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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I didn't say I'd trade Early.
  2. moonslav59
    Steamer projects (at 650 PAs) : 2.5 Duran (2.7) 2.4 Rafaela (3.1) 2.3 Anthony (3.0) 1.8 Narvaez (3.1) 1.7 Abreu (2.4) 1.4 Mayer (2.0) 1.3 Story (2.0) 1.2 Casas (1.9) 1.1 Romy (2.0) 0.5 Yoshida (1.1) 0.4 Campbell (1.7) 0.4 Wong (1.1) _______________ Pitchers (per 180-190 IP) 5.6 Crochet (5.6) 3.9 Gray (3.9) 2.2 Bello (2.3) 1.7 Sandoval (2.5) 1.1 Crawford (1.7) 1.1 Early (3.3) 0.9 Tolle (1.5) 0.6 Harrison (1.3) RP'ers: 1.0 Chapman 0.8 Whitlock 0.4 Slaten 0.3 Moran & Hicks 0.2 Weissert & Kelly
  3. moonslav59
    FA & Possible Trade Target SP'ers by Projected fWAR: 1. Skubal 5.9 Crochet is 3rd at 5.6 5. deGrom 4,3 6. Ragans 4.3 7. Sale 4.1 Gray is 9th at 3.9 12. Valdez 3.7 15. Greene 3.6 18. Ryan 3.4 21. R Suarez 3.3 22. Lopez 3.2 30. Woodruff 3.0 32. Peralta & Gore 2.9 35. King 2.9 47. Kelly & Bubic 2.5 50. Lodolo, Castillo, Imai 2.4 55. Gallen, Bibee, Imanaga, M Keller 2.3 65. Wacha 2.2 70. Bassitt 2.1 Bello is 73rd at 2.0
  4. moonslav59
    I'd be thrilled at getting 3 years of this guy. (Ages 28-30.) They won't take Duran & Crawford, no matter what BTV say. It might take Duran, Early and Sandlin.
  5. moonslav59
    Gio had no injury history, but Buehler & Sandoval did. In the pen, Hendriks was an injury signing, but Chapman & Wilson were not. He inherited Jansen & Martin year one.
  6. moonslav59
    So many pitchers with "great stuff" never break through. Of course, you have a better shot with great stuff than without, but yes, it's time to get results.
  7. moonslav59
    I didn't want Cease at that AAV for 4 years.
  8. moonslav59
    But wasn't what kept Sandoval from pitching in 2025 another injury?
  9. moonslav59
    Okay. The Schilling deal was NOV '03, but I was thinking it was for 2004, so I counted it. We've done way better in trades, for sure. Peavy did okay, too, but that was not like Nate and the others listed.
  10. moonslav59
    BTV has Ragans at 79.4 and Duran at 49.5. I'd love to see Duran + Crawford (22) for Ragans. That would take the heat off needing big bats, but I'd still like one big one (KMarte or Alonso?) Ragans is signed for 2 years and then has a final arb year. $4.5M '26, $7.5M '27, then arb. Duran is $7.7M and Crawford might make $2.8M, so that trade would "save" $6M in 2026. Add that to $21M or so and we'd have enough to sign one big bat, or trade for KMarte at $19.5M AAV.
  11. moonslav59
    Schilling was also via trade. Let's hope Sonny works out.
  12. moonslav59
    I don't let deals like that one bug me, for just the reason you stated. Plus, I like Holobetz and maybe one of the others jumps up, this year.
  13. moonslav59
    Makes me think $21M for Gray is a steal.
  14. moonslav59
    Indeed. I hate that idea. I also hate trying to catch lightening in a bottle with signings like Richards, Kluber, Wacha and Hill. Buehler was in that boat, too. The one "durable" guy they signed was not great to begin with and Gio ended up missing his full first year, so that plan has failed, as well. We just seem jinxed on FA SP'er signings. Almost all of them. Even the ones that do okay have an asterisk. Gio missed year 1. Wacha and Hill missed key time down the stretch.
  15. moonslav59
    You do have to consider that Duran has 2 abs left and might make $12M then $17M, if he does well. Trading him for Ryan and then extending Ryan might end up costing more, but you can't really just subtract Duran's $7.7M x 3 years. Good point, though.
  16. moonslav59
    I like this ranking, and also like Early ahead of Arias. I'm losing faith in Sandlin.
  17. moonslav59
    Exactly. Devers was ranked about where Soto was to start. He did climb to 4th in a year, but deserved it.
  18. moonslav59
    I really don't see any reason why we can't spend up to the first or even the second tax line, but when you hear stories about a "limited budget," it makes me cringe. I doubt we can find takers for Masa and Hicks, and at best, maybe we can save onl $10-15M combined. Adding players/prospects might increase the savings, but that seems counterproductive. The window is wide open, so maybe we need to get creative like this. Other significant AAVs to trade might be... 9.2 Bello (but that just adds a new hole) 9.1 Sandoval 7.8 Duran 7.5 Campbell 6.3 Rafaela 2.8 Crawford
  19. moonslav59
    You asked for the stats that made him look good. Had you asked for the bad one, I'd have included 2024. 2024 was not bad. 109 ERA+ but with some bad numbers with that. He's 29. He may bounce back. I'm not happy with these kinds of signings- not at all. I'm hoping this one works.
  20. moonslav59
    Could be. It looked that way for the $38M we spent on Gio, but he redeemed himself to some extent. Henriks and Paxton were total busts in similar deals (less money.)
  21. moonslav59
    I had him pegged for our pen as maybe a long guy- low to moderate leverage. No big loss, in my opinion, but I felt the same about Priester, so what do I know?
  22. moonslav59
    2021-2022: 41 GS + 3 Games in relief (235 IP is not a tiny sample size.) 3.17 ERA/ 3.44 FIP 75 ERA- (21st out of all SP'ers with 200+ IP) 132 ERA+ 1.29 WHIP 5.4 fWAR/5.3bWAR The guy was pretty good. It's questionable he can return to that form, but he just turned 29, which is about peak prime for many pitchers. I'd put him as our #4, until we see what he's like in ST'ing. I'm fine with anyone who places him as our #6 or 7, until they see what he looks like in ST'ing.
  23. moonslav59
    Of course. The idea would be to minimize the budget hit, so a secondary signing or trade could be made to add that other key piece. $21-25M is not enough to add two big bats via free agency.
  24. moonslav59
    Yup. Too much hype and not much substance or even truth.
  25. moonslav59
    Not many that I see, but I stopped reading many Boston media outlet articles a while back.
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