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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    These guys will be great AAV bargains towards the ends of their deals when they'll be making $25-40M a year as free agents, or we'd have to replace them at those costs. Bello & Rafaela have played well enough, so far, to project salaries higher than what we will be paying them. Anthony is too early to tell. KC, too, but he looks more skeptical. However, KC's AAV cost is $7.5M. That's less than we have paid Sandoval, Kluber, Richards, Kiki and others. It's 1/3 the cost of Buehler. This is so far from "stupid."
  2. moonslav59
    What do you think? LOL. I know my money is in good hands. I do know some fees are taken, but I don't watch very penny. As long as the balance is ridsing significantly, I'm fine.
  3. moonslav59
    I'm not defending it, and it does look "dumb," so far, but it's a gamble that will likely not work everytime. I'm still optimistic on KC, but certainly my doubts are high, too.
  4. moonslav59
    I track my accounts every 3 months, but I don't really look real closely at fees, I'm paying, since the investment balance keeps doing pretty well vs the stock market, in general.
  5. moonslav59
    The Brez FA pitcher signings: $130M/5 Suarez $38.5M/2 Giolito $21.1M/1 Buehler $18.3M/2 Sandoval $10.8M/1 Chapman w $13.3M/1 extension w option $10M/2 Hendriks Extensions: $170M/6 Crochet $55M/6 Bello + option This is over $450M total.
  6. moonslav59
    I was not high on Snell, but Monty seemed reasonable, to me.
  7. moonslav59
    I think I'd add Thaiss to the 40 man and trade/DFA Cheng. I might add Ward and trade/DFA Gasper, but there is no hurry on this one. Maybe we add someone to the 60 Day IL and sign Coulombe or cut bait with Moran or Watson. (Kelly still has options, so maybe we don't need to.)
  8. moonslav59
    Braden Montgomery is trying to win a slot on the CWS roster with a nice spring, while Kyle Teel just hit the IL (4-6 weeks w hammy.)
  9. moonslav59
    I thought this was a 5 GG post.
  10. moonslav59
    BTV has Campbell at negative $1.2M, so he can easily get this to plus, with some sign of life. Anthony is +$62M. Yes, BTV shows if the contracts are underwater or not, but of course there is context needed, as arb players that are good will always be a plus. It's more about what we get after the control would have run out, and how much more we paid than the arbs would have been (an estimate.)
  11. moonslav59
    What does Rafaela have to do? At age 24, he put up a 3.4 fWAR. He'd get a hefty contract as a FA, unless he falls off a cliff before his control years would have ended. As of now, it looks like we'll be saving money. If people can jump against the KC early signing, then this one should look good. Bello has put up a 3.9 fWAR since 2024, when his extension kicked in. He got paid $3.5M. Of course the post control years and contracts are what makes the difference, but Bello is owed: $6M this year $8.5M in '27 (last arb year?) $16M in '28 $19M in '29 there is a team option for $21M in 2030 with a $1M buyout. You don't think Bello would get a $35M/2 deal after 2027? Have you seen what lesser pitchers are getting? He'll turn 30 for his option season (year 3.)
  12. moonslav59
    He's 36, but has a had a few years in a row of nice pitching. Hard to know why he hasn't signed yet. We might sign him.
  13. moonslav59
    Yes, I know some felt that way- a lot more claimed they did a year later. I did not, so I don't have to explain anything.
  14. moonslav59
    I disagree. BTV does, too: Rafaela worth 94, paid 58 & net +$36 Bello worth 78, paid 51 & net +$27 fangraphs says Rafaela already produced a $40M value. Bello: $54M. Yes, these were pre-arb values, but their paydays would be determined by their production levels during arbs years.
  15. moonslav59
    Well, some felt the Rafaela & Bello signings were "premature" or dumb, too.
  16. moonslav59
    I think this guy has a better chance at sticking around. We did trade Bernardino for him, so I have to think they thought highly of him, before seeing these results.
  17. moonslav59
    We might put Casas or Sandoval on the 60. Can we start the 60 day clock on March 1st?
  18. moonslav59
    When did I say Sale was not an injury risk? I liked the trade.
  19. moonslav59
    Cause chicks dig the zoom-ins on his muscles.
  20. moonslav59
    Luckily, the Sox have a policy of only one at a time.
  21. moonslav59
    The kid is still growing bigtime!
  22. moonslav59
    It's like an addicted gambler who has lost five $1000 dollar bets in a row, so he bets $5,000 on the next bet, figuring he's "due."
  23. moonslav59
    When you total up all the contracts, it's enough to sign ______. 21 Buehler 10 x 4 Kluber, Richards, Paxton & Hendricks $61M on pitchers in the last 5 years, alone. (Story was signed for $140M.) It's over $200M.
  24. moonslav59
    The Sandoval recovery should be the last straw on these types of signings. We are up to something like Oh for ten, now. Sandoval, Hendriks, Paxton plus injury history guys like Buehler, Kluber, Richards... Name one injury-prone guy we've signed in the last 10 years who put up one good season. Stop this experiment!
  25. moonslav59
    Perhaps no other team relies so much on one guy.
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