moonslav59

Now, after just one season, riddled by injuries, even you are done with Voit.

I think it's kind of funny that with all the talk of the Sox only having one legit SP'er going into the playoffs (not untrue), and how great the Rays staff is, we are facing a guy named TBD, tonight.

It's about what to expect next year and beyond. Also, there may not be a "beyond" with JD, since he has an opt out and then just 1 year of team control left. I'm a big fan of JDs, and defended him against some "fans" that wanted him demoted in the line-up or even benched when in the middle of a .750 "slump." I think one clown wanted him left off the ALDS roster, but he is showing decline while Schwarber is entering peak prime. I find it problematic to have both, next year, so I have mentioned trading JD several times. I still think the idea could work, depending on how much we have to pay towards JDs contract.

I've already admitted I was wrong about the length of the "cliff," but I know how much you love hearing me admit mistakes. I miscalculated DD'd ability to draft well, despite bad picks. (I admitted that, too.) I miscalculated Henry finding a GM like Bloom, who can work wonders with a relatively small winter spending budget. (I was right about Henry making resetting the tax a high priority that could, as it had in the past, be more than just for one year.) I miscalculated how other AL teams did not keep building up their teams. The Astros let Springer and others go; the Yanks sat on their hands, and the Rays, as always, traded away some of their key pieces. In short, the whole AL took a step back, which lessened our need for a long step forward. I do find it funny, that the guy who perhaps predicted the worst finish by the 2021 Sox out of any poster here, now acts like he did not think we were going to be bad for more than the 60 game season. I was wrong about the length of the cliff- by a lot. I thought it would be 2-3 years long. The horrific finish to 2020 helped us get Mayer and others, so that helps the longer view. The resetting of the budget, and the loss of the sunken costs like Pedey and Price helped. (I do remember you being upset we traded Price.) I'll say it again to make your day: I was wrong.

Watching this team in the playoffs is making me feel a lot better about 2022 than I did before, and I was pretty pumped about our chances at improving on 2021. Our biggest losses might be Schwarber, ERod, Iggy, Robles and maybe Ottavino, but losing Pedey's contract and saying good bye to Richards, Perez, Andriese, Marwin, Santana and others looks a lot like addition by subtraction. (Some may view Ottavino that way, too.) Certainly, the totality of our net value lost seems like much less than the money saved. It appears like it's a golden opportunity to use the savings to upgrade 4-6 positions. The next consideration is about beyond 2022. The Devers & Bogey issues. The Price contract gone. Eovaldi, JD, Kike & Vaz team control ending. (There is not much addition by subtraction here, except for losing Price's sunken cost.)

What does this matter?

You are correct. Montas does not match that. I guess we can't take credit for ERod or possibly Seabold,if he amounts to anything. If Kopech does well, does he count?

Updated after tonight...

Nothing to lose. Loose as a goose. Grit and determination. What's not to like about this team? (Read the game threads and find out!)

A big test for the "recency bias." Just how recent is it? Is it just how well you did your last game? I, for one, still feel pretty confident in Robles, but not as much as I did before tonight.

8 masterful pen innings, today. We used 7 pitchers, today. We used 5 pitchers, Friday. We used 5 pitchers, Thursday. With yesterday off, no pitcher has pitched 2 straight days. Pivetta pitched 4.2 and 4.0 innings in game 1 and 3, but our 3 starting pitchers have been pulled early. I'm not sure so few innings for Sale and ERod make them any better choices to use again Gms Pitcher IP 2 Pivetta 8.2 1 Eovaldi 5.0 1 Houck 5.0 2 Brasier 2.0 1 ERod 1.2 2 Robles 1.2 1 Whitlock 1.1 1 Sale 1.0 2 Taylor 1.0 1 Ottavino 1.0 1 Barnes 1.0 1 Davis 0.1 1 Richards 0.1 0 Perez 0.0 You have to think everybody but Eovaldi & Pivetta are available, tomorrow. Whitlock may be avoided, if possible after 1.1 IP, tonight. I'm assuming ERod remains the SP'er on about as short a leash as can be imagined. Houck could maybe do what Pivetta did, tonight, but they may want to "save" him for a game 5 start on normal rest. How much do we trust Robles, now? (I still do more than anyone not named Brasier, Whitlock, Houck and maybe Taylor.) Big game, tomorrow.

...and Robles has been one our best RP'er through crunch time, until tonight.

I just mentioned the pyth record as one piece of evidence that shows the Yanks have not really had non injury bad luck over most of the years. To me, the main reason you guys never seem to be "as good as on paper" is the injuries, and it is something that happens more often than most teams, but not out of bad luck.

I thought the point was about who we drafted, since we couldn't count ERod, Whitlock and others as "ours.".

CERA is a mirage some brilliant poster came up with to distract from reality.

Pivetta was the co-hero with Vaz. Way to step up, Nick! What a game! I'm so glad they did away with the man on second rule for extra innings in the playoffs.

Who, in their right mind, would ever want to trade Vaz?

The doom and gloomers will be insufferable, if Eovaldi sputters out of the gate, or we get shutout after 2 or 3 innings. GIDPs really set them off. This team has had enough come from behind wins to convince everyone, it's not over until it's over. This team has also done the same thing on a macro scale. After going through some very bad and long stretches of losing, including being swept by the Yanks and losing series to bad teams, when the stakes were high, we found ways to bounce back and shut up the naysayers- for a few minutes, anyway. What gets me is that the same cycle keeps continuing over and over- like nothing is ever learned from the past. That's not to say all is rosy, and every fan should always be 100% positive and confident, but it's the finality of the vitriol and double downs on definitive judgments passed on players and the team, as a whole that are quickly forgotten after a key or decisive win, only to resurface again early in the next game that starts out badly.

For the same reason many posters get all gah-gah over any pitcher that has done well, recently. The recency bias, which for pitchers holds a lot more weight. Wacha's previous 4 games: 5.0 IP 1H 0ER 1BB 2K 5.0 IP 0H 0ER 2BB 6K 3.0 IP 3H 1ER 0BB 4K That's 1 hit and 0 ER in his last 10 IP. It's like bashing Cora for brining in Houck.

We will almost certainly need someone or two to step up in a big way, and that is assuming Eovaldi, Houck and a few other Sox pitchers that have done well, recently, continue to do so. As of right now, with the recency bias playing a big role in our confidence levels, here is how I line up our staff: Very High confidence: Eovaldi Houck High confidence: Whitlock Robles Brasier Moderate confidence: Taylor Davis Pivetta Low confidence: Ottavino ERod Sale Very Low confidence: Barnes Perez Inactive: Richards Sawamura DHern Valdez

Well said. This series is far from over. While I admire Kimmi's confidence, us winning in 4 will be very difficult. Us winning in 5 as well.

Yes, they did, and who here thinks they will combine for 1,212 or more PAs in 2022? While the 33 year old LeMahieu might have been playing hurt all year, he still got 679 PAs. How many can we expect, next year?

No, the Yanks are far from being a s*** team, and I agree that your teams often look very good on paper, when you assume great or even normal health. I could be wrong in assuming the excessive Yankee injuries should be expected and even counted on. Do you Yankee fans disagree with my position? Here are the winning percentages of recent Yankee teams starting with 2021 and going backwards: .568 .550 .636 .617 .562 .519 .537 .519 .525 Your pythW-L% was lower than the actual number in 6 of these 9 years, including 3 of the last 4 years. While your teams have done well for many years, maybe they are not under performing as much as you think.

Frankie Montas came after Buchholz.

Plus, not to think past one game at a time, Eovaldi in game 3 lines him up for game 1 of the ALCS.