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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. That's not how it works. There are exceptions, so it's not "undefeated."
  2. Harrison & Dobbins are ML ready, young starters.
  3. I'd like to see the numbers on players that did better at ages 30-31 than 28-29 and what they did from 32-35 vs those that were already declining from 28-31.
  4. I think the plan would be for Vientos to move to 1B and Mayer at 2B (Polanco at 2B?)
  5. Tong's value is speculative, and we have plenty of that on our own. Viento has power but is a question mark, going forward.
  6. You can assume all you want. What can you assume from this fWAR progression? 2.7>2.2>0.9>3.3>4.0 (age 28 to 32) That's the Kyle trend.
  7. I might be, but KMarte seems to be handling age pretty well. We need a power bat, and if JH wont pay for one, I'm looking for other ways. Not many power bats up for trade. Granted, there are worries. Nobody seems worried about Schwarber's age.
  8. If we trade for Brandon Lowe, how does his .998 OPS vs the Sox translate? 1.138 at Fenway (.735 at TB)
  9. Some 2B Trade options (age on opening day): Donovan STL ~$5.8M last arb (29 yrs old) LHB 118 OPS+ (116/ 3 yrs w 16 HRs per 162) B Lowe TBR $11.5M/1 remaining (31.5 yrs old) LHB 116 OPS+ (116/3 yrs w 34 HRs per 162) K Marte AZ $91M/5 remaining (32 yrs old) SHB 145 OPS+ (141/ 3 yrs w 35 HRs per 162)
  10. We could see Harrison at AAA, too. It is stacked and deep.
  11. bWAR '25, '24 Ceddane 4.7, 2.8= 7.5 KMarte 4.4, 6.8= 11.8 fWAR Ceddane 3.8, 1.0=4.8 KMarte: 4.6, 6.3=10.9
  12. I withdrew my remark about Duran declining based on one year drop. To me, Duran & KMarte are apples and oranges. We have 4 FT OF'ers and 3 decent back-ups. We haven't had a decent FT 2Bman in a decade. That's point one. Duran had a good season in 2025, a great one in '24 and over a half a good one in '23. He has an .810 OPS since 2023 (123 OPS+) He steals bases, but his defense is not good, and his arm is weak. He has splits that point to a platoon situation. He just turned 29. K Marte just turned 32, so he's 3 years older. He's under control for 4 years to Duran's 3. He's a switch hitter with nice splits and way more power. His 3 year OPS is .887 (OPS+ of 141- significantly better than Duran. He averages 35 HRs per 162 : 2x Duran's 17.4) and had a .368 OBP.
  13. Actually, E Valdez was replaced at 2B by Campbell. EV played to the end of 2024 at 2B and some 3B. Campbell began the 2025 eason as our FT 2Bman.
  14. I get that, but he'd be replacing Crawford or Dobbins/Harrison. The issue is how many GS he gets in 2026 and beyond. I share your deep concern.
  15. AZ says no? If yes, how about adding Crawford or Harrison?
  16. I don't disagree. Not many "crazy contracts" work out well, and if they do, it's usually just for 1-2 years. The main issue I see is that this strategy works well, when you have 5-8 slots needing significant upgrades, but I think this team has done a very good job filling almost every slot with capable players or multiple promising options at those without a sure plus player. This year we have 3 major needs and not many decent options to fill them without outside help: Power bat (RH'd) at 1B/3B, a 2Bman (power would be nice) and a strong & reliable SP'er that is better than Bello. Maybe Gray filled that third slot, and we probably have to accept that our rotation is what it is. That leaves 2 bats, and we can't skimp. We don't need to pay Tucker for 6+ years. We should not pay Bichette for 6+ years, IMO. I'm not for giving Bregman even 5 years. 4 is probably too much. That leaves precious few choices, but the good thing is that all of these guys will likely not get more than 5 years and some might take 3-4 year deals. Tier 1: Schwarber, Alonso, K Marte (signed for 4 at 419.5M AAV) Tier 2: Okamoto, Suarez & Polanco (maybe Bregman at 4 yrs) I'd add R Suarez or M King, but I doubt we go there.
  17. "I couldn't be happier [to be a Yankee.]" We talk about GMs saying what they have to say, but players do, too.
  18. Both Tolle and early for any of the ones I listed? Thanks for responding.
  19. Would this work? Rafaela ($6.3M) and Campbell (7.5M) for K Marte ($19.5M) Sign Alonso $28M x 5, Matz $5M x 2 and Refsnyder $4M x 1 That adds about $40M to the 2026 budget and keeps us under the second line. 1. L Anthony CF/LF/RF 2. S K Marte 2B 3. L Duran LF/CF 4. R Alonso 1B 5. L Abreu RF/R Refsnyder LF 6. R Story SS 7. L Casas or Yoshida DH/ R Romy DH/2B 8. R Narvaez C 9. L Mayer 3B/ R Romy 3B Bench: Wong, Romy, Refsnyder, Garcia/DHam/Sogard/Eaton (Romero, Gray, Ward) SP: Crochet, Gray, Bello and 2 from Sandoval/Crawford/Dobbins/Harrison/Early/Tolle/Perales RP: Chapman, Whitlock, Slaten, Matz, Weissert, Criswell, Moran, Hicks and Kelly/Sandlin/Mullins/Uberstine/Drohan/Song or converted SP'ers.
  20. I've agreed nobody is untouchable, but that's no worse than just blindly saying trade them! And of course, you won't ever give specifics, so you can always go back and make it look like you were right no matter what happens. Who do you tarde Tolle and or Early for? Ryan? Lodolo? Gore? Alcantara? Lopez? I'm expecting cricketts.
  21. He did have 186 IP in '24 (3.14 ERA/2.99 FIP) Between 2024 and 2025, he's started 45 out of maybe 65 possible GS'd. That's aout 70%. Mayer has played in 164 games from 2024 to 2025- counting minor league games. That's maybe 55-60%? Do we feel better with Crawford in our rotation? How about Dobbins or Perales? I know, lets put it all on Sandoval! Seriously though, I have major worries about Ragans, especially in light of all those others I just listed already on the 40, but no doubt, Ragans is a damn good pitcher, when healthy. We can't say the same about Sandoval, Crawford, Dobbins, harrison, Perales or even Gray and Bello.
  22. I can't fault the Sox for trying him as a SP'er. Those who blame the injury on being a SP'er are speculating. In 2022, GW started 9 games in a row with a 4.15 ERA and 1.26 WHIP (.723 OPS Against.) He was not really that good, and his last game before going on the IL hurt his number (4 ER in 4 IP.) His first 8 starts: 3.60 ERA/ 3.57 FIP 33K and 9 BB in 35 IP In 2023, he struggled in both roles. 5.23 as SP (.841 OPSA) 4.95 as RP (.784)
  23. Casas might be the next Bobby Dee, but I think he can hit over .825. We just need to line his uniform with bubble wrap and braces.
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