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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. I really like KC, a lot. I'm trying to avoid trading Duran, because I'm not sure we'll add the big bat infielder we need. That leaves DH for our 4th OF'er and NOT Campbell (or Yoshida/Casas/Romy.) Trading a top 4 OF'er makes the most sense, as I don't think KC's trade value is worth his upside value or predicted value, but I might trade him, now, for the right piece. We need 2 good pieces or one high quality piece.
  2. I see the benefit of pulling the ball to maximize power, but I hope it's not at the expense of knowing when it's the right time to go oppo.
  3. I agree that that was their position on a maximum offer. I don't think it was "competitive," but I think they viewed it as such. At some point, to get real good talent, you have to bite the bullet and overpay. More importantly, you have to correctly identify who that guy should be. When we signed Price, I could think of no surer bet that he seemed to be. They go burned. The Story and Yoshida signings were not "the guys" in anybody's view, failed as well. I can see why JH & Co. are gun shy. I get it, and maybe they just haven't seen the right guy come along. they seemed to be willing to go super large and long on Soto, but again fell significantly short of paying what it took to get him. As far as I know, we haven't come close to a similar FA offer, and I can't help but think, they money was "there" for Soto, so where did it go? (Or was that offer just for show?)
  4. The answer on being a top 5 revenue streaming team is an answer. You may not like it or think it's a valid reason, but it is an answer with merit. My issue is why people think this one specific owner of a business should forgo trying to maximize profits, when that is how the world works. Reality is being asked to be suspended, because we want a team that wins more. We deserve it more than others, because we pay more to watch the games than others. That rings hollow, to me, but I can understand the reasoning. It's the way of the world\, right now: me, me, ME!
  5. I do not want Bichette to be "THE GUY" we break the mold on. He lacks the power we need. He's not that good on defense. We have to -once again- project how he'll be at 2B defense. While he's been amazingly consistent as a hitter, except for the bad half season in '24, he has not really had a great season at the plate. At 28, maybe he will. Maybe at 29 or 30. His age is his biggest plus, and to me, that's not a top priority selling point. Other than 2024, he's been between .800 and .840 since 2020. 121-129 OPS+ is nice but not mega large and long worthy, to me. I'd give him 2-3 more years than Bregman, but Breggie should really only get a 2-3 year deal. I'd give Breggie 4, if it's not too big, but I doubt he'd take it. I'd give Bichette 6 years, but no way would I give him the AAV othes will surely offer. If it takes $30M x 4 to get Breggie or $28M x 6 to get Bichette, I'd probably pass, but I guess it might depend on what Suarez gets or the cost of trading for a talented 3Bman (or 2Bman.). $25-26x 5 for Breggie? $26-27M x 7 for Bichette?
  6. Even if they were 99.9% sure he'd never take a 3 year deal, it can't hurt to check-in. The whole "made a competitive offer" is highly subjective. Most of us would not call an offer we feel has no chance of being accepted "competitive," but that term keeps popping up. Perhaps it is media generated and sometimes not the official team statement, but it sure feels like they view their offers as being competitive.
  7. Some context on the Lester events: Pedey had signed what almost everybody felt was a team discount deal. Lester had stated he was willing to take a hometown discount. While I agree that first offer was borderline offensive, the real issue was there was no timely follow-up offer I heard about. Their final off, IMO, was just meant to placate the fans. I think they knew he'd say no. That doesn't mean the offer was not close to being fair, but the whole process was not going to make Lester feel like he was wanted.
  8. Coulda said the same about Bogey, but you said the opposite. Do you still wish we offered and Bogey accepted a 6 year offer?
  9. Me, too, but I was pushing Kimmi's button. I could see a 4 year deal with an absurdly high buyout for year 5. Like $116M/4 with a $24M option and $14M buyout. Basically, $130M/4 or $140M/5
  10. Brez has done great w FAs, either. Not bad, but not great Breg worked. Chapman worked. Wilson was fine. Giolito redeemed, somewhat. Sandoval TBD Buehler & Hendriks yuck-a-doodle-doo
  11. Would anyone give Campbell & Crawford for Vientos & Peterson? (I don't think I would, since Peterson has just 1 year left.)
  12. Going oppo is not a bad thing, especially for a young kid. Usually, the problem is trying to get a kid to go oppo on certain pitches. If the park is hurting his numbers, it's not a bother, to me. His approach is more important than his low A numbers.
  13. Apparently the whole scouting system was goo-goo-gah-gah over this guy since he was in kindergarten.
  14. Not at all. Some are complaining we need to sign some larger and longer contracts, but with our record, are you so sure? We are all upset we signed Yoshida. Maybe the next large and long deal will be the next Yoshida. I'm not trying to imply we should never go large and long, because we got burned by Yoshida, Story and Price, but it's not as simple as just spending more will fix the problems.
  15. I did not post what you have written here under my name.
  16. We were not even 1-2 key players away from being serious contenders, so thinking we'd buy 3-4 top free agents to "get us over the top" when we were already 5th is spending has to raise a red flag, right? Apparently, not to some. Then, they complain about how we spend money foolishly and what can we do with Yoshida.
  17. That's a good point, but with some health, improving a rotation slot by 2 WAR would mean adding a 3+ WAR SP'er, and all our rotation is estimated at 1 or more. Some rotation depth SP'ers are prorated to way over 1 or even 2, if given enough IP.
  18. While technically true, the key word is "improving." If you replace a 1.1 WAR rotation pitcher with a 2 WAR better one, how much does getting a 3.1 WAR pitcher going to cost? It might not be possible. I look at it this way: if we have enough to trade for or sign a 2 WAR player, getting a 2 WAR pitcher might improve our 5 slot by 0.8 WAR. (Of course the guy he boots out might give us 1.2 WAR from the pen, but that is doubtful.) Instead, we replace a 0.5 infielder with a 2.0 WAR guy and we gain 1.5 and not just 0.8 in the rotation. That's where choosing where to "improve" can make a difference. We have to look at who plays where, if we don't add, and what they project as value and try to maximize the gain accordingly. This is surely oversimplifying a complex choice that needs to be made, and yes, maybe we fill 2 holes by opening day, but I agree: I doubt we go over the second line. We may even end up closer to the first line than the second.
  19. They wouldn't have McLain, if they got Mayer, but your point is well taken. As for the Astros, maybe Campbell helps them more than Paredes, as they are logjammed at corner infield.
  20. I just went by who I think are the best players currently in our system that will be under control in 2030. Did you see anybody better? I'm open to changing my mind.
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