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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    None. That's why this is all dreaming. No way I'd give up what some are suggesting for one year. Our window looks 3-4 years wide, to me... maybe longer.
  2. moonslav59
    We all have moments of grandeur.
  3. moonslav59
    100%. I see one big bopper as slightly more important than a #2SP, but we need both 100%. Here's my thinking: We lost Devers and Bregman. We can't count Anthony as a replacement because he had over 300 PAs in '25. Maybe 1/2? Who else do we have? Mayer? Garcia? Returning Casas or Masa? We lost Gio (ouch) and Buehler (yuck) and have these guys to take up some slack: Crawford, Sandoval, Harrison plus more from Dobbins, Early, Tolle and maybe more. While none of those guys look like #2s, they look better than our in house big bopper replacement. I'd like to see... Ryan or Lodolo type as minimum Alonso, K Marte or Schwarber Bregman, Bichette or Polanco as a sideways move from 2025.
  4. moonslav59
    I'd prefer Tolle not be practicing new pitches at the big level.
  5. moonslav59
    Bernie's BB% rose: 8.3>9.7>11.6 w BOS
  6. moonslav59
    No extension: no trade.
  7. moonslav59
    We need both and can afford both- financially and/or with trade capital. It's the 3rd or 4th adds that are more questionable or less likely. We can trade for Ryan and sign Alonso. We'd be significantly under the first tax line. Our rotation would be better. replacing Duran with Alonso would be a plus, but it comes down to the 3rd add: losing Bregman without a replacement negates the Alonso/Duran gain. I'm not projecting Alonso, Bregman and Ryan, but we can reasonably do that and not be way over the tax line or have to empty the farm to do it. I have low expectations but high hopes. Maybe they are dreams not hopes.
  8. moonslav59
    While saying Duran has "3 strikes" I did not intend to minimize the fact that he is a way better hitter than Rafaela. That is a clear strike one on Ceddanne. Yes, batting is more important, so count it as strike 2 or even 3. That makes em even. I also failed to mention Rafaela's utility value. Do trends matter in the scheme of age projections? fWAR 2024>2025 6.8>4.2 Duran (-2.6) 1.0> 3.8 Rafaela (+2.8) n/a> 3.0 Anthony 3.1>2.4 Abreu (-0.7 IN SLIGHTLY less playing time) bWAR 8.7>4.7 Duran (-4.0 and equal to Ceddanne in '25) 2.8>4.7 Rafaela (+1.9) 3.4>3.2 Abreu (-0.2) n/a>3.1 Anthony
  9. moonslav59
    Because something better came along that was not really planned on? More likely, they'd be traded.
  10. moonslav59
    We also have to consider that using Tolle in the pen in 2026 does not mean he can never be a starter again. True, you don't want to jerk a kid around and back and forth, but we are going for a ring in 2026. You gotta play your best players where they are needed.
  11. moonslav59
    I suggested that, a while ago. They may start with Fitts in the pen and Tolle in the AAA rotation, but if a need arises, he may be at the top of the list on a promotion to the Sox pen in 2026. Crawford may also be considered for a pen conversion.
  12. moonslav59
    I think years of control and age are two factors that put Duran in the one slot. (Defense is another reason.) Three strikes: he's outta here!
  13. moonslav59
    While I do think Ceddane could be a plus defender at 2B, if it becomes his FT position, we know he is GG in CF. He is spectacular out there. If he could reduce the errors, he'll be legendary. He will not be that at 2B. With the high need some teams have for OF'ers, as evidenced by the Taylor Ward trade, it seems easier to just trade one OF'er rather than juggle things to accommodate Duran or Abreu. Why worsen the D to keep Duran in LF, or worse put him in CF? I've actually suggested trading Rafaela a few times, but I order it this way (not likelihood but moonslavhood) 1. Trade Duran (maybe and Campbell/Garcia) 2. Trade Abreu (maybe and Campbell not Garcia) 3. Trade Duran & Abreu 4. Trade Rafaela (maybe with Campbell not Garcia)
  14. moonslav59
    Duran played better than expected in CF, two seasons ago. He looked worse on D, this year. I'd be okay with him in CF, but would try to avoid it. I'd rather have Duran in LF and Anthony in CF. I really like Duran, but to me he is the one who should be traded. Duran for Lodolo. Duran plus others in a 3-way for Ryan. Duran plus others for K Marte.
  15. moonslav59
    Zero chance is kinda extreme, but a lot depends on how many OF'er we trade and we WILL TRADE ONE. We will NOT have Campbell on the 26 as a short-side platoon, so that does diminish his chances to make the 26, but I do think Brez sees him as a strong candidate to win te LF job, as long as it doesn't mean Duran or Anthony is benched. Another possibility is Campbell at DH, but with Masa, I doubt it. (Would we play Masa in LF and Campbell at DH?) If we could get sweet returns for Duran and Abreu, probably within two larger package deals for two guys like Ryan and K Marte, I'd be extremely interested. Neither is overpaid. Both are controlled for more than 1 year. The budget savings would allow us to go large and long on one guy: Alonso or Schwarber.
  16. moonslav59
    Before any additions/subtractions are made, this is what our roster looks like. I added 3 blank lines for acquisitions I feel are near certain. (Minors on 40) C: Narvaez & Wong 1B: ______ & Casas (IL?)(T Gray) 2B: Mayer & Romy (DHam, Grissom) SS: Story (Sogard) 3B: ______ (Eaton) Mayer LF: Duran, Anthony & Yoshida (Campbell) CF: Rafaela & Duran (Garcia) RF: Abreu & Anthony DH: Yoshida SP: Crochet, _____, Bello, Sandoval, Crawford (Harrison, Dobbins, Early, Tolle, Perales, Uberstine, Drohan) Houck to 60 Day IL, soon after opening day. RP: Chapman, Whitlock, Slaten, Weissert, Criswell, Hicks, Moran, Fitts (Kelly, Sandlin) To be DFA'd or traded to make room for additions: 1. Grissom (Sogard or Eaton) 2. T Gray 3. Drohan, Uberstine, Moran or Kelly 4. Hicks (just a dream some of us had)
  17. moonslav59
    No. My "we" was meant us on talksox. Brez & Co might be fully prepared to hand KC the LF job on opening day, while thinking Garcia and maybe a re-signed Ref is enough insurance. Also, I think Brez is more comfortable playing Masa in LF than many of "us" are- at least as a back-up/partial platoon. If we sign Schwarber to DH, I could see them thinking Masa and campbell have LF covered and Garcia is enough depth.
  18. moonslav59
    I expected 1 Rule 5 guys not 4 (counting Hoppe added to SEA's 40.) The Guerrero trade is no shocker, and I guess the Wink DFA should not have been. Lowe was expected. Nothing was really earth-shattering, but the amount of moves was a bit surprising. I'm not really sure or ML ready 40 man roster is any better, but the farm depth improved. Some budget issues were settled. As MVP pointed out, we rid ourselves of a lot of higher BB% pitchers.
  19. moonslav59
    Good point. I still think JH likes a big short deal, anyway.
  20. moonslav59
    Yup- or traded.
  21. moonslav59
    Hoppe's 12% BB rate fits your point, too.
  22. moonslav59
    I thought the same. If we felt secure with Campbell & Garcia in LF, we could trade 2 OF'ers! (I don't.)
  23. moonslav59
    What I want is not what I get. If someone offers DET more than what I suggested, let them have him. If a reasonable extension was part of the deal, I'd give the proposed offer in a flash. Skubal has 1 year: Crochet has 6. Had we not extended Crochet, what I'd want for him would depend on the position the team is in: total rebuild (top prospects- some maybe far away) to still in a window (ML players or ML ready top prospects.) I'm not sure about DET, but that team w/o Skubal should be in total rebuild mode.
  24. moonslav59
    He may be out before the season starts, but yes. He is basically Toro revisited.
  25. moonslav59
    I share your concern, but when you graduate the amount of positional prospects we have in the last 2-3 years, a lull can and should be expected. When you see the years of low cost control we have on so many everyday players, the worry lessens, some. 2025: Anthony, Mayer, Campbell & Narvaez 20024: Rafaela, Abreu, DHam & Sogard 2023: Casas & Wong That's 6-8 solid players added to 3 years of Duran and 2-3 of Story. That makes 8-10 players not counting Romy, Yoshida & Garcia. We do have some specific positions lacking in depth and or dependable talent, like corner infield and C, but with so much excess in the OF, we could make a trade or two and look all set at every position for 3+ years. That does not fully take away from the issue you mentioned. Arias, Gonzales, Godbout and maybe Romero or Taylor is woefully lacking in numbers and high skill levels. Signing a couple corner infielders to 3+ year deals would lessen the immediate concerns, but we rarely get what we hope for.
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