moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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It's almost all speculation, but with the increase in the amount of promising prospects called up last summer and scheduled to see time in 2023, I'm thinking there is good reason to be optimistic that some will help, perhaps greatly. I'm sure several will fail, but I count 15 recent grads and upcoming prospects that should or may see time, this season: 5 Recent Grads: Bello, Wong, Crawford, Wink & Ort 3 Second Seasons: Casas, Kelly, German 8 First Timers in 2023: Mayer, Rafaela, Mata, Walter, Murphy, EValdez, RHern, Hamilton There is certainly reason for caution and doubt, but I sense you are not very optimistic about the new crop of prospects. I could be wrong, but it looks vastly better than... Houck Dalbec Duran Downs Chavis DHern Shawaryn BJohnson Lakins That's only 9 guys from Devers in 2017 to Bello in 2022 (5 years!) Less names. Worse names. I think we have good reason to be cautiously optimistic. On this area, I think Bloom and even DD deserve some credit, but we'll know more, soon enough.
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How far has Chapman's stock fallen? He just signed with the Royals for $3.75M/1 w incentives.
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Age Player Years of control 38 Turner (1-2) 36 Martin (2), Kluber (1-2) 35 Jansen (2), Brasier (1) 34 Paxton (1) 33 Sale (2-3) 32 Barnes (1-2) 31 Kike (1), Refsnyder (2), J Rodriguez (3) 30 Story (5), Ort (5+)
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At least the older guy contracts are 1-2 year deals. We will be one of the youngest teams by next year.
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You assume no GM sees his upside and values him as highly as you and I do? (I think he pitches well, this year, and would rather not trade him, either.) Yes, classic sell low, but we could trade him for an equally "sell low" SS or 2Bman.
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I don't get the history of unreliability part. Barnes has been an exceptionally consistent pitcher for about 7 years. He had one funk that may have been injury related, where he had a stretch of 10-15 IP implosion. FIP 3.72 '16 3.33 '17 2.71 '18 3.28 '19 4.84 '20 (23 IP in short season) 3.21 '21 3.87 '22
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It's deja vu all over again.
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Yes, I'm fully aware of many of the dumb choices made by this group of leaders. You mentioned most of the worst and most impactful ones. I'd add a few more, too, like our fascination with LF'ers and moving GG caliber defenders to other positions, but agreed. Some moves made before this group took over had lasting affects... like the Sale extension, leaving a farm that produced just Houck over a 5 year span, and a bloated budget.
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No doubt, but again, when 95% of your deals are $7M or under, what is the expected success rate?
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Agreed. I think he'll have a nice year. We could trade him for an over-priced SS or 2Bman, though.
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It fits the pattern: Beni...Renfroe...
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Barnes
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Most teams have a lot of questions, but yes indeed, we have more than our fair share, especially for the large, player budget we have. Our highest contracts seem to be the biggest question marks. $313M/10 Devers- some question his D and weight $145M/5 Sale- too many questions to list $140M/6 Story- Injury questions $90M/5 Yoshida- No MLB experience questions $32M/2 Jansen- age regression questions $22M/2 Turner- age regression $19M/2 Barnes- inconsistency $18M/2 Martin- age $10M/1 Kike- injury $10M/1 Kluber- injury/age $7M/1 Duval- age/recent regression Verdugo, Pivetta, Arroyo, McGuire, Casas- good enough? Paxton- injury Houck/Whitlock- starter/reliever? Many more than this.
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DFA Ort to make room for Duvall. Trade Duran for a SS (or 2BMan.)
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I think you may be surprised at how good Kike is on D at SS. I'd prefer he stay in CF, but Kike at SS and a healthy Arroyo at 2B should be plus on D, overall.
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I thought these sources all factor in those added costs. Apparently some is estimated, as all have different numbers.
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I'd rather he not be, but I'm getting more and more convinced, he's the SS.
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You know my position. I'm looking forward to saying, "I told you so," again.
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I'm hoping Tapia means we trade Duran. I'd trade him for Mateo or even Mondesi.
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It might matter how well Yoshida, Jansen, Martin, Turner and Duvall are doing.
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Probably less than $7M. No Andrus. Maybe Iggy and or Harrison.
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The final tax budget numbers for 2022 are in. The Sox went over by $1.2M, which caused our comp picks for losing Bogey and Nate to fall a couple rounds. Thanks, Bloom!
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+3 DRS in CF -4.4 UZR/150 He bats left-handed, but his splits are not as extreme as Duran and Verdugo. vs RHP .812 Verdugo .717 Tapia .669 Duran .634 Refsnyder (RHB) .792 in 2022 in 104 PAs vs LHP .728 Refsnyder (RHB) 1.005 in 2022 in 73 PAs .684 Tapia .680 Verdugo .445 Duran
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MLBTR said the number was $17M. cots has $23M. Spotrac has $22M.
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Trivia notes and questions (some of which may not be answerable)
moonslav59 replied to Bellhorn04's topic in Other Baseball
The original George Scott trade to MIL is the reason I am a Sox fan, today, and that was a bad trade, too. George Scott was traded by the Boston Red Sox with Ken Brett, Billy Conigliaro, Joe Lahoud, Jim Lonborg and Don Pavletich to the Milwaukee Brewers for Pat Skrable (minors), Tommy Harper, Lew Krausse and Marty Pattin. I used to live in Milwaukee and still am a Bucks and Packers fan. My favorite player on the Brewers was Tommy Harper. Shortly after we moved from Milwaukee to Portland, Maine, this trade was made, and I switched to being a Sox fan. Sidenote: We did get Bernie Carbo with Scott in that Cooper trade. Carbo is a two time trade acquisition by the Sox. We traded Reggie Smith and ken Tatum for Carbo & Rick Wise in Oct '73. We traded Carbo to MIL for Bobby darwin & Tom Murphy in June '76. That December, we traded Cooper to MIL for Carbo & Scott.
