Last winter was a great sign that things were changing. The Devers trade and Breggie opt-out kinda threw us right back to square one. The loss of Gio mattering was a bit of a surprise, but it is what it is.
There is no reason to think we won't be movers and shakers this winter, but with these guys, there has to be doubts as well.
I keep coming back to this, and of course we lost some deadwood, some at a high cost, but we need to replace this in kind just to look the same as 2025 on paper. I don't think anyone can say we were top competitors in '25, so we should improve on what we are replacing.
495 PAs Bregman (.821) Plus defense and clubhouse guy.
334 PAs Devers (.905) 15 HRs was on pace for 30+
209 PAs Refsnyder (.838) Helped us greatly vs LHPs
119 PAs N Lowe (.790) Solidified the 1B position for over a month.
That's over 1100 PAs and 43 HRs (23% of HRs in 18.5% of team PAs)
Yes, we also lost Toto (.659 in 284 and will not see Campbell at .664 for 263 PAs, again, but these numbers of bad numbers "lost" are way less than the good ones lost.)
Yes, we lost Buehler, Newcomb, Houck, Murphy and others as well as Gio (145 IP) Bernardino (52) and Wilson (48). The latter 3 were top 10 in IP. (Buehler was 4th.)
For argument's sake, let's say Gray and Oviedo match what Gio & Co did, and our pen doesn't miss a beat, despite some significant losses, breaking even with winter moves on offense & defense is not a winning strategy. We need to put together an improved team on the field.
I'm fine with thinking more PAs from Anthony, Mayer, Casas and maybe Abreu, Romy, Masa and perhaps better seasons by others can help, but I strongly condemn this as a major portion of the plan to improve. It should only be the gravy added to the meat.
Bringing Bregman back or subbing Bichette for him is fine, but it's just a sideways move. We'd still need a significant plus somewhere. If we end up trading Duran, that's another 696 PAs at .774 to replace in kind or better. If the plan is to play Mayer full time or platoon with Romy and not add more than "Bregishette" then 1B or DH are the only slots left to make great improvements to.
Suarez or Polanco aren't improvements over Bregishette, but they look to be better than Mayer, so maybe that is a way to go: Bregman (3B) or Bichette (2B) plus Polanco (2B) or Suarez (3B/1B w Mayer at 3B) Or, we trade Mayer plus for a #2 SP. Of course, Alonso checks many boxes, and maybe we slide Casas to DH or trade him, once he shows higher value, but we need something big to happen. Probably 2-3 big things.