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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Arias is second in OPS in the Eastern League. He's 4th in HRs. Cespedes is 14th and Gonzales 20th in the South Atlantic League. Azocar is 14th in the Carolina League. Heyman is 22nd. Gasper 11th & Sogard 27th in the International League.
  2. moonslav59
    WOO was rained out, yesterday. Arias and Jo Garcia had 2 hits each in POR's 4-3 win. Rosario had a dinger and another hit. GRE lost both the make-up game and their scheduled game by one run. Cespedes and Y Rod each had 2 hits, and Cespedes homered, Witherspoon had a good game: 4.1 IP, 2H, 1ER, 2BB, 6K. SAL won 10-2 on 9 hits and 6 BB. Tucker homered.
  3. moonslav59
    BTV has Chapman listed at 1.7 years of control and a $23.4M value. Minus his $22.2M contract, and he's worth about $2M, according to them.
  4. moonslav59
    They now have Rafaela as the highest value player, mainly due to so many years of control at a reasonable rate. According to BTV, the Sox extensions netted a plus: +57 Rafaela +43 Anthony -1 Campbell -22 Bello Net: +77 The Bloom Effect: -40 Story (owed $47M) -23 Yoshida (owed $30M) Basically, someone might pay $7M of each of their deals.
  5. moonslav59
    Yup. Some Sox fans- maybe not a majority or the ones that hang out on Ole Red's street corner and gym locker room actually do have some common sense.
  6. moonslav59
    I did not know this. Thanks. Is it part of bWAR, too? IMO, it still seems like the best closers are undervalued by WAR, but I can't offer any proof.
  7. moonslav59
    Nowhere did I say all save situations are high leverage, but most are. Chapman clearly pitches more high leverage and Late & Close as any other Sox pitcher and way more than the average of all Sox pitchers not names Chapman. Most closers face a much higher proportion of high leverage/late & close IP than the norm, but WAR only counts all IP as equal and results. It's a flaw in the system. Do you disagree? Most closer have a higher percentage of high leverage IP. Yes, a 7th inning high leverage situation where a RP'er comes in with bases loaded may be more important than a 9th inning save situation, where a closer comes in to start the inning. The high leverage and late & close data is not perfect for that reason, but overall, the numbers I posted tell a story that Chapman's IP'd are more valuable than others. Way more than some.
  8. moonslav59
    BTV accepts this absurd trade suggestion: Early (37) Soto (17) Azocar (15) Durbin (14????) & Witherspoon (13) for CJ Abrams (72) + $10M & Brady House (12)
  9. moonslav59
    How is it strawman? I fully realize many other innings have high leverage situations, too. To come in for a save situation is nearly pre-determined to be high leverage. Chapman pitches in more high leverage situations than others, so to me his IP count more than others. PAs in High-Medium-Low Leverage 37-17-14 Chapman (54 High) 31-27-20 Whitlock (40%) 15-13-9 Slaten (40%) 13-5 18 Coulombe (36%) 28-15-42 Weissert (33%) 21-16-34 Kelly (30%) 17-26-68 Moran (15%) 5-10-118 Watson (4%) Late & Close 85% (58 out of 68) Chapman 76% (59 out of 78) Whitlock 73% (27 out of 37) Slaten 28% (10 out of 36) Coulombe 28% (26 out of 93) Moran 27% (23 out of 85) Weissert 27% (19 out of 71) Kelly 8% (11 out of 133) Watson
  10. moonslav59
    I think COVID may have affected the offer he finally signed with LAD. Nobody knows what Betts would have taken before he was traded. Obviously, the final offer we made was not enough. My position was we should have offered more years and maybe the AAV goes down- and that seemed to be JHs major concern. Letting him go was almost as bad as letting the Babe go. We decided to keep Sale and Nate, instead. Another aspect to consider was the JH budgets from 2020>>> Had they stayed aboutt he same, and Betts was making $30+ AAV, what sort of team would we have had around him- even had we kept DD or hired the best GM in MLB history, instead of Bloom> Breslow?
  11. moonslav59
    Like a true reading of the "pulse," which is a self-proclaimed asset only Ole Red has is somehow closer to the truth than any single fan's view.
  12. moonslav59
    Nailed it. The thing about this year, for me, was that I expected some of our younger players, some of whom had already shown they can put together a full season of good play would continue to improve as they neared or entered prime. They haven't. The more inexperienced ones have not either.
  13. moonslav59
    Not beating the Twins at home is a real bummer.
  14. moonslav59
    The problem is with WAR and how it treats high leverage 9th innings the same as some guy coming into a 10-0 games to pitch one inning. Simply put, Chapman is worth more than his WAR and likely his projected WAR, too.
  15. moonslav59
    Looks like a great trade!
  16. moonslav59
    Go to the away games.
  17. moonslav59
    I think several recent winters crossed the line significantly more than this one, but the cumulative effect is real.
  18. moonslav59
    .731 vs .599 was better.
  19. moonslav59
    Arias homered, again. He has 11. Paez and Rogers went 3 scoreless, each. 0 hits 1 BB 7 Ks combined
  20. moonslav59
    The team who takes players doing crappy have hopes. The original point.
  21. moonslav59
    Oh yes. How about the Kike trade?
  22. moonslav59
    Word came out that DD almost traded him in 2019, but we won a few games, and they changed their minds about being sellers. That's enough for me to think he was a goner, as much as I hate just thinking about that, even now. The reported interest in trading for him seemed abnormally low, and the one offer from the Padres seemed worse than the one we got. That whole situation was the beginning of the end. Keeping Betts and letting Sale and or Nate bolt would have been better, but I still make the point that if JH slashed the budget like he did- Betts or no Betts, we'd still have been a bid team from 2020 to whenever...
  23. moonslav59
    Just saw this...lol.
  24. moonslav59
    Sure: Yoshida and 80% of his contract- one for one.
  25. moonslav59
    I do remember some viewing the trade as trading one year of Betts, since we were "going to lose him anyway," and 3-4 years of Verdugo might be worth it, alone. The promise of Jeter Downs turned sour, quickly. But hey, we still have Connor WONG! (We have Weissert for Verdugo, too.)
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