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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    “…this focus on CBT resides with the media far more than it does within the Sox. I think every team probably wants to reset at least once every three years — that’s sort of been the history — but just this week . . . I reminded baseball ops that we are focused on competitiveness over the next 5 years over and above resetting to which they said, ‘That’s exactly how we’ve been approaching it.’ – John Henry
  2. moonslav59
    Well, JH said it and talking about "the CBT limit" is about resetting. Of course, they never say "cliff," and they often mask the word "rebuild" with more fan-friendly language, or they just avoid saying anything like it. I guess you might feel like 2020 was not a rebuild year, because nobody said it. Bloom went ont osay... “We have a lot of decisions ahead of us and a lot of time ahead of us to see how we might best use our resources in the future,” Bloom said. “But we know there is a cost to being over that line. It is something you factor in. It’s something that does impact the organization. So maintaining flexibility allows you to be more opportunistic. And we want to be able to take advantage of opportunities.” Sounds like re-setting is something they think and plan for.
  3. moonslav59
    I agree that most people's eye tests match the data and facts. When people start saying things like So-and-so is an above average defender, I wonder how an eye test, alone, can lead anyone to a solid opinion- one where they feel very confident they are right. Without watching other players almost every game, how can anyone ever know, without using some sort of data? Maybe some watch a 5 games a day, but I don't know anyone who does, and that might only be 1/3 of that day's games. There are certain opinions that can be fact-checked, pretty easily, but sometimes, there can be different data used, or different sample sizes used, and that opens the door to legitimate differing opinions. Some statements like JD hits in more Dps than anyone else on the Sox can be proven or disproven by facts. Statements like Bogey is an above average fielder is open to debate and differing data.
  4. moonslav59
    I think his defense is already ML ready, at more than one position. His offense took a big step forward, but my guess is he'll be up in 2024.
  5. moonslav59
    “Going back to February, I think I said then and would say now that the luxury tax, the CBT limit is a factor, but I think the importance of that has been kind of overplayed in the storyline that has surrounded us this year,” chief baseball officer Chaim Bloom said Monday. “It’s obviously something we monitor. As I said in February, I always felt the depth and the sustainability of the talent-base was a much bigger priority than that. Obviously we have to factor in everything. We have to monitor everything. We just want to make sure we’re using our resources wisely and doing that over a period of time. So it’s certainly something to consider. But I think the growth of the talent base that we can look out for many years and see that we have a chance to have in place is a much bigger factor.” -Chaim Bloom
  6. moonslav59
    Sept. 27, 2019, when Red Sox principal owner John Henry said, “This year (2020) we need to be under the CBT. That was something we’ve known for more than a year now.”
  7. moonslav59
    So?
  8. moonslav59
    That's not "why" they went over in 2022. There is an obvious reason not to go over a second year in a row, and an even bigger one for the 3rd year. You know this.
  9. moonslav59
    There is no "interpretation" on swinging for the first pitch or not. There are no alternative facts. We've all been wrong in some of our "eye test" interpretations- some more than others. Some "eye test" interpretations may have valid differences of opinion or facts that seem to back opposing positions. This one was not one of those.
  10. moonslav59
    Not reduce- spend more than originally planned. I'm thinking the plan might have been to reset in 2023, but after such a crappy season, and fans being uneasy, he might spend more and reset in 2024, instead.
  11. moonslav59
    What I wonder more about is whether 2022 will affect his spending plans for 2023.
  12. moonslav59
    Good points. I do think driving fans away will ultimately hurt the bottom line, and JH knows this. Otherwise, he wouldn't be spending so much, unless winning is also a business priority despite any costs added outweighing revenue added.
  13. moonslav59
    Even with superior positioning, he still made less plays than most SSs due to his horrific range. I'm not sure, if he got more favorable calls on hits v error rulings due to his rep, but that is an astounding mark of just 3 errors!
  14. moonslav59
    Devers is another case. .852 Career OPS .937 when he puts the ball in play on the first pitch. (362 PAs) .954 when going 0-1 (WOW!) 284 PAs 1.049 when going 1-0 1095 PAs .736 overall, after 0-1 (1484 PAs) .989, overall, after 1-0 (1095) He does worse after the first pitch and behind. .954 0-1 .547 0-2 .561 1-2
  15. moonslav59
    Maybe he could have been even better, but the fact is, most of the time opposing pitchers did not throw it right down the middle. The count went 1-0 at about a 5:4 ratio. .858 career OPS .846 first pitch .712 after 0-1 (495 PAs) .922 after 1-0 (3414 PAs) Overall after the first pitch: After 1-0 .922 (3414 PAs) After 0-1 .705 (2895 PAs)
  16. moonslav59
    Revenues do go up and down based on winning or losing, so there is that, but you are right.
  17. moonslav59
    At that point in time, the 30+ year old pitcher was viewed with disdain.
  18. moonslav59
    True, but they'd have gone more apeshit, if they never tried to come close to the Cubs offer.
  19. moonslav59
    I don't think the Paxton signing was doe 2022. I think they viewed $26M/2 as a good deal. They may not, now, but I won't be surprised, at all, if they give him $26M.
  20. moonslav59
    Not as much, and certainly if the idea is not to re-set in 2023 but in 2024 for sure. To me, 2023 makes more sense for a re-set, but the fans are getting very restless.
  21. moonslav59
    I think the best option is to trade for an ace and offer Wacha a QO, but neither happening is perhaps probable.
  22. moonslav59
    Good point on Lester. IMO, the second offer was a sham, intended to placate the fans- knowing full well the Cubs offer was better. I do not think they wanted Lester to take that last offer, but that is pure speculation, on my part. Had they offered $135M earlier, Lester would have almost certainly stayed, IMO.
  23. moonslav59
    True. I did not add what I meant to say. You are correct in understanding it as written. My bad.
  24. moonslav59
    I'm not so sure, and even when they do go over, it often not by much.
  25. moonslav59
    Probably true, although from what I hear, they were not too thrilled with OCab hitting on their wives. They weren't torn up over trading Manny, either. There was not clubhouse left after the Lester, lackey, Peavy & Doubront sell-off. What was the clubhouse like before & after the AGon, Beckett & CC trade?
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