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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Who was right about the cliff after 2019?
  2. moonslav59
    Not sure about slumping more than anyone else: He's a slow starter... Monthly OPS .766 SEP '22 .566 APR '23 (92 PAs) .766 May 80 .851 JUN 96 1.199 JUL 77 .918 AUG 100 .858 SEP 57 .857 APR 2024 (90) Injured>>> .749 AUG 62 .790 SEP 88 .589 APR 2025 Injured>>>>
  3. moonslav59
    At $14.7 AAV tax hit, I think they might. Ages 32-36 is scary. If Duran goes to AZ, the AAV hit would be $7M for 2026. (Likely less in '27 and '28- JD's arb years.)
  4. moonslav59
    It's about even, but if the money was the same, and at this moment with the window open wide, I'd have traded 6 yrs of Mayer for 2 years of Polanco... yes. (Close call.)
  5. moonslav59
    I'm not worried, either, but if we miss out on what we need and the excuse is no long term deals, these will be examples of shorter deals we missed out on.
  6. moonslav59
    That's quite a list- thanks. I will say guys like Schwarber & Alonso look better than Teoscar, Santander and other batters not named Soto, but still... 2024: Ohtani (P, too), JH Lee, Bellinger, M Chapman, Candelario, Soler, Gurriel, Hoskins, Garver & Teoscar 23: Judge, Turner, Bogey, Correa, Swanson, Nimmo, Yoshida, Wi Contreras, Beni, Abreu, Haniger & Rizzo (all over $40M)
  7. moonslav59
    Well, if Polanco costs as much as Mayer, I'd say it's close to even. I'd certainly project Polanco to give more production value in the next 2 years than Mayer, and I'm not sure the "window" lasts beyond 2 years.
  8. moonslav59
    There Cynics and maybe even a club of them, but then there is one single, site doomsayer.
  9. moonslav59
    I was thinking the same on Lodolo for Duran. I doubt they want anything to do with Hicks, but including him plus some cash might help balance it out. CIN is not a big spending team, so I doubt they do that. Maybe we add a lower level prospect pitcher with Duran and get Lodolo and a nice prospect bat from Cincy. My view is that there are ways we can get significantly better without spending too much money or trading away too many prospects, or creating gaping holes at other positions via trade-aways. Losing Duran hurts, and it hurts the offense more than the D, but with Anthony, Rafaela, Abreu and then Campbell/Yoshida on the roster, the loss can be minimized. Lodolo, Marte and Suarez might be too expensive, but that might be okay, as well as Okamoto at 3B/1B. I do have concerns about Suarez's age, and to a lesser extent Marte's, but all those choices seem like good enough batters to make us better. Adding Lodolo and Gray, plus Oviedo is better than Gio, Buehler and others lost.
  10. moonslav59
    Not all guys who finish poorly end up sucking or needing TJS soon afterwards. While Crochet did not end 2024 as poorly as Ryan did, he did drop a ton: 3.07 ERA/2.32 after 21 GS 5.19 ERA/3.86 in last 11 GS
  11. moonslav59
    I think some may be so fed up with JH and think he is so messed up, that they'd be willing to roll the dice on the next one- sight unseen. It seems that is how much they dislike Henry.
  12. moonslav59
    Podcast on trade... https://news.soxprospects.com/2025/12/podcast-ep-395-instant-analysis-of-luis.html
  13. moonslav59
    Good idea- before you even need it.
  14. moonslav59
    The guy is very attractive, but I'm so tired of hoping for health, especially with pitchers. The 2025 season was an IL merry-go-round, that also included a nice return by Gio and a "healthy" Buehler stinking up the place. How about these samples from the 2025 game logs? 3/31 to 4/15: 18.2 IP, 13H, 21K/5BB, 1HR, 0.96 ERA/2.71 FIP 5/3 to 6/1: 39.1IP 24H, 42K/10 BB, 1 HR 0.69 ERA/2.09 FIP That was his teammate Bubic, but Kris finished the season at 4.61/3.60 in his last 8 GS and 41 IP
  15. moonslav59
    $20M/1. The type of contract the Sox love! We cannot say Brez had no short term options, this year after this and the $20M x 2 Polanco signings.
  16. moonslav59
    I don't agree so many want him to sell, but I guess a lot do. The grass is always greener is one explanation. Of course 100% would agree with this statement: "Henry sells the team to a better owner willing to spend way more on the team." I'm not convinced we get a better owner. I'm not totally convinced JH will never spend big again. I'm extremely thankful for JH doing what was needed to be done to get us a ring in 2004. The 2007 ring was aided by big spending. The 2013 ring was kind of a surprise as we had cut spending. 2018 was an all in, JH aided ring season, and the contracts signed kept us a top 3 spending team all the way through 2021. I think that 2019-2021 stretch jaded JH and made him hesitant to repeat mistakes made with so many large and long deals and younger players all reaching their big paydays in such a short period of time.
  17. moonslav59
    I don't think JH allows us to spend on Bregman & K Marte, unless we somehow dump some salary, like insisting AZ takes Hicks. The #2 SP could be cheap, like Lodolo or Ryan. You are probably right on Bregman getting $150-155M/5 not $170M. I think Okamoto is more in JH's price range, and if we get AZ to cut some of the cost, maybe we can swing this: Okamoto (give an extra year to bring down the AAV by $2-3M. ($15M x 6?) Marte with only an added cost of about $10-13M (they take Hicks w Mayer or Duran) Lodolo/Ryan/____? for Duran at no added cost on the budget.
  18. moonslav59
    Not saying I'm for this... Trade: Mayer, Crawford ($2.7M) and Hicks ($10.2M Tax hit) for K Marte $19.4M AAV (Adds $6M to tax budget.) Duran $7.7M for Lodolo $4.5M (Saves $3M) Sign Okamoto at $15M x 5 This keeps us near the tax line. 1. L Anthony LF 2. S K. Marte 2B 3. R Okamoto 3B 4. L Abreu RF 5. R Story SS 6. L Casas 1B 7. L Yoshida DH/ R Romy DH 8. R Narvaez C 9. R Rafaela CF SP: Crochet, Lodolo, Gray, Bello, Sandoval/Oviedo/Rookies RP: Chapman, Whitlock, Slaten, Weissert, Harrison, Dobbins, Kelly, Watson
  19. moonslav59
    Well, you broke apart my two trades, and the other one got us that #2. Basically, we trade Duran and Mayer plus some secondary pieces for a #2SP and a 2B/3Bman that doesn't cost as much as Bregman/Bichette.
  20. moonslav59
    I'd rather have Ryan.
  21. moonslav59
    Maybe the 3 options vs 1 option was the main reason.
  22. moonslav59
    5 years of K Marte for 6 years of Mayer and 5 years of Harrison. I would not trade 6 years of Mayer for 2 years of Polanco at $40M.
  23. moonslav59
    Bennett has 3 options left, so maybe this was the reason for the deal.
  24. moonslav59
    Good points. I’m still skeptical
  25. moonslav59
    Interesting trade. I hope it works out well
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