moonslav59

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/11/latest-on-red-sox-pitching-targets.html

I’d hate to lose Jimenez. I’m big on defense up the middle but he may end up being no more promising than Rosario- someone I’m okay with DFAing. I also like Santos. I’m not concerned about Feltman, but someone might take him.

We might lose two and draft one. Maybe that’s a reason we kept some slots open.

I get that, but some teams do t even have all that promising players at 39 & 40 either, including the Sox. That’s actually one reason I was surprised we only protected 4 when we have guys likePotts and Plawecki taking up slots. I think several tams are going to swoop on multiple Rule 5 selections , this year.

Honestly? You’ve said more absurd things and meant it, like in this very post claiming Bloom cost us the WS. There’s no way anyone could ever know that was a joke. Honestly.

The 26 man roster really changes things, too. It’s much easier for teams, especially the few teams in tank mode to stash one or even two highly talented but far away prospects on their 26 man roster. I will not be surprised if Jimenez and Santos are drafted.

1/3 chance of winning!

I’d say the second $25M had something to do with the choice.

I’m not surprised Santos and Feltman weren’t protected, and Jimenez is so far away. I never really thought Cottam would be selected, but I’m surprised only 4 were selected. It means they like guys like Potts,Rosario and Arauz more than them.

Yes, I would have colored Beni blue, but this list is only showing those who are borderline 40 man roster players..

Our 37 Man Roster: Red= DFA Candidates (Trade, if we can get something) Blue= Trade Candidates C (4) Vazquez, Plawecki, Wong, R Hernandez 1B (2) Dalbec, Casas 2B (2) Arroyo, Downs SS (2) Bogaerts, Arauz 3B (2) Devers, Potts LF (2) Verdugo, Duran CF (2) Kike, Locastro RF (2) Renfroe, Rosario DH (1) Martinez SP (9) Eovaldi, Sale, Pivetta, Seabold, Crawford, Winckowski, Groome, Bello, Mata RP (10) Houck, Whitlock, Barnes, Taylor, Brasier, DHern, Sawamura, Davis, Bazardo, Valdez

Be serious.

More likely we DFA one or more from Potts, Rosario and Arauz. We may non-tender Plawecki. We still have 3 open slots on the roster and might claim a player or two off waivers before looking at free agents and trades. We may draft someone in Rule 5.

He’s okay, but aren’t there plenty like him put on waivers every year?

Must mean we plan on adding 3 or more players.

Sox select 4: Downs Bello Winckowski Crawford

Sox select just 4: Downs Bello Winckowski Crawford

Indeed.

Why is the 5 year sample the magic number? (Not saying it's not important, but so is last 3-4 years.) Last year 3.6 Baez 3.1 Taylor Last 2 3.5 Baez 4.5 Taylor Last 3 13.2 Baez 6.2 Taylor Last 4 18.6 Baez 9.3 Taylor

Taylor for $16M over Baez for $20?

They were hoping he relived his mega year (not aided by trash cans). .857 in 511 PAs just 2 years prior (2019) for Santana. .907 in 515 PAs in 2017 with trashcan-banging for Marwin. Marwin was better on D; Santana better on the base paths- all 6 times! Unlike some, here, I felt Cordero was given close to the amount of time he deserved, and with the minors not starting until early May, there weren't many other options. (Santana was hurt.) Santana's 127 PAs seemed like 30-50, too much. Marwin's 271 seemed like 100-150 too much. Duran's 112 about right Chavis's 82 about right (He did better after leaving.) Arauz's 75 not many other options

If Baez will really get $160M (I'm assuming 6-8 yrs), then Taylor looks like a better choice at $64M/4 or $75M/5. If Baez goes for $100M/5 like MLBTR projects, I'd like him more than Taylor. Once Baez starts getting above $115M/5, the balance flips... IMO.

Lots of teams are adding Rule 5 eligible players to their rosters. Drum roll...

True, but I do think we paid him around $1.5M (which is more than Sawamura). You are right. I do the addition by subtraction every year, and that pretty much proves someone replaces last years list with fresh faces. I agree replacing ERod will not be easy, and I hope we can not skimp. If the payroll is the issue, maybe we'll trade for someone better than Matz, Duffy and perhaps even Jon Gray (Montas?) I also think not mentioning Ottavino's 62 innings to be replaced is noteworthy. Maybe a healthy Houck & Brasier can eat them up. On the SP'er innings needing to be replaced, there is another factor that may help: more innings from Sale. Here is a more precise breakdown of innings lost by our staff- by SP & RP innings: SP 157 ERod 110 Richards 100 Perez 4 Peacock & Crawford Basically, it's about 370 innings. (If Houck stays in the pen, totally, we lose his 59 IP, too.) Let's say Sale goes from 43 to 183. That's 140. (ERod had 157, so maybe Sale can be viewed as taking over most of his 2021 role.) That leaves 240 IP: If Matz and Duffy (or Jon Gray/Frankie Montas + one from Matz/Duffy) can't replace the other 240 or 300 IP as well as the 2021 pitchers did, then it would be a significant failure on Bloom's part. RP 62 Ottavino (2nd on team) 37 Andriese (8th) 26 Richards (9th) 25 Robles (10th) 24 Rios (11th) 20 Workman (12th) 14 Perez (14th) 13 Brice (15) 29+ Weber, Feliz, Gonsalves, Brennan, Schrieber, Peacock, Espinal, Brewer, Ort. That's 250 innings out of 607 total! I can see Whitlock maybe going from 73 to 123 IP in relief, so that's 50. Houck being healthy might see him going from 10 to 70 (or 120, if we use him in long relief). That's another 50-100 IP in the pen. That leaves 100-150 IP for additions or increases: Brasier 12>52 Barnes 55>65 Taylor 48>58 DHern 40>60 Davis, Valdez, Bazardo 60>80 That's 80-90 more from within the system, barring any injuries. Add 1-2 RP'er who can give us 70-120 innings makes the most sense.

Heyman Shmeyman! $115/5 gets Baez.