moonslav59
-
Posts
104,725 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
130
Content Type
Profiles
Boston Red Sox Videos
2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking
Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
News
2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by moonslav59
-
Do not be surprised if Grissom has a very good year.
-
I can only think that they feel we were saying they were wrong with their numbers and not the idea that looking at a pitcher's win total as the first or most important thing to look at is flawed, in our opinions. This happens, often, here.
-
Offering context is not saying the facts presented were false. This is something that seems to happen, often. Posters assume you are saying their facts are wrong, if you disagree or add context.
-
A 3.89 ERA is allowing 2.1 ER in 5 IP. A very good start.
-
Or hit!!!!
-
LOL. Time will tell.
-
151 SP'ers have 200+ IP in the last 3 years, combined. (That's 5 per team x 30 teams.) Here is where Monty places in some key stats/metrics: 6th GS at 94 (about 31 per season and elite level.) 16th IP at 524 (mid level #1 horse.) 16th fWAR 10.2 (mid level #1) 40th ERA 3.48 (higher range of a #2) 41st ERA- at 84 (just 1 from Cease & Castillo & tied w Nate) 46th xFIP 3.79 (Mid range #2) 47th K/BB at 3.60 (mid #2) 49th WHIP 1.18 (mid #2) 51st in wins with 25 (5 wins in 3 yrs from top 30) He's about top 15 in GS/IP, and when he pitches, he ranks about top 25% to 35% in every meaningful stat- even WINS!
-
3.89 is above average. SP ERA in MLB: 4.45 in '23 4.05 in '22 4.34 in '21 4.46 in '20 4.54 in '19 Out of the top 150 SP'ers by IP in 2023, a 3.89 ERA places 62nd (just 0.02 from top 60, or top 40%.) That's also above average. 25% Pedro 50% (3.77 Scherzer, 3.80 Beiber, 3.86 Peralta & Strider, 3.92 JP France, 65 Stroman) 25% Kluber
-
He's good enough to get us closer, if not real close to a WC slot. He should still be good in the 2-3 or even 4 years after 2024, when in theory, we are looking to compete. You prefer we just punt?
-
Both ways? How am I flipping? Hey, I call Monty a #1. He's a 20th to 30th best SP'er in MLB. There are 30 teams. He's at worst a #2. Saying he's a #3 says 60-89 pitchers are better? He's only 30. Why is the 4th year so bad? You always have to give at least 1 more year for good pitchers. Some could argue he deserves 4 and should get 5 (at less AAV than 4, of course.)
-
11 losses are fine, if we win the 12 no decisions.
-
It's very early, and the sample sizes are tiny, but here are some numbers: IP H ER BB K 2 0 0 1 3 Bello 2 0 0 0 1 Winckowski 2 0 0 1 1 Giolito 2 0 0 0 0 Houck 2 3 1 0 1 Crawford 2 2 0 2 1 Campbell 2 1 0 0 2 Hagenman 2 3 0 0 2 Murphy 2 1 0 0 2 Slaten 2 1 0 2 3 Weissert 2 2 0 1 2 Denlinger 2 1 1 0 2 Whitlock (Not all pitchers listed, just those doing well or okay.) Highest OPS (6+ AB) 1.875 Sogard 1.167 Reyes 1.125 Kolozsvary 1.111 Contreras .944 Rafaela .875 Westbrook
-
Our points are "truth" as well. Nobody is saying the listed Monty win totals are wrong.
-
There will always be gray areas on everything. In your scenario, the guy did get on base. Din g him for baserunning skills not OB skills. On Sac bunts: the batter is being told to make an out. Somehow, that should not hurt his OBP, if he did what he was told to do, well. Some hitters are nver asked to bunt sac.
-
Yes, 6 IP and 2 ER but 4 unearned runs won't win many games.
-
I'm not sure about the "should" part, but I get it. Why not count reach on error as getting on base, then? He stepped up and got on base.
-
Monty is a pretty good pitcher. He gives innings. He keeps opponents from scoring a lot. He takes the ball, every 5 days. There might be 20-30 SP'ers better than him, but none are on the Sox. The odds are much better for us to win, if he was on the mound, and if wins is what the game is all about, he's a damn good SP'ers for increasing the chances of winning. If he were to join the Sox, sending Houck to the pen would turn our pen from about average to a clear top 10-14 pen, on paper. That would help all our SP'ers in getting the team more wins. Just do it. The cost should not be too high, as it seems nobody is beating down the door to overpay him.
-
I always assumed SA did not hurt OBP.
-
More than the determination on who gets the win needs to be changed, but it's hard to do it while keeping the rules 100% objective. I think the QS rule should be updated to something like tis: Now: 6 IP and 3 or less earned runs allowed. My idea: 4+ IP 0-1 ER allowed 5+ IP 0-2 ER allowed 6+ IP 0-3 ER allowed 8+ IP 0-4 ER allowed (This seems like a no brainer. If going 6 and allowing 3 is quality at a 4.50 ERA, why wouldn't 8 IP at a 4.50 ERA be as good or not better?) On wins, if a pitcher does any of the above and the team wins, assuming he left with the team ahead or tied, he should get the win, even if the team was tied or fell behind after he left. If a RP'er pitches more IP than the SP'er and does better, he should get the win, no matter what. (I'm not sure how to quantify that.)
-
I guess the most important thing a SP'er must do is let up less runs than the opponent. If he lets up 7 ER and gets the win, because his team scored 8+, he's a better pitcher than the guy who lets up 1 run in a team loss. Got it.
-
Not if a run scores, right? It's no PA.
-
...and Grissom v Sale.
-
Yes, as long as the team went 23-10 in their starts. I'd be bummed about the pen or O for not allowing them to meet some crazy guideline for them to be credited with the win, but if the team wins, that's what counts more than which pitcher gets credit for the win.
-
Mis Casases son tus Casases.
-
Agreed. I'd like to see a fairer number than OBP + SLG, since OBP is more valuable. Something like this: (3 x OBP) + (2 x SLG)/ 5 Cue the BA Traditionalist Brigade.
