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kenmeister

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Everything posted by kenmeister

  1. kenmeister
    The thread title is "realistic view". I'm calling it as I see it.
  2. kenmeister
    Holy cow his numbers are bad!
  3. kenmeister
    Close to my optimum lineup. 1. Betts 2. Bogaerts 3. Martinez 4. Moreland/Pearce although if Pearce doesn't regain form he's not in my lineup at all. 5. Devers 6. Vazquez 7. Chavis 8. Benitendi (in my dog house) 9. Bradley Jr. (although if Pearce is hitting and JBJ is not I have Beni playing center, JDM in the outfield, and Moreland/Pearce at DH/1B)
  4. kenmeister
    I think this team will oscillate between .500 and .530 the rest of the way. Maybe they reach a high water mark of .550 for few shining days. Of course Eovaldi could come back and be awesome, or they could make a trade that changes everything.
  5. kenmeister
    Back on May 10th I looked at how JBJ stacks up with the rest of the batters in the league, and basically found him 88/88 in most categories; i.e. the worst batter in the league. So now that it is June 5th, has he improved? Batting average: 84/86 On-base percentage: 82/86 Slugging percentage: 83/86 OPS: 84/86 RBIs: tied for 121st. So ... a couple guys dropped off, and he's ahead of Jeimer Candelario and Rougned Odor. Improvement? A smidgeon. I'll check in again around the July 4th holiday.
  6. kenmeister
    Wow very helpful post! Go Vazquez!
  7. kenmeister
    As the calendar nearly turns to the month of June, this edition of the Red Sox feels like a .500 team. I don't see them as a serious contender this year. I don't think the "blame" lies at any one player's feet, but except for a couple of players like Workman and Devers, just about everyone is playing a bit worse than last year.
  8. kenmeister
    But that does raise his average
  9. kenmeister
    Very cool stats. Also our big three right now have: .68 Walden .74 Barnes .93 Workman So if they stay pitching this well through the end of the year, we're going to have the best trio the Sox ever had Of course that's a big if.
  10. kenmeister
    Given Pedroia's bad knees, DH seems to be the best option, on the days JDM plays the outfield. But if Pearce's bat comes around, Pedroia won't have a role.
  11. kenmeister
    So this is going to be crazy, but given the way Devers is hitting this year (only 3 home runs, but .323 average): 1. Devers (OBP .397) 2. Chavis (OBP .406) 3. Betts (OBP .404) 4. Martinez (OBP .399) 5. Moreland 6. Bogaerts 7. Vazquez 8. Benitendi 9. Bradley Jr. Sorry for burying Benitendi, but I like having the top 4 all get on base a ton.
  12. kenmeister
    Strikeouts, to me, are not as great an indicator of how a pitcher is doing as WHIP is. Gotta keep baserunners off the bases. How you get them out is somewhat irrelevant. On the flip side, 3 home runs sound impressive, but having men on base when you hit a home run is the key. Still too many cold bats. Beni and Mookie a combined 0 for 11, Pearce continues to be a black hole, and Leon was also 0 for 3. Devers had a hit, but also left 5 men on base. Beni left 4. Nunez and Leon 3 a piece.
  13. kenmeister
    It's: Benitendi Betts Martinez Bogaerts Devers Chavis Pearce Nunez Leon Let's hope tonight is the night Pearce and Nunez get going!
  14. kenmeister
    I'm looking forward to seeing our lineup for today.
  15. kenmeister
    I still think they should be playing Pearce in the hope his bat recovers.
  16. kenmeister
    That makes sense, except Harper is signed for 13 years. I guarantee you they will have to release him and eat the remainder of the contract long before he gets anywhere close to finishing it. I doubt he even makes it halfway given where his skill set is now.
  17. kenmeister
    As of today ... Manny Machado Batting Average .237, On-Base .316, Slugging .432, overall OPS .748, WAR 1.2 (25th overall in the NL for batters) Bryce Harper Batting Average .231, On-Base .371, Slugging .469, overall OPS .840, WAR 0.2 (114th overall in the NL for batters) I never understood the appeal of signing these guys. Bryce Harper had a 1.6 WAR in 2016, 4.7 in 2017 (better), and 1.3 in 2018. And he gets $330 million? Looks like he got paid for the one aberration year of 2015. Machado had a more reasonable 6.7 in 2016, 3.5 in 2017, and 5.7 in 2018. Still not $300 million worth, but respectable.
  18. kenmeister
    I was morbidly curious how JBJ stacks among qualified batting leaders in the AL. Batting average: 88/88 On-base percentage: 87/88 (Chris Owings is 88) Slugging percentage: 88/88 OPS: 88/88 WAR: 88/88 (by far, too) JBJ and Chris Owings are the two worst in each category. Also, looking at the 88 qualifying batters for RBIs, JBJ is tied for last with 5 with Billy Hamilton. All in all, I've honestly never seen a worse start to a season by any non-catcher.
  19. kenmeister
    If Beni is a lousy CFer, why does he play CF over Mookie when JBJ sits?
  20. kenmeister
    I'm really curious how strong a start Wright would have had if he hadn't been suspended.
  21. kenmeister
    If Steve Pearce was doing any better the argument for benching JBJ would be stronger.
  22. kenmeister
    Wow I didn't even notice that! 22 strikeouts is a LOT, even for a 12 inning game. Go Sox! Most shocking is Heath Hembree's striking out the side in the bottom of the 12th.
  23. kenmeister
    Comparing this Jackie Bradley Jr. mega-slump to his others Quote from the article: "To this point in the year Bradley has played in 32 games this year and has racked up 106 plate appearances and in that time he is hitting .142/.240/.170 for a wRC+ of 14. Fourteen! To put it another way, he has been a whopping 86 percent worse than the league-average hitter ... For comparison, I’m going to look at the previous two seasons in which he saw at least two months of terrible hitting. For 2018, it was the first two months of the season in which he hit .199/.292/.308 for a wRC+ of 63. In 2017, it was the entire second half when he hit .204/.277/.302 for a wRC+ of 50. Both of those stretches were really bad, but even just looking at the wRC+ suggests that he was still significantly better than he’s been through six weeks in 2019."
  24. kenmeister
    This was all before my time My heartbreaks are losing Clemens, Vaughn, and Lester. Damon and Garciappara I understood.
  25. kenmeister
    I think we've turned ourselves into a .500 team, but I humbly submit we need Jackie Bradley Jr., Steve Pearce, Nathan Eovaldi, David Price, and JD Martinez's power stroke to return to form before we can be reasonably confident we are contenders. My mid-May prediction is looking to be more end of May now.
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