moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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That ball was smoked, and it's hard to blame a defender for not trying to get in front of that ball, but in that situation, I think you need to make the play or knock the ball down
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For someone looking at a mega deal, I'd say a 97 ERA+ looks "off" of his norm or expectations, but sure, it's not really a bad year. His record is not like Price or Scherzer's were when they went large and long. ERA- looks like this... 94 2014 41 2015 104 2016 71 2017 130 2018 73 2019 n/a 2020 77 2021
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10/18 Astros @ SOX ALCS GAME 3 8:08PM
moonslav59 replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Where did I say I want option 2? Option 2 used to be a common line-up. I would choose option 1, and not just for D. (I do think Dalbec is better on D than Schwarber, though, but 2B and CF are more important.) I am not sure Dalbec would hit better than Arroyo at this point in the season, after hardly playing much at all. -
ERA+ 104 97 77 N/a
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I fixed that for you.
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He had a very good second half to 2021 (3.65 ERA last 15 starts), and with the defense behind him, he could get more than many people think. BAbip: .279 2016 .300 2017 .301 2018 .318 2019 n/a 2020 .364 2021
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Even 5 is too much, but it always takes at least 1 more year to get the best on the market, each year. To me, he's too hit and miss to give more than 3-4 years. His even years have been meh.
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10/18 Astros @ SOX ALCS GAME 3 8:08PM
moonslav59 replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
I'm expecting "Good ERod." I'm expecting this line-up vs the righty: 1. Schwarber 1B 2. Kike CF 3. Devers 3B 4. Bogey SS 5. Verdugo LF 6. JD DH 7. Renfroe RF 8. Arroyo 2B 9. Vaz C I doubt Cora messes with a strategy that has worked, but this might work, too... 1. Schwarber LF 2. Kike 2B 3. Devers 3B 4. Bogey SS 5. Verdugo CF 6. JD DH 7. Renfroe RF 8. Dalbec 1B 9. Vaz C -
10/16 SOX @ Astros ALCS Game 2 4:20PM
moonslav59 replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
I'm expecting "Good ERod," today. I'm expecting this line-up vs the righty: 1. Schwarber 1B 2. Kike CF 3. Devers 3B 4. Bogey SS 5. Verdugo LF 6. JD DH 7. Renfroe RF 8. Arroyo 2B 9. Vaz C I doubt Cora messes with a strategy that has worked, but this might work, too... 1. Schwarber LF 2. Kike 2B 3. Devers 3B 4. Bogey SS 5. Verdugo CF 6. JD DH 7. Renfroe RF 8. Dalbec 1B 9. Vaz C -
Yes, it's not all stats, but the others' NLDS and NLCS were great, too- Taylor & Freese especially. Two had spectacular playoffs numbers to get the Dodgers to the WS. OPS in NLDS/NLCS 1.833/.962 Taylor .833/1.083 Freese Kike went nutty in the 2017 playoffs.
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What's radical? He's had more than one good season. He sat out 2020. His 2017 and 2019 seasons were better than 2021, in some ways ERA+ 145 in 2017 137 in 2019 133 in 2021 His WHIP improved greatly in 2021, so maybe other GMs will have the same doubts I do about signing him long term. If Zack Wheeler can get 5 x $24M after never going over 196 IP or an ERA+ of 112, then yes, I think someone will give Stroman 6 or more years... hopefully not us.
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yes!
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The others, that year: Bellinger .880 v .681 Muncy 1.001 v .891 The replacements: Chris Taylor .754 v LHP David Freese .876 Kike .780 Muncy had started just 19 games vs lefties, all year. It's not like a big change was made. (80 vs RHPs) The Bellinger call was not in line with the regular season, despite his worse splits. Freese (.830), Kike (.806 and a big HR) & Taylor (.775) did okay in the playoffs.
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Since the WC game was added in 2012, a top 4 team has won 6 of 8 times- 7 of 9, if you count 2020. If it was totally random, you'd expect 4 out of 8 wins by top 4 teams not 6. The weird thing is no 5, 6 or 7th ranked team won. (Only 2 have won in the last 20-21 years.
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ERod might say no to a QO.
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He's 30 and does not have a lot of wear and tear on his arm. Sure, he hasn't gone over 200 IP since 2017, but he's the best younger pitcher on the market. I doubt he gets 5 or less years. GMs desperate for pitching will bid up and up. The extra year gets him, IMO.
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I didn't say he'll do it. I said I'd rather have an older guy for 2-3 years than Stroman for 6-7. I'm not against 6-7 year deals, but only for a select few.
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I agree, but I'm not sure how Henry sees it. He might think spending $40 should improve us, and it should. If we can get this far, this year and get better next year, why spend even more?
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I should be asking you this. You were the one who brought up the K rate when you said his "whiff rate is way down."
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He sucked. Look, I'm not high on K rates and never was. I just responded to your comment about K/9 and K%. If you used that as guide, then it makes him look better. He has a long way to go, and I even pointed out several times, how strange it seemed that as his stats and performances got worse, his K Rate got better. I never ignored the sucking aspect of his late season.
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No, I think he looked worse near the end and into the playoffs than he did when he first came up. I'm not arguing he was his old self. My point is I did not expect him to be even this good. It takes time. I expect by next May or June we'll know a lot more, and I am confident he can become very close to the same dominant pitcher he was before TJS. He may have to rely on different strengths than he had before, but Sale is a gamer. I think he'll find whatever he needs to be great, again.
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Yes, correct. Still 37% is very good, even against weak hitting teams. It's certainly not something to point out as a weakness, which you did not, but it seems like he was regaining his K ability as the season went on.
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So you expected better than a 31% K%? (Better than his career number?)
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Assuming the lux tax structure stays about the same, I think it might depend on if we win it all, or not. If we win, we may try to stay under another year. If we lose, I think we go over. We may go over, no matter what. Even if we go over, spending $22-26M a year on Baez will mean the rest of the budget goes all to pitching. That might already take away too much from pitching, unless we are going over by a significant amount. (I'm not very good at predicting FA contracts or arb raises.)
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It sure is. I always felt the AL was up for grabs due to serious flaws in every team, but I was sure the winner of the LA-SF game was going to the WS. (It's not over, yet.)
