moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I don't disagree, but nothing special before? 20-21: 6.0 Bogey 5.7 Swanson Nothing "special" for Bogey in the two previous seasons, either, then.
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Exactly what I said. (From 2019-2023: Bogey 133 OPS+ to 103 for Swanson.)
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Name a reported return significantly better.
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So, the sports talk show majority may not mean what some think it means.
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I expected better moves by Bloom, too, and his FA signings have not been great. (2022's was his best FA class.) The JBJ trade was the only real bad trade he's made, IMO. The Beni trade is still TBD. His waiver, minor league FA and Rule 5 moves have been plus. His drafts are TBD, too, but look good on paper. This winter should be telling.
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Do you project him as being better than Bogey at SS going forward? Who will be mo ved off SS earlier?
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I did, too. My only point was that Craig chose to veer towards 2B not home and forced the need to step over Middy. IT doesn't change the fact that the right call was made, but at some point the runner can't just go out of his way to run into a fielder just to get the call- not that that was what Craig did. I think he was in an awkward position to get up off 3B facing home, so he sprung up off track. Had Middy not lifted his legs, no call would have been made, and he'd have been safe, unless he tripped anyway.
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And even if these choices were flipped, it's not on Bloom. Bloom was handed Sale, Betts, Bogey, Nate and JD's contracts (also Pedey and Castillo's non tax budget $14.2M) and told to cut the budget. No way will I ever believe he chose to cut the budget or had a choice to spend significantly more.
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I was looking at 2021-2022- a pretty large and recent sample size, where Swanson has a +1.0 RRng. 2021-2022 1st in innings at SS 2nd in fangraphs rankings on D 8th in DRS at 2 (not all that great, I know, especially with so many innings) 10th in UZR/150 at 1.6 (only area behind Bogey)
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I'd rather have Conforto for 1 than Gallo or Bellinger for 2-3 or Beni for 3-4.
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Agreed, and we need a 1Bman, too, so trading Casas for Reynolds opens a new hole to fill. I don't think the Sox top brass view this winter as the time to trade a top 4 or maybe even top 6 prospect.
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How does saying "I think..." and "May be..." mean I am sure about the statement I wrote? I'm not too high on 1Bmen. I think they are easy to find at reasonable costs, although the Freeman and Abreu deals are changing that. Romero has a lot of upside, IMO, and plays a premiere position. He MAY end up better than Casas. I would not bet against that. As of right now, I think Casas has more trade value, but that doesn't mean I would choose to trade Romero over Casas. I think Romero is undervalued on BTV, but it's typical with farther away prospects. The one bad thing about Romero, in terms of who should we trade of the two, is he is blocked by Mayer and Story.
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Sounds about right, but I think the AAV should drop, at least slightly, for every year added, even if just $27M x 6, $26.5M x 7 or $25.75M x 8.
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I'm pretty sure they all sat down to come to a consensus, but I think the starting point was that a massive budget cut had to happen. They probably worked our scenarios where they kept Betts and somehow dumped Price and maybe someone else, or cut the pre-2020 winter spending budget in half or more, but I seriously doubt Bloom made the final call. He may have been on the side of trading Betts rather than not filling 5-6 holes with a tighter winter spending budget than he already had. Remember the 2020 roster and how thinly spread the $40M he had to spend created a pretty weak team. Now, one could easily say, in hindsight, I'd rather have Betts at $29M budget cost than $10M Richards, $6M Perez and then trade Beni ($3.5M), Pillar ($4.2M)and a couple other guys over the winter, instead of that deadline, but we stayed under in 2021, too, so who don't we sign before that season? I just think it is plain wrong to blame Bloom for the Betts trade.
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Word is Conforto wants only a 1 year deal. He wants to reset his value. I just guessed on Fulmer's amount, since fangraphs left his estimate blank. I'd pay him more than $5M x 2- maybe $7.5M x 2 or $6.5M x 3.
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I'm not even sure PIT takes a 1Bman for Reynolds, but I would not trade any of the top 4 for him. Even Rafaela & Romero plus secondary prospects would make me hesitate or say no. I'm not sure how excited the Marlins are about dumping Soler or Garcia, but I start there as a way to get a solid SP'er for less in return.
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I think Romero may be better than Casas, but with Mayer ahead of him and Story at 2B for 5 more years, I can see putting him 5th and out of the untouchables list. I am pretty certain Romero's value will rise, next season, so trading him now might not make much sense. Rafaela seems like the obvious choice to trade, but we need a RF'er, now, and Kike has 1 year left/ Verdugo 2. The guy plays amazing D, and we all know how much our organization loves CF/RF defense. We may not trade any of our top 6, which includes Rafaela. I think our top priority is still the extended future, but with so much budget space, they think they can buy their way to respectability, this year, and make the stronger push in 2024 and beyond. I can't really fault that thinking, but the Devers window is fast approaching closure.
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Swanson has plau range and is ranked rather highly in several defensive metrics, except UZR/150. I admit I am relying on only metrics, and if he's close to Bogey in financial cost, I'd rather just pay Bogey. I get a feeling we go Andrus as a bridge to Mayer and then spend at catcher (Contreras or a trade for Murphy) OF (maybe take on Soler or Garcia's contract to get a solid SP'er from the Marlins) and another pen piece (Jansen or T Rogers?). This still leaves a lot of money left under the tax line. Maybe we sign Nate or Taillon, too.
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Not me. I didn't imply others were.
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Romero is a tough one for me. I'd rather we just sign Contreras, although I have pitching as a higher need.
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Neither- get a SP! (Agree C > OF)
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I don't think we sign Correa, either, despite the no QO status, but I was making a point about losing Bogey but maybe not "downgrading." I do think Swanson is a good choice. His 103 OPS+ since 2019 is far behind Bogey's 133 OPS+, but his defense might make us some of that "downgrade." If we use the money saved to better upgrade another position or two, maybe we can do better.
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We haven't lost Bogey or Devers, yet, and there is a chance we replace Bogey with Correa. Is that a "downgrade?" If we replace Bogey with Swanson, and signed Contreras, Nimmo, Nate & Jansen, would you still be upset?
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Bassitt reportedly seeking 4 year deal. (I thought 3 was pushing it, but He'll ge some GM to give it to him.) Murphy is reportedly close to being traded, and not to the Braves. The Sox are rumored to be seeking a catcher upgrade. Hmmm.... I don't see us giving up Mayer, Casas, Bello or Bleis, but I doubt we can get him without one of those 4. Let's see. Maybe we sign Contreras.
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You really think Bloom chose to "dump" Betts? He was told what to do. Bogey is not worth what he'll get. Kudos to Bloom for not grossly overpaying Bogey. If we lose Bogey of a couple million, then I'm jumping on your bandwagon. Devers Forevers is my motto.
