I like Houck, a lot, despite the whole no vax fiasco. If he comes back healthy, and we stop jerking him around, I think he has a good chance to be a solid closer, but nothing is certain.
That being said, I think his BTV value of 18.5 is pretty accurate.
Of all our top BTV numbers, I do think trading Houck and Schreiber might make the most sense, despite our pen being a weak area. If we sign a few more pen arms, it would make up for their loss, but cost more. Since we have budget space, that is doable, as long as we can get a better SP'er for them. Maybe we add a prospect and can get Lopez, Rogers or Luzardo & Berti.
Our top BTV numbers:
55 Mayer
41 Casas
35 Devers
34 Whitlock
33 Bello
19 Schreiber
19 Houck
15 Rafaela
14 Bleis
8.7 Romero
8.0 Yorke
6.5 Anthony
6.5 Coffey
6.5 McGuire (BTV loving the Sox deadline deals)
5.9 Duran
5.7 Verdugo
5.6 Walter
5.6 Lugo
5.0 Jordan
5.0 Paulino
4.2 Paxton (Hmmmm....)
3.8 Mata
3.6 Murphy
3.1 Hosmer (Another deadline plus)
2.9 Seabols
1.9-2.6: Bonaci, Wink, Hamilton, Taylor, Jimenez, Abreu & Wong
Of our top prospects, it seems like Rafaela is the best one with higher value, Yorke might be a sell low option and Lugo due to a bottle neck at SS on the farm. Duran is the obvious over valued one, and if any GM thought he was worth close to his BTV value, he'd be included in my suggested trade.
So, what can we get with a combination of this....
19.0 Schreiber
18.5 Houck
8.0 Yorke
5.9 Duran
5.6 Lugo
Other possibles:
5.6 Walter
5.0 Jordan
4.2 Paxton
3.6 Murphy
3.2 Hosmer
2.9 Seabold
2.6 Bonaci or Wink
1.1 Downs