kenmeister
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Everything posted by kenmeister
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I have to confess I’m secretly hoping Thornburg flames out so that Velazquez makes the team.
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That was just a vitamin B-12 shot...
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Yikes you're right! I should have looked at the standings.
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Let's not forget that last year, Joe Kelly blew the game on opening day in similar fashion, yet by year's end was untouchable in the playoffs.
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Pythagorean wins, thanks I forgot about that stat. I do recall a whole bunch of those one run losses.
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I've always wondered why this team didn't even advance to the playoffs. They had: Pedro Martinez go 20-4 with a 2.26 ERA Derek Lowe go 21-8 with a 2.58 ERA Tim Wakefield go 11-5 with a 2.81 ERA Ugueth Urbina have 40 saves with a 3.00 ERA Manny Ramirez hit .349 with 33 homers Nomar Garciappara hit .310 with 24 homers Trot Nixon hit .256 with 24 homers Shea Hillenbrand hit .293 with 18 homers Brian Daubach hit .266 with 20 homers Johnny Damon hit .286 with 14 homers Overall the team batted .277, scored 859 runs, and pitched to a 3.75 ERA. By comparison, the 2018 Red Sox batted .268, scored 876 runs, and pitched to a 3.75 ERA as well. It seems crazy that this team went nowhere.
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I wasn't on talkSox at the time, but oh my goodness I thought the Yankees were nuts too at the time. They were clearly expecting every subsequent year to be like his outlier year.
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I'm also very interested to see if Price can be his second-half self of last year all year this year. That would be a huge boost.
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OPS as an offensive stat doesn't include stolen bases at all, which is a shame. I always thought Ellsbury transcended his OPS because of that. In his .301 hitting year when he had an OPS of .770, he also stole 70 bases and got caught 12 times, for a net benefit of 58 bases. Now granted stolen bases never move a runner along, so let's chop that in half to 29. I'm sure if we add 29 extra bases to his slugging percentage of .415 that year, his OPS would bump into .8 something.
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Neither is the luxury tax limit.
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Feels to me like the $30M+ contracts are unsustainable.
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I'm lowering my expectations so that I'm not disappointed.
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There's going to be some heartache after 2019 no doubt about it. I'm fully expecting Porcello, Bogaerts, and Sale to leave
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I just looked at their MLB stats for last year. I saw just a few relievers worth talking about, and they were 30 games under .500. But I didn't know about the 10 players who must be in the minors.
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2003 with David Ortiz's arrival
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I have to say, his agent played that well. I didn't think he'd get that much. I certainly don't think he's worth it, and the Padres have a LONG way to go and this just saddles them with a huge payroll they have to work around.
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I felt that Lester had the physique to pitch well into his mid 30s, so I wasn't concerned about the length of the deal.
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How about this system to compare teams season by season? 5 points for winning the World Series 4 points for winning the League Championship (lost the World Series) 3 points for winning the Division Series (lost the League Championship) 2 points for making it to the Division Series (but losing it) -OR- winning 100 games but not making the postseason at all 1 point for making it to the Wild Card game (but losing it) -OR- winning 95 games but not making the postseason at all
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Yes I'm excited to see Wright coming out of the pen everyone talks about Barnes & Brasier but he should also be very effective.
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I love how much work you put into your posts here. Those thresholds look great. Of course thirty years ago it was different, but times have changed and the 200 IP pitcher is more scarce. And by the way, our #4 and #5 pitchers should be far, far better than league average.
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I'd be down with that. Keeps the ERA consistent.
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He hit .269 last year with little home run power but 30 doubles, so he's not a dead spot in the lineup. I'm pretty sure his defense is still widely regarded but I could be wrong. I highly, highly doubt the Sox will be able to keep Bogaerts, so we'll need a shortstop for 2020. Lin is the in-house option, and I hope he can do the job, but if he can't, Iglesias would solve the problem. Take the $20 million saved on the differential between Bogaerts and Iglesias/Lin and keep Chris Sale.
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Now you have me curious. ESPN goes back to 2000: Mike Mussina, 34 starts, 237.2 IP - almost 7 David Wells, 35 starts, 229.2 IP - 6.5 Kenny Rogers, 34 starts, 227.1 IP - 6.7 Brad Radke, 34 starts, 226.2 IP - 6.7 Sidney Ponson, 32 starts, 222.0 IP - almost 7 On the other hand: Roger Clemens, 1987, 36 starts, 281.2 IP - almost 8 innings a start I think I should change my criteria because an "average" is tricky. Sometimes the game is a blow out and the ace is removed early. Some games are at the end of the season and the ace is purposefully rested. Maybe I should just rank #1-#5 starters on percentage of quality starts. Maybe: #1 starters: 75% quality #2 starters: 65% quality #3 starters: 50% quality #4 starters: 40% quality #5 starters: 25% quality
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That’s sad. At any rate, for the Sox it might because our starters look to be very solid and the bullpen more suspect, so hopefully starters won’t be pulled early.
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Alrighty, here's my definitions: #1 pitcher: Averages at least 7 innings per start, 3 runs or less. #2 pitcher: Averages at least 6.2 innings per start, 3.25 runs or less. #3 pitcher: Averages at least 6.1 innings per start, 3.5 runs or less. #4 pitcher: Averages at least 6 innings per start, 3.75 runs or less. #5 pitcher: Averages at least 5 innings per start, 4 runs or less. I feel like an 'ace' is a #1 pitcher who is closer to 2 runs or less allowed.
