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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Some larger sample sizes.... Career: Sale 2.79 w Leon (436 innings) 4.08 w Vaz (132 inings) Price 2.96 w Leon (204) 4.27 w Vaz (360) Porcello 4.19 w Leon (576) 4.96 w Vaz (211) Nate 3.39 w Plawecki (183)/ 4.94 w Leon (55) 4.64 w Vaz (176) Pivetta 3.39 w Plawecki (69) NOT A large enough sample size, here 4.55 w Vaz (221)
  2. I keep asking the same question.
  3. I'm not trying to discount what the community thinks about the park and access. I had a good experience. I guess some park has to be labeled the worst. If we had 30 Camden Yards, the one with one brick out of place would be called "the worst."
  4. So would be every stat. Once a sample size gets large enough, we assume these things even out.
  5. So, what you are saying is that Vaz was the team's meth connection?
  6. That is funny. Big loss of cred, right there.
  7. Is anybody saying we should have outbid the Twins? Our catchers are not this team's problem- far from it. In fact, our catching pair place T8th in team fWAR at +0.5. We are 28th at 1B, but god forbid someone suggest giving Casas a break to regroup. We are 27th at 2B and 28th at SS with very few in-system options to try and bring that up- just hopes that the guys we have wake the EFF up. Our rotation is 29th, and we have no chance of doing anything exciting, unless we can get the to mid tier.
  8. The problem is, when we get Story, Duvall, Mondesi, Martin, Joely and others back, someone else will be on the IL. Our offense has overperformed, in terms of runs scored. I'm not sure we can keep this up, with this lineup. We need to get 5 SP'ers to find their groover, all at the same time- or at least 4 of them.
  9. Likely the same issue at most ballparks.
  10. All of those metrics matter and influence a pitcher's ERA and OPSA. I think it goes beyond that and into unmeasurable intangibles, which stat geeks avoid like the plague. Anecdotal evidence is plenty, in terms of pitchers having clear favorites and being way more successful with one catcher over the other, and it goes beyond all those metric differentials.
  11. I think that would make it one half.
  12. Yup, but I will suggest you bet the house on a non 5th place finish.
  13. Its value is only in a very narrow useage, and it is often misused. When you have large enough sample sizes, not very often, and they are somewhat balanced, comparing two catchers on the same team- pitcher by pitcher, I feel those numbers have meaning and significance. Several sample sizes between Leon & Vaz have 250+ PAs with each catcher. When almost all of them show a wide disparity, and with a couple it's around or over 1.50, it matters, to me. Comparing Wong and McGuire's tint samples of differing pitchers is misuse of the stat.
  14. Indeed, Vaz is a major overpay.
  15. You'd hate Houston, and maybe for many other reasons. The sports talk shows are all about the NFL draft and have been all winter.
  16. What a yo-yo season, so far, for the Sox. We need stability and continuity in a bad way.
  17. Since Wong has played more, McGuire has a better WAR per game or PA than Wong. Before tonight fWAR 1.1 Duvall (37 PAs) 1.0 Devers (75) 0.9 Dugo (77) 0.3 McGuire (30) 0.2 Wong (39) 0.2 Ref (47) 0.2 Turner (78) bWAR 1.0 Devers 0.9 Duvall 0.9 Dugo 0.3 McGuire, Wong & Turner
  18. If they use the catchers by a L-R platoon, Wong should end up catching every SP'er we have. If they go the usual route and match pitchers with specific catchers, he'll not catch some SP'ers. A platoon based on L-R offers a wider variety.
  19. I remember saying this often from the mid 70's into the early 2000's, "I'll take 10 last place finishes for just one ring." Now, I'm spoiled, but I'd still rather have 1 ring and 10 last place finishes in an 11 year stretch than being heartbroken for 11 straight years, but with no last place finishes.
  20. It's uncanny how you never miss an opportunity.
  21. That .310 OBP is so enticing!
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