rather two from this group: FA: Polonaco or Suarez Trade: Lodolo Instead, we'' probably sign Merrill Kelly and trade Duran & Harrison for Paredes. They'll be patting themselves and all 12 front office backs.
  3. moonslav59
    I was thinking Matz might take $5-6M/1. Wow! $15M/2!
  4. moonslav59
    Differ a ton- get it done!
  5. moonslav59
    Of course I don't set the market. My point is that I do not feel an 81 game stretch outweighs his 2 season decline, and he had a couple off seasons before that 3 year back good year. 117>113> 134>124>117 All it takes is one GM to get all jacked up over 81 games, and if we have to go too high to match or pass him, I'm fine with walking away. That's not to say, I want to walk away from everybody, but I would not pick Bregman or Bichette to break our streak of no long deals given out. Neither gives us the power we need. He's got a sub .800 OPS (123 OPS+) since 2020. That's good, but not great. Not $30M x 5 years great. Bichette is younger, but he has less power and even worse OPS numbers. (sub .800 and 119 OPS+ since 2020. (118 since 2022.) If some GM wants to go 5 years, have at him.
  6. moonslav59
    Alonso should be a DH, but that's not how paying players works. 1Bmen do seem to get less, for the most part, but I think the ironman Alonso gets $30-31Mx 4 or $27-29M x 5. I doubt the Sox go 5, so they will need to max out the AAV on 4.
  7. moonslav59
    I'd be sick to my stomach with just Suarez, Gray and Oviedo. (This from someone probably higher on Suarez than most.)
  8. moonslav59
    Teams in on Schwarber are now looking at maximizing their Alonso offers.
  9. moonslav59
    And you are giving them 1-2 more years, so they'll be just as old- and worse.
  10. moonslav59
    I disagree, fully. Bregman's 128 OPS+ in just 114 games this year was only the second time he's been over a 122 OPS+ since 2020. 3 times in the last 6 years his OPS+ was 116 or 117. He was showing decline on offense until his half season of hitting well for BOS. .941 in 81 games from 4/3 to 8/26 (.490 in first 6 games and .571 in last 26 games.) Of course, I'd rather have Bregman than not, but we'll be lucky to get near that production for 2-3 more years, let alone 4-5 or even 6.
  11. moonslav59
    Schwarber's better than those two. If they get more years, they get less AAV. Alonso $29M x 5, $27M x 6 or $25M x 7 Bregman $30M x 5 or $27.5M x 6 Maybe...
  12. moonslav59
    He didn't last year.
  13. moonslav59
    Not even close to happening. If we only get one bat, especially if Suarez not Alonso, then we should not trade Duran but look to trade Rafaela and or Campbell, instead. Even then, our offense would still be worse than 2025.
  14. moonslav59
    It does, right? He was added a month after Rafaela, DHam & Abreu were added to the 40 back in NOV '22. Right now, those 3 are tied for 10th on 40 Man Roster seniority! Mada is 13th!
  15. moonslav59
    We can sign one and trade for one, but it's likely Duran will be part of the trade, so it will be giving up some O to get some O. If we trade Duran for a pitcher (Lodolo?) then adding even (just) Alonso is a net loss on offense. No 1200 PAs from Devers, Bregman, Refsnyder and Lowe. Alonso can make up for 650. Maybe Anthony makes up for 350, but we're short 200 PAs just to get back to even, and that assume everyone else does the same.
  16. moonslav59
    Sign Suarez Trade Mayer, Valera & Tolle for Greene Trade Duran, Harrison & Perales for K Marte 1. L Anthony LF 2. S K Marte 2B 3. L Abreu RF/ R Refsnyder RF 4. R Suarez 3B 5. L Yoshida/R Refsnyder 6. R Story SS 7. L Casas 1B/ R Romy 1B 8. R Narvaez C 9. R Rafaela CF SP: Crochet, Greene. Gray, Bello, ____
  17. moonslav59
    MLBTR projected $21M x 3. They were $3M off on Cease, but got 7 years right. They got Schwarber's years right at 5, but missed by $3M/yr. Does that mean Suarez gets $24M x 3? Adding $3M/yr to other MLBTR projections: $33M x 5 Valdez $30M x 6 Bregman $30M x 4 Alonso $29M x 8 Bichette $28M x 5 Imai $26M x 5 R Suarez $25M x 8 Murakami $21M x 2 M Kelly $19M x 4 Okamoto $18M/2 H-S Kim and Realmuto $17M x 3 Polanco
  18. moonslav59
    I'd guess Alonso would prefer BOS> BAL. If the Cubs outbid us for Breggie, I'm fine, as long as we get Alonso, KMarte or two from Suarez, Polanco & Lodolo.
  19. moonslav59
    You beat me to it!
  20. moonslav59
    The MLB FIP has gone up, then down, recently: 4.27>3.97>4.33>4.08>4.16 It looks like Kutter has been close to the league average. It's hard enough for us to place value on Kutter. I'm sure many GM would just pass or wait it out to see what he looks like in 2026. Dobbins is likely a wait and see guy, too. Harrison might hold the most trade valuer of the 3. Just how much do Kutter and Perales add to a Duran trade? (I'm not sure I wanna part with Tolle or Early, unless we get a big game changer.)
  21. moonslav59
    If the rumor on not wanting to go much over the tax line is correct, Suarez gets us there, if you add a $3-5M LH'd RP'er.
  22. moonslav59
    Maybe the 4th year brings it to $112-116M/4. That's a $28-29M AAV. Would he take $125-130M/5? ($25-26M AAV)
  23. moonslav59
    Looks that way. He might be a better Plan B option than Polanco. I'd be pretty pissed, if our winter added up to Gray, Suarez, Oviedo and some lefty no name RP"er.
  24. moonslav59
    We might won it all with Devers. Certainly, Harrison and Hicks did nothing plus.
  25. moonslav59
    Sox reported to have "talked" with the Suarez camp.
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